Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$635

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

667

lifetime

Volume

$37.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-20 13:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Tech

60% 56% +$9,375

Other

36% 20% -$7,892

Crypto

4% 0% -$848

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+66	$43	5¢	$3	-$40	09-29 01:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	33	$6.1K	5,950	3,715	+2,235	Yes	+$360	09-28 17:51
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	170	$5.5K	52,671	0	+52,671	No	-$5,506	09-30 20:03
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	45	$4.6K	14,519	14,519	+0	No	-$2,970	08-31 15:35
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	51	$3.5K	4,453	1,353	+3,100	Yes	+$1,748	09-22 15:26
next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	11	$2.7K	4,191	1,856	+2,335	Yes	+$1,090	09-01 01:44
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?	19	$2.7K	7,339	1,679	+5,659	No	+$3,494	09-21 13:24
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	16	$1.9K	2,845	0	+2,845	Yes	+$941	09-22 17:24
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?	5	$1.3K	2,510	710	+1,800	Yes	+$1,851	07-24 01:42
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	54	$1.2K	12,692	11,592	+1,100	No	-$1,120	06-26 15:40
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	7	$1.0K	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$580	06-30 17:01
will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345	3	$905	706	706	+0	Yes	+$381	07-15 00:07
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026?	7	$788	755	680	+75	Yes	-$212	09-22 10:11
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	7	$599	1,255	0	+1,255	Yes	+$656	05-28 12:54
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	5	$558	1,035	0	+1,035	Yes	+$477	03-04 23:20
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	4	$530	88,968	0	+88,968	Yes	-$530	03-04 08:16
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	15	$463	888	0	+888	Yes	+$425	06-09 13:12
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 23, 2026?	31	$365	1,470	371	+1,099	No	-$240	09-22 10:16
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	4	$297	554	0	+554	Yes	+$257	04-07 02:38
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	2	$212	700	0	+700	No	-$212	10-20 13:47
will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	2	$201	670	0	+670	No	-$201	08-07 16:32
Will the next OpenAI GPT Sol model be released on September 24, 2026?	18	$200	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$200	09-22 10:11
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$190	450	450	+0	No	-$152	04-14 01:14
next openai gpt sol 5pt7 released by september 24 2026	1	$171	571	0	+571	Yes	-$171	09-22 05:37
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	5	$142	112	112	+0	Yes	+$64	09-28 17:26
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	10	$119	259	0	+259	Yes	+$140	04-03 09:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	4	$108	495	495	+0	No	-$56	10-07 15:32
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?	5	$91	350	13	+338	No	-$82	09-28 03:11
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	28	$79	11,235	0	+11,235	No	-$79	09-24 08:19
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	4	$72	80	80	+0	Yes	-$6	10-07 15:34
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	10	$68	4,500	4,500	+0	No	-$40	05-27 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 13:47:53	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	670	30¢	$201	0x0b1bfc…
10-20 13:34:08	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x73fedd…
10-07 15:34:59	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xee4ebd…
10-07 15:32:22	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	495	5¢	$26	0x4feee3…
10-07 15:24:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	389	18¢	$70	0xa06466…
10-07 15:23:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0xcade83…
10-07 15:23:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xadc939…
10-07 15:14:17	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	53	59¢	$31	0xd5b293…
10-07 15:13:14	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	33¢	$29	0x2dd703…
10-07 15:13:14	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x0bcfcb…
10-07 15:10:11	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x808dea…
10-07 15:10:01	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x35113d…
10-07 15:08:56	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xa165f4…
10-07 15:08:29	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x6ac360…
10-07 15:08:10	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x337103…
10-07 15:07:29	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0x2b7139…
09-30 20:03:21	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	12¢	$11	0x41bc11…
09-30 20:02:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	197	12¢	$24	0x0ea241…
09-30 20:01:26	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	12¢	$96	0x08eb2a…
09-30 19:59:44	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x22b5e3…
09-30 19:57:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xc910ae…
09-30 19:57:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	365	12¢	$44	0xe3403a…
09-30 19:53:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	12¢	$10	0x7b99b8…
09-30 19:53:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	213	12¢	$25	0xd6e793…
09-30 19:50:35	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	432	23¢	$98	0xea9a76…
09-30 19:50:35	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	23¢	$38	0x2c6094…
09-30 19:49:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,723	15¢	$706	0xe7579b…
