Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
401
lifetime
Volume
$5.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$487
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-22 00:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
30%
Crypto
29%
Other
28% 100% +$1
Sports
12%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -43 $-22 86¢ $-37 $-15 05-29 09:03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -36 $-30 94¢ $-34 $-4 05-30 17:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -46 $-38 70¢ $-32 +$6 05-29 09:03
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -52 $-22 57¢ $-30 $-8 05-29 09:03
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No -31 $-25 86¢ $-27 $-1 05-29 09:03
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +74 $20 29¢ $21 +$1 07-15 05:16
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +25 $20 82¢ $21 +$1 06-18 08:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -20 $-15 86¢ $-17 $-2 05-29 09:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -19 $-16 90¢ $-17 $-1 05-29 09:03
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -20 $-14 84¢ $-17 $-2 05-29 09:02
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No -18 $-15 92¢ $-17 $-2 05-29 09:03
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -17 $-15 94¢ $-16 $-1 05-29 09:03
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $12 72¢ $15 +$3 07-16 09:23
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-11 78¢ $-15 $-4 05-29 09:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-0 05-29 09:03
X banned in any European country by December 31? No +17 $12 86¢ $15 +$3 06-02 22:13
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +14 $12 94¢ $13 +$1 05-31 08:08
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$1 06-02 20:11
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +16 $12 80¢ $13 +$1 06-29 15:10
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$1 06-07 17:11
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +14 $12 90¢ $12 +$0 05-31 18:12
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +11 $8 88¢ $10 +$2 06-04 12:15
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-20 13:10
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +12 $8 77¢ $9 +$1 06-02 13:10
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 05-31 06:13
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-01 04:14
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-02 09:11
Trump out as President before 2027? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 06-01 06:10
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$0 06-01 07:10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +9 $8 95¢ $8 +$0 05-31 13:09