Realized P&L
+$437
Unrealized P&L
+$249
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
701
Trades
11,414
lifetime
Volume
$72.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 10-23 15:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 152 days
Categories
Other
70% 51% +$1,358
Politics
26% 41% -$45
Crypto
4% 22% -$909
Sports
0% 46% +$33
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,234 $1,019 98¢ $1.2K +$189 10-14 15:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? No +562 $496 92¢ $518 +$22 10-11 13:43
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? No +540 $490 82¢ $446 -$44 10-07 14:15
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +340 $297 100¢ $338 +$41 10-11 15:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +287 $217 78¢ $222 +$5 10-12 12:34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? No +200 $156 47¢ $94 -$62 10-07 14:15
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +80 $67 98¢ $78 +$11 10-18 00:03
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -68 -$59 92¢ $-63 -$4 06-14 10:15
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$41 95¢ $-57 -$16 06-14 10:16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes — +34 $30 99¢ $33 +$3 10-14 07:17
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -45 -$20 68¢ $-31 -$10 08-18 16:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +80 $46 36¢ $29 -$17 10-07 14:15
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -40 -$21 68¢ $-27 -$6 08-19 07:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +29 $14 86¢ $25 +$11 07-22 19:34
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes +32 $17 57¢ $19 +$2 08-18 07:29
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -15 -$19 93¢ $-14 +$5 07-14 17:33
will russia capture vodianske by december 31 20260724162613572 No +32 $16 43¢ $14 -$2 07-29 11:49
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -10 -$8 71¢ $-7 +$1 08-18 01:08
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +5 -$6 98¢ $5 +$10 08-05 10:01
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +5 -$22 96¢ $5 +$27 08-19 16:00
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 -$17 96¢ $5 +$22 07-21 16:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $7 14¢ $4 -$3 08-18 03:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +4 -$13 92¢ $4 +$16 07-31 19:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 -$1 92¢ $4 +$4 07-11 06:13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -10 -$4 29¢ $-3 +$1 05-04 12:16
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -35 -$27 4¢ $-2 +$26 08-18 20:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -6 -$5 20¢ $-1 +$4 08-17 12:34
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +1 -$1 95¢ $1 +$2 07-16 22:21
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-14 10:18
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +1 -$11 78¢ $1 +$11 10-23 15:51