09-30 19:47:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	14¢	$30	0x80c663…
09-30 19:47:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,584	14¢	$216	0x7ed8db…
09-30 19:27:44	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$52	0x8bea4e…
09-30 19:25:38	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	10¢	$137	0x84009b…
09-30 19:25:38	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	11¢	$40	0x2a3782…
09-30 19:12:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	233	5¢	$13	0x430d9e…
09-30 19:11:50	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xa4d503…
09-30 19:09:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x40ce2e…
09-30 19:08:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	5¢	$27	0xb46102…
09-30 19:07:57	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$54	0xd8d2b4…
09-30 19:07:44	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x66a8fa…
09-30 19:05:51	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe6befb…
09-30 19:02:02	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,124	5¢	$108	0xbc4673…
09-30 19:00:48	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0c05bf…
09-30 18:51:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	309	5¢	$15	0xd2aa11…
09-30 18:50:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	5¢	$11	0xaa7e28…
09-30 18:49:14	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	5¢	$26	0x6050bc…
09-30 18:25:24	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	529	8¢	$42	0xa573a7…
09-30 18:25:00	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0x2faa88…
09-30 18:14:14	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x813fec…
09-30 18:08:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0xb90e9e…
09-30 18:06:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xbdce1a…
09-30 17:22:35	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,745	8¢	$140	0xf6962f…
09-30 17:22:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xbdeeb6…
09-30 17:22:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	8¢	$15	0x841e3b…
09-30 17:22:09	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,240	8¢	$659	0x5fa5b3…
09-30 17:13:06	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	8¢	$8	0x9ddb9a…
09-30 15:34:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	5¢	$500	0xf26a4a…
09-30 15:02:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	18¢	$360	0x26a054…
09-30 13:38:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,664	23¢	$613	0xbf115e…
09-30 13:26:51	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	23¢	$77	0x4349fb…
09-30 12:16:00	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	745	35¢	$261	0x00dbd7…
09-30 11:27:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x22b496…
09-30 11:25:56	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xf29109…
09-30 11:24:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	35¢	$11	0xaa499b…
09-30 06:35:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x68102a…
09-30 05:50:45	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x680cda…
09-30 05:49:44	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4eb781…
09-30 05:48:44	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x121f57…
09-30 05:47:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe24a82…
09-30 05:46:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x63b153…
09-30 05:45:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd10f49…
09-30 05:44:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xad88da…
09-30 05:43:39	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5dac15…
09-30 05:42:39	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8b0369…
09-30 05:41:38	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3308aa…
09-30 05:40:38	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x700a11…
09-30 05:39:35	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2d9f19…
09-30 05:38:35	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x63af2c…
09-30 05:37:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8f67ad…
09-30 05:36:33	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9265f4…
09-30 05:35:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6aa884…
09-30 05:34:32	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb08a29…
09-30 05:33:30	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x0c4e2a…
09-30 05:32:30	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x48e04a…
09-30 05:31:29	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd8c51a…
09-30 05:30:29	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa0e053…
09-30 05:29:27	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5b04f5…
09-30 05:28:26	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa70dbf…
09-30 05:27:26	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xfef98d…
09-30 05:26:24	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc77dd8…
09-30 05:25:24	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd9f9e0…
09-30 05:24:23	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3d26b2…
09-30 05:23:23	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc7d7e4…
09-30 05:22:21	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x03fc41…
09-30 05:21:21	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1d4dd4…
09-30 05:20:20	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa1ea59…
09-30 05:19:20	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x34a7f1…
09-30 05:18:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x38d0bb…
09-30 05:17:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x34d238…
09-30 05:16:17	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9b4e3d…
09-30 05:15:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa4192f…
09-30 05:14:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x2edaaf…