Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

13,164

Trades

29,116

lifetime

Volume

$235.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 10-14 07:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

95% 44% -$11,212

Politics

3% 39% -$844

Tech

1% 32% -$276

Sports

0% 31% -$161

Pop-Culture

0% 19% -$73

Crypto

0% 33% -$114

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 522 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	No		+40	$14	20¢	$8	-$6	10-03 02:15
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	Yes		+20	$5	13¢	$3	-$2	07-08 08:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1?	37	$665	1,318	50	+1,268	Yes	-$16	10-02 11:26
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	30	$484	789	90	+699	Yes	-$15	09-25 11:33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	17	$393	614	142	+472	No	-$9	09-13 09:19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	24	$393	638	140	+498	No	-$13	09-25 10:34
Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	19	$376	688	80	+608	Yes	-$16	10-13 12:27
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	19	$373	561	140	+421	No	-$33	10-02 11:26
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?	23	$360	746	40	+706	No	-$17	09-18 00:22
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?	19	$344	404	120	+284	No	-$30	10-10 09:09
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	16	$331	390	330	+60	Yes	-$69	10-13 09:53
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	18	$316	545	100	+445	No	-$6	09-27 02:21
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	13	$286	536	40	+496	No	-$18	09-27 15:20
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of September 21 2026?	13	$274	292	145	+147	No	-$24	09-22 13:57
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	22	$262	507	66	+441	Yes	-$34	09-18 00:22
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	13	$261	531	50	+481	Yes	-$11	10-08 04:22
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	11	$260	220	176	+44	Yes	-$1	10-06 14:54
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $248 in September?	17	$257	347	160	+187	Yes	+$2	09-29 17:42
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?	9	$256	293	150	+143	No	+$7	10-13 18:14
will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	19	$250	348	120	+228	Yes	-$4	09-30 15:57
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of September 28 2026?	16	$246	446	60	+386	Yes	+$13	10-01 11:56
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 30?	24	$233	369	80	+289	Yes	+$1	09-29 11:39
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026?	14	$228	292	125	+167	Yes	-$47	09-23 07:50
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	12	$227	470	58	+412	Yes	-$1	10-13 03:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	13	$225	387	50	+337	Yes	+$18	10-11 10:43
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$211	200	150	+50	No	-$58	10-11 17:01
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?	9	$206	336	50	+286	Yes	-$8	10-08 22:20
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	12	$205	357	0	+357	No	-$25	10-14 04:05
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026?	13	$200	290	140	+150	No	-$10	09-15 19:54
iran full airspace closure by july 24	14	$199	140	140	+0	No	+$4	07-23 09:18
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?	13	$185	279	120	+159	No	+$2	10-09 15:15
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026?	13	$179	278	60	+218	Yes	+$15	10-01 04:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 07:26:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xe90888…
10-14 07:26:16	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xab6469…
10-14 07:23:32	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 5pt25b	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xb353c3…
10-14 07:22:05	will att t q3 total revenue be above 20261008120021000 32pt4b	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xb08485…
10-14 07:22:05	will att t q3 total revenue be above 20261008120021000 32pt4b	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x4cf283…
10-14 07:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xfda2ae…
10-14 07:13:53	Will Truist (TFC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x684ceb…
10-14 07:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7b529a…
10-14 07:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x081f56…
10-14 07:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on October 16?	No	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0x07f96f…
10-14 07:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0xb1883c…
10-14 07:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x9b7a1a…
10-14 06:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x2742bc…
10-14 06:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0643cd…
10-14 06:54:14	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0xe2fef8…
10-14 06:44:58	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	33¢	$11	0x38d244…
10-14 06:44:58	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x206d0d…
10-14 06:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x1e107f…
10-14 06:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xae2d61…
10-14 06:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xa152e5…
10-14 06:05:41	will mu reach 960 by october 12 2026	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xb46c00…
10-14 06:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xcfeb40…
10-14 06:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x8b4e54…
10-14 06:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 15?	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x1e590a…
10-14 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x9d301c…
10-14 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 15?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x9ca643…
10-14 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x93ba12…
10-14 06:00:38	trump approval rating at least 37pt4 on october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xe8d2ba…
