Scarce-Footnote 0x714f68…1266d5
whale hot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.80K
Hit rate
57.3%
Resolved
1,393
Trades
4,666
lifetime
Volume
$172.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$9.74K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 254 days
Categories
Politics
47% 33% +$5,426
Other
40% 35% -$1,422
Crypto
6% 37% +$188
Sports
4% 30% +$1,498
Tech
3% 23% -$784
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? No +3,527 $3,335 96¢ $3.4K +$67 10-18 22:00
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026 No +500 $85 98¢ $491 +$406 09-23 12:09
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +400 $88 87¢ $348 +$260 10-10 15:25
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +341 $100 100¢ $340 +$240 08-11 17:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +400 $186 84¢ $334 +$147 06-17 15:06
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027 No — +313 $70 93¢ $292 +$222 07-02 11:49
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $231 94¢ $282 +$51 05-29 15:14
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $129 92¢ $278 +$149 06-09 12:11
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +300 $138 90¢ $270 +$132 08-01 15:45
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No +900 $135 29¢ $256 +$121 10-19 14:20
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +298 -$135 84¢ $249 +$383 10-27 08:22
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 No +281 $54 82¢ $231 +$177 07-05 12:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +250 $130 90¢ $226 +$96 05-30 11:43
will papertrade launch a token by december 31 2026 No +254 $61 89¢ $226 +$165 07-05 12:10
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +300 $110 74¢ $220 +$111 07-03 10:45
will russia capture rai oleksandrivka by december 31 No +300 -$53 71¢ $213 +$266 10-11 06:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +450 $133 46¢ $209 +$76 10-27 20:17
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480 No +248 $25 81¢ $201 +$177 07-06 15:13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +450 $121 44¢ $200 +$79 07-17 12:56
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +200 $38 94¢ $189 +$151 05-12 15:36
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +240 $88 68¢ $164 +$76 08-23 15:34
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,500 -$255 11¢ $-158 +$97 07-30 03:46
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +662 $147 23¢ $152 +$5 09-10 10:10
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +400 $100 33¢ $132 +$32 10-21 10:35
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes +600 $118 22¢ $131 +$14 08-26 21:38
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $100 30¢ $118 +$18 10-25 15:46
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +400 $92 30¢ $118 +$26 09-30 09:12
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? Yes +800 $96 14¢ $112 +$16 08-03 09:16
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +450 $86 22¢ $100 +$15 06-04 16:42
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? Yes — +475 $71 20¢ $97 +$26 10-24 13:40