Incomplete-Scarf-Tub 0x7be832…bb0f50 Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$104
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
0
8,875 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$77.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$231
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-12
last 07-18 23:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 105 days
Categories
Other
49% 52% -$1,755
Crypto
42% 62% -$375
Sports
6% 50% +$216
Politics
3% 70% -$497
Tech
0% 100% +$9
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +100 $20 72¢ $72 +$52 05-01 10:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -60 -$57 99¢ $-59 -$2 07-05 06:52
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +46 $20 86¢ $40 +$20 05-01 12:37
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +32 $20 93¢ $29 +$9 05-01 09:53
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +32 $5 56¢ $18 +$13 05-01 14:47
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +34 $1 22¢ $7 +$6 05-01 07:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +5 $2 88¢ $5 +$2 07-11 17:37
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -60 -$4 1¢ $-1 +$3 05-14 06:21