Realized P&L
-$1.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$819
Hit rate
60.2%
Resolved
122
Trades
293
lifetime
Volume
$19.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.83K
12 positions
First seen
2026-04-15
last 07-23 13:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
66% 70% -$501
Politics
29% 62% -$695
Sports
4% 80% +$215
Tech
1% 50% -$64
Crypto
0% 74% +$10
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will russia capture kupiansk vuzlovyi by december 31 547 No +900 $477 95¢ $859 +$382 07-01 17:44
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 No +567 $348 92¢ $519 +$171 07-10 15:02
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +377 $200 94¢ $353 +$153 06-06 17:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +331 $240 91¢ $301 +$61 06-13 06:55
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +313 $137 96¢ $299 +$163 07-01 19:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $140 94¢ $187 +$47 07-18 17:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +400 $260 38¢ $152 -$108 07-01 18:31
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +123 $100 97¢ $120 +$20 07-01 18:14
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes +332 $100 9¢ $28 -$72 06-30 17:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +34 $5 17¢ $6 +$1 06-10 14:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-07 06:24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -5 -$6 96¢ $-5 +$2 06-10 14:32