Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$83
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
164
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$73
Open exposure
$3.56K
21 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-30 18:07
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63%
Politics
34%
Sports
2%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,040 $-848 100¢ $-1035 $-187 06-16 17:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +364 $283 99¢ $360 +$78 06-23 20:30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +331 $240 84¢ $276 +$36 06-13 06:55
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +246 $200 98¢ $242 +$42 06-09 17:31
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +377 $200 58¢ $221 +$21 06-06 17:15
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +230 $200 94¢ $217 +$17 06-09 18:01
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? No +200 $176 99¢ $198 +$22 06-22 21:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -900 $-207 16¢ $-148 +$58 06-12 15:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -149 $-104 100¢ $-148 $-45 06-12 15:52
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +111 $100 99¢ $110 +$10 06-09 18:12
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +111 $100 99¢ $110 +$10 06-09 18:15
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No +108 $101 100¢ $108 +$7 06-13 11:58
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by June 30? No +100 $86 98¢ $98 +$13 06-21 08:11
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +233 $100 41¢ $95 $-4 06-30 17:47
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +213 $100 36¢ $78 $-22 06-09 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +102 $209 70¢ $71 $-138 06-30 19:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-30 15¢ $-30 +$0 06-05 20:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +34 $10 24¢ $8 $-2 06-09 18:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-07 06:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-6 80¢ $-4 +$2 06-10 14:32
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +1 $1 93¢ $1 $-0 06-07 06:28