Incomplete-Scarf-Tub 0x7be832…bb0f50
bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$107
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
2,686
Trades
8,875
lifetime
Volume
$77.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$235
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-18 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 104 days
Categories
Other
49% 52% -$1,755
Crypto
42% 62% -$375
Sports
6% 50% +$216
Politics
3% 70% -$497
Tech
0% 100% +$9
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +100 $20 72¢ $72 +$52 05-01 10:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -60 -$57 98¢ $-59 -$2 07-05 06:52
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +46 $20 88¢ $41 +$21 05-01 12:37
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +32 $20 94¢ $30 +$10 05-01 09:53
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +32 $5 56¢ $18 +$13 05-01 14:47
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +34 $1 27¢ $9 +$8 05-01 07:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $2 82¢ $4 +$2 07-11 17:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -60 -$4 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-14 06:21