Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109ae…ff450b
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Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
+$150
Hit rate
5.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,825
lifetime
Volume
$37.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$976
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-30 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
69% 67% +$6
Politics
31% 25% $-314
Crypto
0% — —
Sports
0% 50% $-10
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -179 $-166 91¢ $-163 +$3 06-14 01:51
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +141 $127 88¢ $125 $-2 06-30 05:43
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +96 $84 92¢ $89 +$5 05-31 19:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +62 $19 100¢ $62 +$43 06-16 12:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +41 $18 100¢ $41 +$23 06-15 01:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -40 $-34 100¢ $-40 $-6 06-14 10:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -46 $-31 77¢ $-35 $-5 06-07 18:06
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +38 $31 90¢ $34 +$3 06-19 12:22
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +66 $18 50¢ $33 +$16 06-27 07:02
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -33 $-29 99¢ $-33 $-4 06-06 02:55
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $32 26¢ $28 $-4 06-30 03:57
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +32 $24 86¢ $27 +$3 06-29 23:33
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +30 $26 86¢ $26 $-0 06-30 09:22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -36 $-60 68¢ $-24 +$36 06-25 20:17
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes -50 $-23 48¢ $-24 $-1 06-30 11:55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -24 $-34 99¢ $-24 +$10 06-03 20:08
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +46 $18 50¢ $23 +$5 06-19 20:18
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +68 $17 32¢ $22 +$4 06-29 19:18
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -20 $-19 97¢ $-19 $-0 06-05 09:32
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $17 24¢ $18 +$1 06-19 09:11
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $15 19¢ $17 +$2 06-30 00:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +15 $10 90¢ $13 +$3 06-23 17:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -11 $-26 100¢ $-11 +$14 06-16 15:24
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$0 05-31 19:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +45 $14 20¢ $9 $-5 06-07 07:23
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $7 6¢ $6 $-1 06-08 19:41
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $7 29¢ $6 $-1 06-27 12:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 06-13 03:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +4 $-3 100¢ $4 +$7 06-19 19:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 38¢ $4 $-0 06-06 19:01