(anonymous) 0x1516df…183f5a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
885
lifetime
Volume
$1.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$115
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-09 16:15
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
52% — —
Politics
25% — —
Other
23% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -15 $-11 92¢ $-14 $-3 06-06 15:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 06-07 21:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +13 $9 88¢ $11 +$2 06-07 20:48
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 05-29 12:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -12 $-10 80¢ $-10 +$0 06-05 14:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$0 06-08 14:05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $7 82¢ $8 +$0 06-08 14:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +7 $4 74¢ $5 +$1 06-07 19:59
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 +$0 06-03 19:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $5 36¢ $5 +$0 06-08 14:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-28 16:47
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 50¢ $4 +$0 06-03 15:33
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-3 94¢ $-3 $-0 06-08 10:43
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $3 22¢ $3 $-0 06-08 09:10
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +3 $3 84¢ $3 $-0 06-01 07:49
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -3 $-2 69¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 18:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2 $-0 90¢ $2 +$2 06-08 02:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +8 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 06-08 13:46
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-05 09:15
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +7 $1 19¢ $1 +$0 06-04 11:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 64¢ $-1 +$0 06-08 20:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +1 $-1 61¢ $0 +$1 06-01 07:56