Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.9%

Resolved

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-07 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Tech

86% 47% -$972

Other

10% 7% -$402

Politics

3% 20% -$63

Sports

0% 0% -$40

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$2.1K	3,047	3,047	+0	Yes	+$1,590	02-06 23:27
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	19	$1.5K	20,930	0	+20,930	No	-$1,471	03-05 21:42
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	28	$1.4K	29,018	0	+29,018	No	-$1,416	02-12 22:02
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	7	$700	796	0	+796	Yes	+$96	09-28 17:34
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	11	$670	797	0	+797	Yes	+$127	10-07 15:52
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	7	$410	621	0	+621	Yes	+$211	10-07 15:33
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$300	1,251	0	+1,251	No	-$300	02-12 13:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$173	455	455	+0	No	-$27	01-09 19:26
will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$127	2,407	0	+2,407	No	-$127	02-08 12:43
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	1	$100	119	0	+119	Yes	+$19	09-28 16:55
claude sonnet 5pt1 output token price debut at least 10	1	$100	122	0	+122	Yes	+$22	09-28 16:58
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	2	$68	45	45	+0	No	+$8	01-10 16:40
maduro mugshot released by january 9	2	$61	47	47	+0	No	+$21	01-06 03:17
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	2	$54	200	200	+0	No	-$6	01-06 15:18
venezuela election scheduled by march 31 2026	2	$45	32	32	+0	No	+$5	01-05 13:13
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	2	$30	80	80	+0	No	-$10	01-07 02:10
will annual inflation increase by less than 24 in december	30	$26	1,500	1,500	+0	No	-$15	01-13 14:26
will google have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$21	100	100	+0	Yes	-$3	01-07 02:11
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	3	$21	110	10	+100	No	-$2	01-06 03:20
will ricky martin perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$20	90	0	+90	Yes	-$20	02-08 19:02
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	2	$20	50	0	+50	Yes	-$20	01-06 00:46
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$20	522	0	+522	No	-$20	01-07 02:17
will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$20	105	0	+105	Yes	-$20	02-08 19:02
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	1	$20	52	0	+52	Yes	-$20	01-04 21:19
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31	1	$20	67	0	+67	Yes	-$20	01-04 21:17
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 16 2026 447 517	1	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	-$20	01-04 21:14
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$20	19	19	+0	Yes	$0	01-05 13:19
will annual inflation increase by between 27 and 29pt9 in december	26	$17	2,157	0	+2,157	No	-$17	01-13 19:02
will annual inflation increase by between 33 and 35pt9 in december	25	$15	2,077	0	+2,077	No	-$15	01-13 19:04
body cam footage of maduro capture released buy jan 31	2	$15	62	62	+0	No	-$5	01-06 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 15:52:43	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x68868b…
10-07 15:45:50	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x85d6c4…
10-07 15:40:41	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xcfd728…
10-07 15:35:10	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xcf0c57…
10-07 15:33:31	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0xc05266…
10-07 15:32:19	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xda3761…
10-07 15:31:41	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x2643ae…
10-07 15:30:04	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xbbb4a4…
10-07 15:29:40	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xca5e97…
10-07 15:29:02	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0xf7d356…
10-07 15:28:41	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0x6e2df0…
10-07 15:28:29	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x860e32…
10-07 15:27:35	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x752441…
10-07 15:27:10	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0xae9ce9…
10-07 15:26:59	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x4b94ea…
10-07 15:26:34	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x002832…
10-07 15:26:19	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x004abd…
10-07 15:25:52	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) be released on October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6cc35b…
09-28 17:34:20	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xec7635…
09-28 17:33:51	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x1ff26f…
09-28 17:01:02	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	90¢	$100	0x6110ef…
09-28 16:58:50	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x92f6ba…
09-28 16:58:03	claude sonnet 5pt1 output token price debut at least 10	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x0f52fb…
09-28 16:56:23	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xbc3c65…
09-28 16:55:39	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x094918…
09-28 16:55:21	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xbeb1ba…
09-28 16:54:30	Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x5014d5…
03-05 21:42:17	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2,498	6¢	$137	0xd195f8…
03-05 20:12:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$110	0x882cbd…
03-05 20:12:45	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x48ab43…
03-05 20:12:37	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x564bbf…
03-05 20:12:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	4,190	6¢	$230	0x714a1a…
03-05 20:06:59	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0xf61592…
