(anonymous) 0xfad93e…4cf138
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$165
Unrealized P&L
+$137
Hit rate
65.1%
Resolved
415
Trades
1,356
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$3.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 10-26 22:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
70% 15% +$20
Politics
28% 15% -$181
Tech
2% 0% -$5
Sports
0% 33% +$0
Crypto
0% 9% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 267 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,216 $621 64¢ $776 +$155 10-20 14:41
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +666 $600 94¢ $628 +$28 10-24 19:05
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +505 $455 96¢ $486 +$31 10-19 17:30
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,216 $321 32¢ $391 +$70 10-20 14:41
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +444 $188 46¢ $202 +$15 10-12 18:34
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +444 $65 30¢ $135 +$70 10-12 18:34
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +162 $102 74¢ $120 +$18 10-15 12:16
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +444 $114 18¢ $78 -$36 10-12 18:34
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +59 $18 98¢ $58 +$40 09-10 21:11
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +61 $40 68¢ $41 +$1 10-26 18:03
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +162 $11 20¢ $33 +$23 10-15 12:16
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +666 $34 4¢ $30 -$4 10-24 19:05
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +41 $16 71¢ $29 +$13 10-13 04:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +444 $49 6¢ $27 -$22 10-12 18:34
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,216 $94 2¢ $24 -$70 10-20 14:41
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +32 $20 67¢ $22 +$1 10-17 02:30
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +1,216 $137 2¢ $19 -$118 10-20 14:41
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +61 $19 30¢ $19 $0 10-26 18:03
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +28 $17 65¢ $18 +$1 10-20 18:10
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +505 $38 2¢ $10 -$28 10-19 17:30
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +10 $1 98¢ $10 +$9 09-30 19:53
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +28 $9 32¢ $9 +$0 10-20 18:10
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +444 $13 2¢ $8 -$5 10-12 18:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +41 $12 19¢ $8 -$4 10-13 04:14
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +32 $7 20¢ $6 $0 10-17 02:30
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +666 $22 1¢ $6 -$16 10-24 19:05
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +162 $11 2¢ $3 -$8 10-15 12:16
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +162 $26 2¢ $3 -$23 10-15 12:16
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +43 $7 6¢ $3 -$4 10-13 06:00
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-17 02:30