10-14 05:57:34	where will it rain on october 14 2026 philadelphia pa	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x40b843…
10-14 05:57:34	where will it rain on october 14 2026 philadelphia pa	No	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0x217208…
10-14 05:57:23	will xagusd reach 61 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x13cc49…
10-14 05:57:22	will xagusd reach 60 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xe6441b…
10-14 05:52:56	will texas instruments txn q3 analog revenue be above 20261008120026000 4pt25b	Yes	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x0da949…
10-14 05:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x0239f4…
10-14 05:41:16	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x4b0fb3…
10-14 05:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xe28669…
10-14 05:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x723fac…
10-14 05:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 15?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdd2a61…
10-14 05:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9807e4…
10-14 05:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xea1575…
10-14 05:34:35	where will it rain on october 14 2026 philadelphia pa	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x757bf6…
10-14 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xdac597…
10-14 05:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x7feb15…
10-14 05:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x6dfe3c…
10-14 05:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xa86b1f…
10-14 05:26:01	will nextera energy nee q3 operating revenue be above 20261008120020000 7pt5b	Yes	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0xc86125…
10-14 05:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x6bb7e8…
10-14 05:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x56c420…
10-14 05:21:50	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$33	0x80fe17…
10-14 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xddd806…
10-14 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xa13fdf…
10-14 05:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1bd6c8…
10-14 05:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xf7015a…
10-14 05:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9fa4e2…
10-14 05:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4c68de…
10-14 05:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc7d7ee…
10-14 05:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x81da56…
10-14 05:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xfb83dd…
10-14 05:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0xa08522…
10-14 05:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x411f37…
10-14 05:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x0d2992…
10-14 05:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xa68dc8…
10-14 05:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x9ce000…
10-14 05:00:31	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2be342…
10-14 04:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x420408…
10-14 04:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	38	70¢	$27	0xca3263…
10-14 04:34:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xebe5fe…
10-14 04:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x7d486f…
10-14 04:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 15?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x207fdf…
10-14 04:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x837de5…
10-14 04:11:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xb06123…
10-14 04:05:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x2493a7…
10-14 04:04:53	where will it rain on october 14 2026 dallas tx	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1d96cf…
10-14 04:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x56c2e1…
10-14 04:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?	No	BUY	27	72¢	$19	0x4e7efa…
10-14 04:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 15?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x8ea71e…
10-14 03:59:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6ed9a0…
10-14 03:59:50	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x644346…
10-14 03:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 15?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7671dc…
10-14 03:38:55	will ewy dip to 164 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x9f47c0…
10-14 03:38:37	will ewy reach 169 by october 12 2026	No	SELL	25	27¢	$7	0x72dc50…
10-14 03:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0xfdc3a2…
10-14 03:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x477092…
10-14 03:34:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x938e8f…
10-14 03:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0xcdd257…
10-14 03:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xce1911…
10-14 03:21:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xf83c1a…
10-14 03:21:31	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xd59660…
10-14 02:45:13	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 15	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x9100d6…
10-14 02:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x89b9a9…
10-14 02:24:43	will aapl reach 348 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x530443…
10-14 02:24:43	will aapl reach 348 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x355425…
10-14 02:15:49	where will it rain on october 14 2026 philadelphia pa	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5f6a63…
10-14 02:15:16	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xbbd5f3…
10-14 02:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x718213…
10-14 02:00:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4741f2…
10-14 01:52:16	will xagusd reach 61 by october 12 2026 from october 12	No	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x305cb2…
10-14 01:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c9778…
10-14 01:43:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$9	0x18e289…
10-14 01:43:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xdbd785…