Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
+$78
Hit rate
5.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
4,210
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$775
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-09 21:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
71% 67% +$6
Politics
29% 25% $-314
Sports
0% 50% $-10
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +113 $67 78¢ $88 +$21 06-08 07:54
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +96 $84 90¢ $86 +$2 05-31 19:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +66 $47 88¢ $59 +$11 06-07 20:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$6 06-08 04:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No -50 $-50 80¢ $-40 +$9 06-05 14:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +42 $37 96¢ $40 +$3 06-08 14:37
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -38 $-35 94¢ $-36 $-1 06-06 19:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +40 $33 90¢ $36 +$3 05-28 17:51
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -40 $-33 90¢ $-36 $-2 06-01 02:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +38 $30 82¢ $31 +$2 06-08 14:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -46 $-31 68¢ $-31 $-0 06-07 18:06
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -33 $-29 90¢ $-30 $-1 06-06 02:55
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -24 $-34 95¢ $-23 +$11 06-03 20:08
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +50 $20 45¢ $23 +$2 06-08 20:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +55 $20 36¢ $20 +$0 06-08 21:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +25 $19 78¢ $20 +$1 05-29 07:17
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 $-0 06-05 09:32
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +88 $16 18¢ $16 $-0 06-09 11:09
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $14 22¢ $13 $-0 06-09 02:14
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +14 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 06-04 05:31
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 05-31 19:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +45 $14 22¢ $10 $-4 06-07 07:23
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -10 $-11 100¢ $-10 +$1 06-07 20:46
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +9 $8 84¢ $8 $-0 06-06 16:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $7 48¢ $7 $-0 06-07 07:43
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? Yes +34 $9 19¢ $7 $-2 06-09 17:31
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +108 $7 $6 $-1 06-08 19:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $-6 90¢ $5 +$11 06-08 05:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +5 $0 88¢ $4 +$4 06-07 09:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 38¢ $4 $-0 06-06 19:01