(anonymous) 0x1516df…183f5a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,118
lifetime
Volume
$2.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$95
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 07-20 19:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
36% — —
Crypto
36% — —
Politics
28% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $16 60¢ $20 +$4 07-17 09:54
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 92¢ $-12 $-0 06-11 20:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -12 $-11 85¢ $-11 +$0 07-14 12:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $6 48¢ $9 +$3 07-03 19:54
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +49 $11 18¢ $9 $-2 07-20 09:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -10 $-8 72¢ $-8 +$1 06-19 18:30
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $6 57¢ $7 +$1 06-15 06:37
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-28 16:47
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +8 $0 43¢ $4 +$3 07-04 12:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +15 $1 22¢ $3 +$2 07-05 18:31
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-01 07:49
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 20¢ $3 +$0 06-19 09:10
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 $-0 06-05 09:15
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 07-12 17:38