Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

396

Trades

974

lifetime

Volume

$5.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-19

last 10-12 11:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

80% 50% -$289

Crypto

14% 46% -$47

Tech

3% 0% -$58

Politics

2% 0% -$10

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	No		+20	$15	82¢	$16	+$2	08-21 06:28
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500	Yes		+20	$8	18¢	$4	-$5	08-21 06:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 25?	16	$107	219	0	+219	No	+$2	09-25 16:15
Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$9	10-03 06:43
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 25?	9	$98	200	0	+200	No	+$2	09-25 20:20
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 25?	11	$98	200	0	+200	No	+$2	09-25 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 26?	5	$96	200	0	+200	No	+$4	09-26 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 26?	12	$94	200	0	+200	No	+$6	09-26 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 26?	1	$90	100	0	+100	Yes	-$90	09-26 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 25?	2	$84	172	0	+172	No	+$2	09-25 08:00
Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?	11	$82	164	0	+164	Yes	$0	08-20 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25?	5	$77	158	0	+158	No	+$2	09-25 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 26?	1	$75	88	0	+88	No	+$13	09-26 04:21
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	1	$74	90	0	+90	Yes	+$15	10-02 22:00
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	6	$68	100	20	+80	No	-$7	08-21 08:52
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	6	$67	120	0	+120	Yes	-$7	08-20 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25?	6	$65	132	0	+132	Yes	+$1	09-25 15:52
Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	6	$64	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-22 00:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 25?	12	$62	126	0	+126	No	+$1	09-25 14:50
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	6	$62	120	0	+120	No	-$2	08-20 09:59
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	5	$62	120	0	+120	Yes	-$2	08-20 09:59
Will Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?	7	$61	120	0	+120	Yes	-$1	08-20 07:20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 26?	5	$61	127	0	+127	Yes	+$3	09-26 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 3?	4	$53	60	20	+40	No	+$0	10-03 07:29
Will Western Europe region win The International 2026?	8	$52	100	20	+80	No	-$4	08-20 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 26?	1	$49	58	0	+58	Yes	-$49	09-25 16:17
Will Sol1xd Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo)	4	$48	60	20	+40	No	+$12	08-20 01:14
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	6	$44	86	0	+86	Yes	-$1	08-20 18:31
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?	6	$43	86	0	+86	No	$0	08-20 13:15
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	8	$41	77	0	+77	Yes	-$3	08-20 08:30
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	100	100	+0	open	—	10-12 11:16
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?	5	$40	79	0	+79	No	$0	08-20 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 11:16:39	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0x15313f…
10-11 17:11:15	Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x444dfd…
10-11 15:14:58	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x9e0e76…
10-11 15:14:45	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x52d3f0…
10-11 15:14:10	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x90b133…
10-11 15:14:01	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?	Yes	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xddaecf…
10-11 15:13:42	Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe6c246…
10-11 15:13:10	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0xf48ade…
10-11 15:09:54	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4a6262…
10-11 15:06:27	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	39¢	$12	0xf3c9a8…
10-11 15:06:12	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	64	26¢	$17	0xc5ffee…
10-11 15:05:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	69	29¢	$20	0xbc49dc…
10-11 05:34:08	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	27¢	$7	0x47b0e7…
10-09 12:19:13	will the social reckoning score at least 66 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x6e30a5…
10-09 12:19:03	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x69546e…
10-09 12:18:33	Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x93a5fa…
10-08 14:59:24	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xfc6689…
10-08 14:59:24	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x44a701…
10-08 14:46:26	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xba3d76…
10-08 14:46:18	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x6a24d9…
10-08 12:19:51	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5edd9a…
10-07 18:19:34	Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x888286…
10-07 14:18:11	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	52¢	$12	0xe7261a…
10-07 10:42:29	Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc21b26…
10-06 18:02:30	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x95cb49…
10-05 19:46:23	Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x901733…
10-05 14:00:46	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x38ae99…
10-05 11:31:58	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	64	15¢	$10	0x134954…
10-05 10:26:40	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0xf27dbe…
10-05 10:26:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x475a9c…
10-05 08:55:34	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x435b6e…
10-05 08:47:22	Will "The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x546237…
10-05 08:37:05	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 6 and 9 million views this week?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x17d3ce…
10-05 02:49:58	Will "Other Mommy" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe9eb48…
10-04 20:12:13	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$7	0xfb8d75…
10-04 20:10:59	Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xed9c79…
10-04 13:16:40	Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x54fb8d…
10-04 06:37:46	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xdd71a4…
10-04 05:37:50	Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x173da9…
10-03 23:19:01	Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xda8deb…
10-03 21:52:14	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x952a33…
10-03 21:43:20	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	144	20¢	$29	0x6cbf3d…
10-03 21:42:43	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	No	BUY	46	64¢	$30	0x092be5…
10-03 19:00:59	Will the #1 global Netflix show have between 9 and 12 million views this week?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x3b197b…
10-03 12:10:00	Will "Digger" score at least 53 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x88930d…
10-03 07:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xa75b9e…
10-03 07:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 3?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x0e1238…
10-03 07:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe57191…
10-03 07:35:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x489c41…
10-03 07:34:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb4ec4a…
10-03 07:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	14	4¢	$1	0x77f6b4…
10-03 07:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x94087c…
10-03 07:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x38449f…
10-03 07:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3?	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x8f1797…
10-03 07:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x25fcd1…
10-03 07:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 4?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x743509…
10-03 07:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 3?	No	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0xde36a6…
10-03 07:32:59	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 4?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xad874b…
10-03 07:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x9e85f9…
10-03 07:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 4?	No	SELL	17	80¢	$13	0x7b3b76…
10-03 07:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x2d6aff…
10-03 07:31:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	Yes	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x6ec97b…
10-03 07:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x8a1f98…
10-03 07:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 3?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xb82ed5…
10-03 07:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xf796d9…
10-03 06:43:20	Will "Unabomber" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0x21321b…
10-03 06:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd97260…
10-03 05:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x3ee4ad…
10-03 05:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9ca6be…
10-03 05:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 4?	No	BUY	14	84¢	$11	0xa4e7b9…
10-03 04:51:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x6bbe3b…
10-03 04:51:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x6d0a10…
10-03 04:41:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 4?	No	BUY	9	82¢	$8	0x01341d…
10-03 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 4?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x724fb9…
10-03 04:09:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6c39ec…
10-03 04:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5c699f…
10-03 03:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x24cc11…
10-03 03:24:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd1e197…
10-03 03:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0xe0cdac…
10-03 03:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 3?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x4be934…
10-03 03:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xed1b0a…
10-03 03:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x5a122f…
10-03 03:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x49b905…
10-03 02:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xdd39b3…
10-03 02:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 98-99°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x911034…
10-03 01:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbd699b…
10-03 01:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x6ad83c…
10-03 01:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x07c65f…
10-03 00:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 3?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xd8134d…
10-02 22:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xcd807c…
10-02 22:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 3?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0xc14c5b…
10-02 22:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x027118…
10-02 22:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xb84377…
10-02 22:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 3?	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0xcdfb05…
10-02 22:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xd7a5b0…
10-02 22:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x34cb78…
10-02 22:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x66ec20…
10-02 22:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 4?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xdec3c2…
10-02 22:00:35	Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	Yes	BUY	90	83¢	$74	0xd75f44…
10-02 21:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 3?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc6a469…