(anonymous) 0x1516df…183f5a
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
976
lifetime
Volume
$2.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$112
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-10
last 06-30 09:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
45% — —
Other
30% — —
Politics
25% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -15 $-11 99¢ $-15 $-4 06-06 15:52
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-12 91¢ $-12 +$0 06-11 20:09
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 05-29 12:38
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $8 26¢ $9 +$1 06-30 15:08
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 26¢ $8 $-1 06-27 18:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $6 65¢ $8 +$2 06-15 06:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -10 $-8 75¢ $-8 +$1 06-19 18:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $4 50¢ $8 +$4 06-17 08:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +20 $5 35¢ $7 +$2 06-29 12:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +6 $4 100¢ $6 +$2 06-15 15:05
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 06-03 19:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 05-28 16:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -4 $-5 100¢ $-4 +$1 06-13 14:28
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 06-01 07:49
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 18¢ $3 $-0 06-19 09:10
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-05 09:15
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +18 $2 2¢ $0 $-2 06-16 13:28
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-04 11:26
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +3 $0 3¢ $0 $-0 06-16 18:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +7 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-14 21:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +8 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-13 11:27