Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
386
lifetime
Volume
$4.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$489
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-29 15:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
31%
Crypto
30%
Other
26% 100% +$1
Sports
12%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -46 $-38 86¢ $-39 $-2 05-29 09:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -43 $-22 82¢ $-35 $-14 05-29 09:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -36 $-30 94¢ $-34 $-4 05-30 17:47
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +32 $27 86¢ $28 +$1 06-04 16:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -52 $-22 54¢ $-28 $-6 05-29 09:03
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -31 $-25 82¢ $-25 $-0 05-29 09:03
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +25 $20 80¢ $20 +$0 06-18 08:11
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -19 $-18 100¢ $-19 $-1 06-25 06:07
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -20 $-14 88¢ $-18 $-3 05-29 09:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -19 $-16 90¢ $-17 $-1 05-29 09:03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -20 $-15 84¢ $-17 $-2 05-29 09:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -17 $-15 94¢ $-16 $-1 05-29 09:03
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -18 $-15 86¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 09:03
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 09:03
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-11 70¢ $-13 $-2 05-29 09:02
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +17 $12 78¢ $13 +$1 06-02 22:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +14 $12 90¢ $13 +$1 05-31 08:08
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? No +15 $12 85¢ $13 +$1 06-02 20:11
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$1 06-07 17:11
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +14 $12 90¢ $12 +$0 05-31 18:12
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +16 $12 74¢ $12 $-0 06-29 15:10
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +31 $8 28¢ $8 +$0 06-13 20:12
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 06-02 07:05
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +11 $8 76¢ $8 +$0 06-08 23:10
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 06-20 13:10
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-02 09:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 72¢ $8 +$0 06-04 12:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-01 07:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-01 06:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 05-31 13:09