Heavy-Cow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,974

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-09 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

58% 80% $-29

Politics

39% 78% +$83

Crypto

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will leavitt say joe biden during the next white house press briefing	1	$130	200	0	+200	open	—	03-04 17:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	03-01 14:45
will tisza win 8089 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	2	$118	60	60	+0	open	—	04-13 07:17
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?	3	$117	60	60	+0	open	—	04-27 12:08
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$114	60	60	+0	open	—	04-12 09:36
highest temperature in seattle on february 4 2026 58 59f	28	$106	200	0	+200	open	—	02-04 08:44
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt1 or less in january 157	18	$98	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 08:41
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	2	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	04-16 08:39
Will Trump's remarks not air?	2	$83	80	11	+69	open	—	05-14 09:01
will mayhem lady gaga win album of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	02-01 20:17
will epstein data set 13 be released by february 28	1	$80	100	0	+100	open	—	02-04 08:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	05-11 10:40
will trumps remarks not air 194 699 396 332	2	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	03-25 10:40
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	05-29 05:42
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	1	$78	80	0	+80	open	—	05-22 07:38
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	1	$78	80	0	+80	open	—	05-12 13:14
israel closes its airspace by june 11	1	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	06-09 09:31
Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	1	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	05-21 09:42
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	1	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	05-29 05:50
Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	1	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	05-22 08:30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$77	80	0	+80	open	—	05-21 05:43
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	2	$76	80	0	+80	open	—	05-29 09:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$76	80	0	+80	open	—	05-16 09:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$76	80	0	+80	open	—	05-08 07:17
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	1	$75	80	0	+80	open	—	05-21 09:53
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	1	$75	80	0	+80	open	—	05-29 05:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$74	80	0	+80	open	—	05-11 11:08
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	1	$74	80	0	+80	open	—	05-21 17:52
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during miami address	11	$74	200	0	+200	open	—	03-09 16:40
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	1	$74	80	0	+80	open	—	05-21 13:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 09:31:52	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x5303eb…
06-07 00:00:30	israeli forces enter nabatieh by june 7	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb34f09…
06-06 18:52:13	israeli forces enter choukine by june 7	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x7f136b…
05-29 09:02:17	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$55	0xcfbc15…
05-29 07:13:07	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x759180…
05-29 07:12:02	Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x52ba6b…
05-29 07:08:53	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb4447e…
05-29 06:56:54	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	No	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0x988529…
05-29 05:50:15	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x14b4fd…
05-29 05:48:20	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xc2e715…
05-29 05:47:03	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd87716…
05-29 05:45:53	Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?	No	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x696e79…
05-29 05:42:44	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0xa38551…
05-27 16:28:14	Will Trump say "ICE" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xc01b24…
05-27 16:11:07	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x8e6b2c…
05-27 16:10:53	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0x5443a0…
05-27 16:10:51	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0xba74ac…
05-27 15:52:29	Will Trump say "ICE" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2f18f0…
05-27 15:15:07	Will Trump say "ICE" during Cabinet meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x0e32c6…
05-27 14:30:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa9d045…
05-27 14:03:38	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x072479…
05-27 13:57:20	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x983336…
05-25 14:56:09	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0xab4d8d…
05-25 14:55:39	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x52e246…
05-25 14:55:37	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xfc6ba3…
05-25 14:55:35	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc57d2e…
05-25 14:55:18	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	37	73¢	$27	0x193fe7…
05-25 14:23:08	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8d9d9b…
05-25 13:24:49	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0xd5701e…
05-25 11:41:59	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xcb48b1…
05-25 07:52:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xb5fe07…
05-25 07:15:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x866296…
05-23 07:11:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x465e84…
05-23 06:53:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x5cfa53…
05-23 06:32:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xe4a9e0…
05-23 01:44:18	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0xcf0a85…
05-22 18:38:45	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$21	0xc599b3…
05-22 16:47:39	Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x6bdd0e…
05-22 15:41:44	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xf7b950…
05-22 15:31:06	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x5379ac…
05-22 14:53:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x27bf85…
05-22 14:13:27	Will Trump say "Biden" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	36	36¢	$13	0xd16930…
05-22 12:39:13	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x2f8b89…
05-22 12:32:25	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0x6eb69a…
05-22 12:27:08	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f05c8…
05-22 11:16:54	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0x9b6a6c…
05-22 09:41:41	Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd6b96c…
05-22 09:27:00	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x689142…
05-22 08:30:34	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x55d9bf…
05-22 07:38:34	Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by May 31?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x9840e9…
05-22 07:23:29	Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?	No	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0xc664f7…
05-22 07:22:33	Will Trump say "Too late" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	45	57¢	$26	0x6e3ec3…
05-21 17:52:25	Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x5e2e40…
05-21 13:25:22	Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x0796d9…
05-21 13:18:24	Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x3c3bdd…
05-21 09:53:58	Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by May 31?	No	BUY	80	94¢	$75	0x401226…
05-21 09:44:59	Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x8e797e…
05-21 09:42:41	Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x062629…
05-21 07:53:03	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8ae160…
05-21 05:43:13	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xcbd2c1…
05-20 14:21:54	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x1e818f…
05-20 14:19:15	Will Trump say "ISIS" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xbb4584…
05-20 14:18:47	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6cd032…
05-20 14:14:04	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xc84c14…
05-20 13:57:40	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x5c5d43…
05-20 13:57:17	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2c7311…
05-20 13:40:52	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xab732c…
05-20 13:40:00	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xcd3977…
05-20 13:38:43	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x15c64e…
05-20 13:27:53	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xb95397…
05-20 11:39:41	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9208ec…
05-20 10:53:53	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x94d7f3…
05-20 10:45:40	Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 22?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x014a47…
05-20 10:32:48	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2d9e82…
05-20 10:11:59	Will Trump say "Ballroom" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x36707d…
05-20 10:05:39	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x28ec59…
05-20 09:36:36	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa3ffb7…
05-20 09:09:49	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x9b7624…
05-20 08:51:25	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xca7d67…
05-20 08:49:07	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x7a0f9b…
05-20 08:37:18	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	48	89¢	$42	0xa12f0c…
05-20 08:17:44	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x771112…
05-20 08:15:08	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5cd22c…
05-20 08:14:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	28	74¢	$20	0xc658b3…
05-20 08:13:28	Will Trump say "Venezuela" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x4db3c8…
05-20 08:01:05	Will Trump say "Drone" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x82138d…
05-20 07:56:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xa971bf…
05-20 07:50:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xfebc96…
05-20 07:44:10	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0x7e820b…
05-20 07:42:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	80	80¢	$64	0xd5b3a9…
05-20 07:40:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfce20a…
05-20 07:38:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xd95b98…
05-20 07:35:47	Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x476a10…
05-20 07:31:02	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x466abf…
05-19 07:44:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0x29e3b5…
05-18 17:46:51	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0x8f8fa7…
05-18 11:25:48	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x49a0a6…
05-18 10:05:33	Will Trump say "Epstein" this week?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf96682…
05-18 09:56:31	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xecfa7e…
05-18 08:42:31	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4b5c3b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	684	$134.4K	29,976	05-07 01:50
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	621	$826.4K	63,895	06-01 02:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	535	$1.65M	35,880	06-09 16:40
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	503	$667.6K	47,873	06-09 11:36
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	470	$134.2K	16,342	06-09 22:23
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	465	$568	1,005	06-01 02:44
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	414	$512.4K	26,082	06-10 01:43
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	394	$18.8M	29,682	06-10 01:40