Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$222
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
236
lifetime
Volume
$16.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$1.96K
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-18 17:57
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Politics
31%
Sports
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -900 $-207 46¢ $-418 $-212 06-12 15:44
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +377 $200 70¢ $262 +$62 06-06 17:15
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +230 $200 99¢ $228 +$28 06-09 18:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +331 $240 67¢ $222 $-18 06-13 06:55
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +441 $200 43¢ $190 $-10 07-01 14:33
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +313 $137 46¢ $145 +$9 07-01 19:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $140 72¢ $143 +$3 07-18 17:57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -500 $-120 22¢ $-107 +$12 07-01 20:06
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +123 $100 83¢ $102 +$2 07-01 18:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +102 $209 99¢ $100 $-109 06-30 19:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-30 10¢ $-21 +$9 06-05 20:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +34 $10 26¢ $9 $-1 06-09 18:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-07 06:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-6 86¢ $-4 +$2 06-10 14:32
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +1 $1 91¢ $1 $-0 06-07 06:28