Realized P&L
-$235
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
3.2%
Resolved
152
Trades
1,998
lifetime
Volume
$24.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$1.20K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-29 14:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Other
62% 6% -$176
Politics
26% 0% -$51
Sports
5% 0% $0
Crypto
4% 0% -$4
Tech
1% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $64 65¢ $65 +$1 10-28 21:52
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +65 $54 78¢ $51 -$3 10-26 14:34
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 10-23 17:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +50 $49 96¢ $48 -$1 10-27 01:04
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 $0 10-25 17:25
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +50 $48 95¢ $47 $0 10-28 13:26
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $46 92¢ $46 $0 10-28 03:30
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $46 90¢ $45 -$1 10-28 03:22
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +50 $45 90¢ $45 +$0 10-29 05:37
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 10-28 09:56
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +50 $43 86¢ $43 $0 10-29 10:08
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +50 $43 85¢ $43 $0 10-28 18:30
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +50 $45 84¢ $42 -$3 10-21 15:17
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 80¢ $40 -$3 10-24 10:52
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat? Yes +50 $42 79¢ $40 -$2 10-21 19:51
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +46 $35 83¢ $38 +$3 10-25 07:51
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +48 $30 78¢ $37 +$7 10-22 09:18
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 72¢ $36 -$6 10-22 17:36
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +50 $38 70¢ $35 -$2 10-28 03:03
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +50 $38 70¢ $35 -$3 10-28 02:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +100 $36 35¢ $35 -$1 10-28 21:52
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +41 $36 84¢ $35 -$1 10-25 00:36
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +50 $23 69¢ $34 +$11 10-26 22:18
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +50 $34 68¢ $34 +$0 10-28 13:49
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? Yes +50 $34 68¢ $34 +$0 10-28 13:49
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +50 $32 65¢ $32 +$0 10-28 04:45
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +50 $31 64¢ $32 +$1 10-26 15:08
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +50 $34 60¢ $30 -$4 10-24 22:50
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +50 $32 57¢ $29 -$3 10-28 13:36
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +34 $25 81¢ $28 +$2 10-25 15:21