Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
76
lifetime
Volume
$5.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$77
Open exposure
$3.01K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 06-09 18:32
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
69%
Politics
30%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +792 $530 70¢ $558 +$28 06-06 17:39
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +377 $200 60¢ $225 +$25 06-06 17:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +267 $200 80¢ $213 +$13 06-06 17:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -900 $-207 24¢ $-212 $-4 06-01 20:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +247 $200 84¢ $206 +$6 06-06 17:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +323 $200 62¢ $202 +$2 06-06 17:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +264 $205 76¢ $201 $-4 06-09 18:10
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +230 $200 86¢ $199 $-1 06-09 18:01
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +246 $200 79¢ $194 $-6 06-09 17:31
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +193 $140 72¢ $139 $-1 06-09 18:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +141 $120 90¢ $128 +$8 06-04 07:45
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +213 $100 52¢ $111 +$11 06-09 18:12
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +111 $100 90¢ $100 +$0 06-09 18:12
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +111 $100 90¢ $100 +$0 06-09 18:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +112 $100 88¢ $99 $-1 06-06 17:15
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30? Yes +376 $100 18¢ $70 $-30 06-09 17:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-30 18¢ $-35 $-5 06-05 20:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +34 $10 32¢ $11 +$1 06-09 18:11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $-0 06-07 06:24
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-08 12:59
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama Nothing +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-07 06:28
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 79¢ $1 $-0 06-07 06:49