Legitimate-Rebellion 0xc109ae…ff450b
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Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
+$123
Hit rate
5.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
7,413
lifetime
Volume
$45.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$821
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-21 00:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
69% 67% +$6
Politics
30% 25% $-314
Sports
0% 50% $-10
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 201 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No -179 $-166 92¢ $-166 +$0 06-14 01:51
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +96 $84 92¢ $88 +$4 05-31 19:39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +119 $32 57¢ $68 +$35 07-20 22:53
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +103 $57 52¢ $54 $-3 07-13 22:03
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +90 $37 48¢ $43 +$6 07-12 04:45
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $52 18¢ $43 $-9 07-20 09:07
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +205 $35 20¢ $40 +$5 07-16 10:50
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? No +48 $35 80¢ $39 +$4 07-17 21:52
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +44 $40 86¢ $38 $-2 07-20 00:14
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +58 $18 60¢ $35 +$16 07-20 11:47
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -38 $-39 84¢ $-32 +$7 07-14 12:29
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +31 $-6 70¢ $22 +$28 07-12 13:45
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -20 $-19 98¢ $-20 $-0 06-05 09:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +87 $5 22¢ $19 +$13 07-17 09:06
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes +46 $18 38¢ $18 $-0 06-19 20:18
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $32 16¢ $18 $-14 06-30 03:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -15 $-17 90¢ $-13 +$3 07-14 17:33
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +44 $12 26¢ $11 $-1 07-19 06:44
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +248 $13 4¢ $11 $-2 07-11 05:38
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No -8 $-9 92¢ $-7 +$1 07-16 22:21
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +23 $3 30¢ $7 +$4 07-06 14:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $4 68¢ $7 +$3 06-06 19:01
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +36 $5 18¢ $7 +$1 07-12 17:45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No -13 $-17 43¢ $-6 +$11 07-21 00:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +17 $-0 26¢ $4 +$4 07-19 18:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $-1 55¢ $2 +$3 07-11 06:13
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No -2 $-7 97¢ $-2 +$5 07-17 22:23
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 07-16 20:25
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 10:18
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? Yes +7 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 07-09 08:19