Realized P&L
-$122
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
44.9%
Resolved
55
Trades
5,681
lifetime
Volume
$232.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$307
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 06-09 21:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
53% 25% $-287
Politics
36% 33% +$160
Crypto
5% 100% +$5
Sports
4%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -182 $-153 81¢ $-147 +$5 06-09 01:57
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +400 $173 34¢ $136 $-37 06-09 19:04
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31? Yes -185 $-56 13¢ $-24 +$31 06-09 05:08