Realized P&L
-$152
Unrealized P&L
-$786
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
44
Trades
72,978
lifetime
Volume
$1.04M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$3.62K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
45% 67% $-61
Politics
26% 62% $-299
Crypto
24% 64% +$205
Sports
3% 100% +$2
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1588 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes -965 $-618 68¢ $-651 $-34 06-02 14:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +593 $320 89¢ $528 +$207 05-31 15:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +4,099 $1,860 10¢ $389 $-1,471 05-29 18:09
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? No +629 $233 42¢ $267 +$35 06-09 16:54
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -800 $-273 24¢ $-196 +$77 05-31 20:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +696 $63 26¢ $177 +$115 06-09 19:33
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -466 $-208 26¢ $-123 +$85 06-09 21:18
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? No -114 $-103 99¢ $-113 $-10 05-28 18:28
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +418 $75 23¢ $96 +$21 06-09 01:49
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -301 $-98 29¢ $-87 +$11 06-07 14:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -178 $-80 46¢ $-81 $-1 06-08 00:25
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? Yes +129 $16 57¢ $74 +$58 06-09 14:40
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No -1,115 $-228 $-72 +$156 05-30 18:11
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -94 $-83 71¢ $-67 +$16 05-30 21:01
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes -549 $-75 11¢ $-62 +$12 06-02 18:32
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? Yes -78 $-11 79¢ $-62 $-50 06-08 13:52
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No +279 $63 21¢ $59 $-5 06-09 16:40
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -219 $-116 26¢ $-58 +$57 06-08 19:49
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027? Yes -61 $-52 92¢ $-57 $-5 05-29 13:42
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -62 $-42 75¢ $-47 $-4 06-01 08:09
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -204 $-43 20¢ $-41 +$2 06-08 23:17
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -62 $-38 64¢ $-40 $-3 06-01 22:54
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -760 $-31 $-39 $-8 06-02 19:03
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No -49 $-63 76¢ $-37 +$26 06-05 15:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +444 $85 $37 $-48 06-07 19:53
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +329 $57 11¢ $35 $-22 06-08 20:28
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -179 $-44 18¢ $-33 +$11 05-31 02:30
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -72 $-17 43¢ $-31 $-15 06-03 15:56
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -70 $-33 44¢ $-31 +$2 06-05 10:10
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? Yes +94 $31 32¢ $30 $-1 06-09 21:35