Realized P&L
-$152
Unrealized P&L
+$442
Hit rate
58.4%
Resolved
44
Trades
100,298
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$2.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
46% 67% $-61
Politics
24% 62% $-299
Crypto
19% 64% +$205
Sports
8% 100% +$2
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 3815 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +593 $320 100¢ $591 +$271 05-31 15:04
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -353 $-193 74¢ $-263 $-70 06-15 15:59
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No +157 $63 99¢ $155 +$91 06-15 16:01
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -423 $-132 34¢ $-146 $-14 06-20 08:37
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -231 $-170 56¢ $-130 +$40 06-24 01:43
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? No -114 $-103 100¢ $-114 $-11 05-28 18:28
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -87 $-46 100¢ $-87 $-41 06-22 19:51
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -178 $-180 48¢ $-85 +$95 06-11 12:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -169 $-104 48¢ $-80 +$23 06-24 08:22
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +80 $56 91¢ $73 +$17 06-15 00:24
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No -72 $-31 99¢ $-71 $-40 06-22 02:20
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -94 $-83 66¢ $-62 +$21 05-30 21:01
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +96 $46 50¢ $47 +$2 06-15 18:14
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes -270 $-58 18¢ $-47 +$10 06-12 12:21
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? No -47 $-32 100¢ $-46 $-14 06-17 01:37
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -62 $-42 74¢ $-46 $-4 06-01 08:09
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -62 $-38 68¢ $-42 $-5 06-01 22:54
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -40 $-36 92¢ $-37 $-1 06-12 10:29
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No -49 $-63 74¢ $-36 +$27 06-05 15:54
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -45 $-21 79¢ $-36 $-15 06-01 19:12
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes -760 $-31 $-35 $-5 06-02 19:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat? No +38 $14 85¢ $32 +$18 06-15 11:47
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -179 $-44 16¢ $-28 +$16 05-31 02:30
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -70 $-33 36¢ $-25 +$8 06-05 10:10
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +25 $10 98¢ $24 +$14 06-15 02:42
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 $25 50¢ $24 $-1 06-01 15:50
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No -72 $-20 32¢ $-23 $-3 06-14 05:30
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No -23 $-20 100¢ $-23 $-3 05-30 00:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes -76 $-30 30¢ $-23 +$8 06-19 22:04
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +27 $14 84¢ $22 +$9 06-14 15:51