Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
353
lifetime
Volume
$4.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$491
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-11 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
32%
Politics
32%
Other
22% 100% +$1
Sports
13%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -46 $-38 82¢ $-37 +$1 05-29 09:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -36 $-30 90¢ $-33 $-3 05-30 17:47
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +32 $27 88¢ $29 +$2 06-04 16:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -43 $-22 64¢ $-27 $-5 05-29 09:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -38 $-22 68¢ $-26 $-4 05-29 09:02
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -31 $-25 78¢ $-24 +$1 05-29 09:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -52 $-22 45¢ $-24 $-2 05-29 09:03
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 +$0 06-04 02:10
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -19 $-14 89¢ $-17 $-3 05-29 09:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -19 $-16 88¢ $-17 $-1 05-29 09:03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -20 $-15 81¢ $-16 $-1 05-29 09:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -17 $-15 90¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 09:03
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -18 $-15 84¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 09:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -20 $-14 74¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 09:02
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +19 $15 75¢ $15 $-0 06-04 10:13
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -17 $-14 84¢ $-14 +$0 05-29 09:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +16 $12 83¢ $13 +$1 06-08 08:11
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +14 $12 90¢ $13 +$1 06-01 04:12
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +14 $12 86¢ $12 +$0 05-31 08:08
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +14 $12 88¢ $12 $-0 05-31 18:12
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +15 $12 82¢ $12 $-0 06-07 17:11
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +17 $12 68¢ $12 $-0 06-02 22:13
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? No +15 $12 76¢ $11 $-0 06-02 20:11
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-11 56¢ $-11 +$0 05-29 09:02
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +18 $8 52¢ $9 +$1 06-01 02:10
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -10 $-8 94¢ $-9 $-1 05-29 09:02
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +10 $8 85¢ $9 +$1 05-31 06:13
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +11 $8 76¢ $8 +$0 06-08 23:10
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +12 $8 70¢ $8 +$0 06-02 13:10
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +9 $8 95¢ $8 +$0 05-31 04:10