Realized P&L
+$78
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved
301
Trades
601
lifetime
Volume
$8.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$133
12 positions
First seen
2026-09-26
last 10-22 09:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Other
75% 42% +$5
Sports
10% 62% +$149
Crypto
8% 61% -$24
Politics
4% 20% -$40
Tech
3% 22% -$12
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +50 $32 65¢ $32 +$0 10-04 14:32
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? No +19 $12 94¢ $18 +$6 10-04 19:17
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +50 $18 35¢ $18 $0 10-04 14:52
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? Yes +20 $8 88¢ $18 +$9 09-28 19:43
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +19 $7 64¢ $12 +$6 10-02 13:08
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? Yes +20 $11 50¢ $10 -$1 10-01 13:36
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027? No +20 $12 50¢ $10 -$2 10-01 18:48
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +19 $11 36¢ $7 -$4 10-04 17:12
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +5 $3 78¢ $4 +$0 10-05 01:51
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? No +20 $13 12¢ $2 -$10 09-28 21:06
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of December 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 $0 10-05 01:52
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? Yes +19 $7 6¢ $1 -$6 10-05 13:43