Scarce-Footnote 0x714f68…1266d5
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
2,522
lifetime
Volume
$97.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$1.74K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 17:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
49% 33% +$973
Other
40% 14% $-96
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
2% 100% +$162
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $231 78¢ $236 +$4 05-29 15:14
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +225 $152 73¢ $163 +$11 06-09 11:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +354 $168 46¢ $161 $-7 06-06 15:50
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +200 $152 80¢ $159 +$7 05-29 16:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +250 $130 62¢ $154 +$24 05-30 11:43
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $129 47¢ $141 +$12 06-09 12:11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +265 $135 50¢ $131 $-4 06-09 12:04
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +450 $86 25¢ $114 +$29 06-04 16:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -150 $-100 64¢ $-95 +$5 06-07 16:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +364 $114 24¢ $88 $-26 05-29 14:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +401 $80 20¢ $82 +$2 06-09 16:17
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +317 $84 22¢ $71 $-13 06-04 16:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -310 $-62 18¢ $-54 +$8 05-29 14:33
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +260 $39 11¢ $27 $-12 05-30 15:01
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +135 $23 15¢ $20 $-3 06-04 16:24
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +205 $33 8¢ $15 $-17 06-04 11:00
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +154 $18 10¢ $15 $-4 06-04 15:17
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +320 $30 2¢ $7 $-24 06-04 16:19
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires? No -61 $-3 5¢ $-3 $-0 06-07 03:59
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +0 $-19 100¢ $0 +$19 06-07 21:30