(anonymous) 0xd28142…91a3c9
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$199
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
527
lifetime
Volume
$4.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$1.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-16
last 06-18 17:45
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
61% — —
Politics
29% — —
Tech
10% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 455 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes +620 $72 33¢ $207 +$135 06-16 07:49
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +321 $135 59¢ $190 +$56 06-16 03:26
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? Yes +1,148 $126 14¢ $161 +$34 06-18 15:07
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +191 $25 66¢ $126 +$101 06-16 05:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +446 $85 16¢ $69 $-16 06-16 20:20
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +90 $57 65¢ $58 +$2 06-16 03:26
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? Yes +398 $34 9¢ $36 +$2 06-16 13:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +101 $62 34¢ $35 $-27 06-16 05:18
Will Silver (SI) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +37 $29 92¢ $34 +$5 06-16 08:05
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +245 $44 14¢ $33 $-11 06-16 13:07
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? No +50 $29 63¢ $31 +$2 06-18 17:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +36 $29 86¢ $31 +$2 06-16 03:26
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +44 $33 70¢ $30 $-3 06-18 17:45
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +33 $29 88¢ $29 $-0 06-16 03:26
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +32 $29 86¢ $28 $-1 06-16 12:12
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +29 $25 94¢ $27 +$2 06-16 05:58
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? No +29 $25 87¢ $25 +$0 06-16 17:26
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No +27 $17 79¢ $22 +$5 06-17 04:49
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +36 $29 57¢ $21 $-8 06-16 03:25
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? Yes +234 $33 8¢ $20 $-13 06-17 06:06
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +32 $25 56¢ $18 $-7 06-16 05:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June? Yes +118 $41 15¢ $18 $-23 06-16 09:57
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? Yes +51 $10 24¢ $12 +$2 06-18 09:37
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +34 $25 36¢ $12 $-13 06-16 05:44
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? No +11 $9 92¢ $10 +$1 06-16 08:20
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +12 $9 82¢ $10 +$1 06-16 06:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$0 06-16 03:26
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +32 $4 15¢ $5 +$1 06-16 08:49
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +328 $36 1¢ $5 $-31 06-16 05:47
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $4 81¢ $4 +$0 06-18 12:20