Realized P&L
+$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
-$479
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
2,559
Trades
9,239
lifetime
Volume
$431.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$550
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-27 22:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 268 days
Categories
Other
61% 40% +$1,558
Politics
27% 54% -$1,680
Tech
5% 49% -$284
Crypto
3% 51% +$1,026
Sports
3% 56% +$1,005
Pop-Culture
0% 40% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +344 $147 92¢ $318 +$171 07-07 12:54
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +1,098 $240 14¢ $148 -$91 10-24 20:45
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? Yes +123 $40 26¢ $32 -$8 10-27 18:18
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +344 $381 8¢ $26 -$355 07-07 14:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +514 $216 4¢ $18 -$198 10-25 20:31
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +250 $72 3¢ $8 -$65 10-26 12:23
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +160 $50 0¢ $0 -$50 10-27 14:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$99 89¢ $0 +$99 10-23 00:51
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 Yes +0 -$17 6¢ $0 +$17 06-29 20:36