Scarce-Footnote 0x714f68…1266d5
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.04K
Unrealized P&L
+$848
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved
14
Trades
2,735
lifetime
Volume
$114.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$2.92K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
53% 33% +$973
Other
35% 14% $-96
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
4% — —
Tech
3% 100% +$162
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No +415 $55 98¢ $407 +$352 06-13 20:58
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +300 $231 86¢ $256 +$26 05-29 15:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +400 $186 52¢ $210 +$24 06-17 15:06
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +205 $33 100¢ $204 +$171 06-04 11:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +200 $108 100¢ $200 +$92 06-17 11:16
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +1,833 $156 10¢ $176 +$20 06-22 18:20
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +200 $152 86¢ $173 +$21 05-29 16:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +700 $127 24¢ $172 +$45 06-13 06:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +300 $129 56¢ $169 +$41 06-09 12:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +354 $168 46¢ $163 $-5 06-06 15:50
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +225 $152 69¢ $155 +$3 06-09 11:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +250 $130 60¢ $149 +$19 05-30 11:43
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +450 $86 30¢ $134 +$49 06-04 16:42
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No +317 $84 38¢ $119 +$35 06-04 16:27
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +219 $59 51¢ $112 +$53 06-25 13:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +490 $20 15¢ $74 +$54 06-13 06:38
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No +260 $39 10¢ $26 $-13 05-30 15:01
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? No +103 $24 15¢ $15 $-9 06-22 18:22
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +135 $23 4¢ $5 $-17 06-04 16:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +364 $114 1¢ $4 $-110 05-29 14:21
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +5 $1 30¢ $2 +$0 06-19 17:19