03-05 20:06:25	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$2	0x9c620b…
03-05 18:58:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	5,838	8¢	$473	0x1ef1b9…
03-05 18:55:49	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x50edb2…
03-05 18:55:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x809b0e…
03-05 18:55:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	152	8¢	$12	0x3bdab6…
03-05 18:54:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xd42d9c…
03-05 18:44:55	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x11b6bb…
03-05 18:44:33	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	788	8¢	$66	0x587c56…
03-05 18:44:27	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$84	0x4314b2…
03-05 18:43:31	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	1,015	8¢	$85	0xb0bdcc…
03-05 18:43:25	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	45	8¢	$4	0x8fbd60…
03-05 18:43:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	872	8¢	$73	0xc37a34…
03-05 18:42:29	will openai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8a1d92…
03-05 18:41:23	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	BUY	2,120	8¢	$169	0x829228…
02-21 22:28:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	251	1¢	$3	0x20482b…
02-12 22:02:05	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,685	4¢	$140	0xac7522…
02-12 19:18:45	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	107	4¢	$4	0xb06337…
02-12 19:17:41	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	138	4¢	$5	0xbe144f…
02-12 19:14:37	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,067	4¢	$40	0xafae6c…
02-12 17:00:13	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	451	5¢	$21	0x857583…
02-12 16:59:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0xaf6272…
02-12 15:54:59	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	173	5¢	$8	0xc8f207…
02-12 15:23:57	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	801	5¢	$40	0xdf2316…
02-12 13:47:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,588	5¢	$80	0x7aa5fc…
02-12 13:28:43	will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,251	24¢	$300	0x229ecc…
02-12 13:28:17	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x213544…
02-12 12:38:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	163	5¢	$8	0x1442c8…
02-12 11:39:49	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0xb990b6…
02-12 00:21:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,919	5¢	$91	0x212751…
02-11 23:12:49	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x8b24e2…
02-11 23:04:27	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,336	5¢	$168	0x7951c7…
02-11 16:56:51	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	614	6¢	$34	0xe5554e…
02-11 14:50:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	392	5¢	$21	0x739037…
02-11 14:41:05	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,690	6¢	$94	0x5e51af…
02-11 12:48:35	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x8f8dca…
02-11 12:37:15	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,197	5¢	$64	0xdaded7…
02-11 11:25:49	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	771	5¢	$42	0x4276f1…
02-09 21:31:53	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	358	5¢	$18	0x8d96e7…
02-09 14:52:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	524	5¢	$27	0x8b09a5…
02-09 00:45:07	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,571	4¢	$100	0x3d955b…
02-08 20:12:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	687	5¢	$34	0x6f56b3…
02-08 19:02:49	will ricky martin perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x298deb…
02-08 19:02:43	will lady gaga perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	No	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xe31726…
02-08 18:57:37	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,468	5¢	$175	0x21ad73…
02-08 12:44:21	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	SELL	25	10¢	$3	0x4cffa0…
02-08 12:43:53	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xc180cd…
02-08 12:43:49	Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9db432…
02-08 12:43:41	will monthly inflation be 3pt2 or higher in january	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x86f7ca…
02-08 12:43:19	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	238	5¢	$12	0x32e484…
02-08 03:42:03	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,339	6¢	$80	0x2fcb0a…
02-08 03:41:01	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	Yes	BUY	158	3¢	$5	0x85d070…
02-07 23:59:43	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x5b6b9a…
02-07 20:57:21	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x107359…
02-07 13:41:17	will openai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,851	5¢	$100	0x11b875…
02-07 13:21:11	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,525	7¢	$100	0x8c7116…
02-06 23:27:21	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	3,047	61¢	$1,862	0x10ad86…
02-03 22:24:52	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	839	9¢	$72	0x1afd27…
02-03 18:15:38	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	781	13¢	$100	0xbbd0cf…
02-03 16:00:42	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,428	7¢	$100	0xa1a22c…
01-18 13:18:24	will monthly inflation be 3pt2 or higher in january	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xeee804…
01-17 18:30:38	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xaedac2…
01-17 18:27:50	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd21da9…
01-16 23:40:20	machado wears a dress or skirt during next trump meeting	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xfe6e29…
01-16 23:38:36	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x47b55b…
01-16 18:28:20	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xf63949…
01-16 18:27:54	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x1c6136…
01-16 18:27:50	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa47f5d…