Scarce-Footnote 0x714f68…1266d5
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$133
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
2,982
lifetime
Volume
$125.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$4.58K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 11:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
50% 33% +$973
Other
36% 14% $-96
Crypto
6% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
3% 100% +$162
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $1,695 32¢ $945 $-750 07-15 00:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +2,500 $314 30¢ $738 +$424 07-05 15:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +3,380 $167 11¢ $384 +$216 07-12 12:19
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $231 84¢ $252 +$21 05-29 15:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +400 $186 62¢ $250 +$64 06-17 15:06
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +450 $86 52¢ $232 +$146 06-04 16:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,000 $423 22¢ $215 $-208 07-15 05:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $129 70¢ $208 +$80 06-09 12:11
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +225 $152 76¢ $170 +$18 06-09 11:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +250 $130 66¢ $166 +$36 05-30 11:43
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? No +481 $119 32¢ $156 +$38 07-17 12:40
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +317 $84 47¢ $149 +$65 06-04 16:27
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +500 $142 29¢ $145 +$3 07-17 12:35
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +713 $103 19¢ $133 +$30 07-05 11:54
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +334 $72 38¢ $129 +$57 07-01 15:46
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +219 $59 55¢ $122 +$62 06-25 13:37
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +282 $30 29¢ $80 +$50 07-05 11:55
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +100 $35 46¢ $46 +$11 07-03 11:02
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes +312 $47 8¢ $24 $-23 07-13 14:58
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +260 $39 8¢ $20 $-19 05-30 15:01
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +400 $83 1¢ $6 $-77 07-12 13:59
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +164 $52 2¢ $3 $-49 07-12 13:57
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +128 $24 3¢ $3 $-21 07-12 13:57
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +144 $20 2¢ $3 $-17 07-12 14:00
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 $-0 06-19 17:19
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +135 $23 0¢ $0 $-23 06-04 16:24