Extroverted-Engineer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.19K

Unrealized P&L

+$174

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,908

lifetime

Volume

$741.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$190

Open exposure

$1.26K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

50% 33% $-6,188

Other

50% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+1,080	$953	89¢	$959	+$6	07-19 22:00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-1,747	$-473	18¢	$-306	+$167	06-17 09:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	119	$94.8K	104,397	93,468	+10,930	open	—	03-01 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	225	$53.5K	23,500	65,174	-41,674	Yes	+$24,431	05-05 23:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$46.0K	25,000	25,000	+0	open	—	04-25 10:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$36.9K	28,247	28,247	+0	open	—	05-08 18:48
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	89	$32.2K	7,853	25,195	-17,342	open	—	01-31 00:28
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	190	$31.0K	46,181	0	+46,181	open	—	02-20 23:55
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	218	$28.0K	18,099	57,591	-39,492	open	—	03-15 20:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	16	$25.4K	0	27,615	-27,615	open	—	02-10 02:00
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	169	$23.0K	21,604	18,343	+3,261	open	—	03-22 18:19
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	77	$21.2K	14,234	9,036	+5,198	open	—	01-29 21:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	18	$18.5K	3,364	15,715	-12,351	open	—	01-17 23:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	35	$18.5K	32,469	0	+32,469	Yes	$-18,473	05-08 19:25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$15.1K	24,500	0	+24,500	open	—	02-26 06:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	23	$14.6K	7,802	8,000	-198	open	—	03-20 18:17
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	238	$14.3K	40,269	37	+40,232	open	—	02-26 13:00
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	23	$13.4K	6,000	9,500	-3,500	open	—	01-14 00:06
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	58	$13.3K	7,090	10,721	-3,631	open	—	02-05 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$12.1K	16,377	0	+16,377	Yes	$-12,146	05-08 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11.6K	6,507	6,507	+0	open	—	05-03 15:42
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	57	$11.2K	25,125	13,500	+11,625	open	—	02-28 13:54
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	20	$11.0K	11,682	0	+11,682	open	—	03-22 16:59
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	143	$10.6K	14,456	23,596	-9,140	open	—	03-10 07:47
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	8	$9.9K	14,547	0	+14,547	open	—	02-02 23:13
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	24	$9.7K	27,554	27,554	+0	open	—	01-07 00:30
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	30	$9.4K	10,173	0	+10,173	open	—	01-12 06:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	27	$9.3K	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	03-07 04:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-18 10:20
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	100	$8.4K	16,011	25,802	-9,791	open	—	02-27 19:17
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	20	$8.2K	9,176	10,213	-1,037	open	—	03-04 16:12
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	26	$7.6K	3,980	3,980	+0	open	—	01-14 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 22:00:19	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	985	88¢	$869	0xe96d5b…
07-19 17:56:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	88¢	$84	0xeafd92…
06-27 22:16:47	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x9a6b0d…
06-27 22:16:28	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x6ec131…
06-22 23:48:35	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xbc979b…
06-22 21:15:17	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	15¢	$13	0xf94eeb…
06-17 09:11:46	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	30¢	$14	0xd0122b…
06-17 09:10:05	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	29¢	$261	0x1d5323…
06-16 19:59:35	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	290	25¢	$72	0xfdb003…
06-16 19:59:35	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x11cee6…
06-16 09:08:55	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0xb627f3…
06-16 09:08:55	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0xa8035b…
06-16 09:08:40	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	96	14¢	$13	0x752b15…
06-16 09:08:40	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	24	14¢	$3	0x36ab78…
06-16 09:08:39	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xb21b8f…
06-16 09:08:39	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0x9d61ab…
06-16 09:08:39	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x5ad28a…
06-16 09:08:37	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	239	14¢	$33	0x5c71c7…
06-15 13:07:27	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	25¢	$175	0x2a43eb…
06-15 02:42:13	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	18¢	$54	0x9ef82d…
06-10 14:21:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	554	28¢	$152	0x85f676…
06-10 12:31:31	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	76	27¢	$21	0xc25cb3…
06-10 08:53:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	725	3¢	$21	0x67dfd1…
06-10 07:46:46	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x90c4b8…
06-09 18:08:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	27¢	$137	0xf02982…
06-09 10:13:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	26¢	$17	0xc22e7f…
06-08 12:49:52	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	147	3¢	$4	0x22d001…
06-08 11:20:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xf8a2d6…
06-08 11:20:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x03bf76…
06-08 10:10:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	26¢	$16	0xeb0ec2…
06-08 10:07:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xcce5aa…
06-08 07:26:07	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	129	3¢	$4	0x14bc2e…
06-08 05:07:16	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	381	26¢	$98	0xedcc72…
06-08 00:10:24	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xec8e6f…
06-08 00:00:10	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	26¢	$26	0x956c58…
06-07 23:35:58	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0xeabfd8…
06-07 22:44:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	248	26¢	$64	0x76d7f8…
06-07 22:18:52	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x530be7…
06-07 08:53:45	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	961	24¢	$226	0x2ec977…
06-06 22:31:36	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x45342c…
06-06 22:30:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x6e8fc5…
06-06 22:26:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	102	4¢	$4	0xe7f403…
06-06 20:21:06	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	399	4¢	$14	0x6a6306…
06-06 18:33:48	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$11	0xe43c39…
06-06 09:08:22	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0xab4bef…
06-06 04:43:34	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	240	4¢	$9	0x86ebc6…
06-06 03:44:43	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$11	0x61fb16…
06-05 22:38:12	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$11	0x7fea49…
06-05 18:08:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$7	0x5b6e39…
06-04 01:23:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	229	4¢	$8	0xb1b6cb…
06-03 21:46:46	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x5e0817…
06-03 19:57:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	4¢	$1	0x33dbd9…
06-02 14:24:18	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	900	28¢	$254	0xdd3b90…
06-02 09:37:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0x96fec3…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe3e551…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xcb719d…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x7d6c1f…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x21eaa1…
06-02 05:56:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	4¢	$2	0x0e5559…
06-02 04:04:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xb1d666…
06-02 03:18:41	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xba435d…
06-02 03:13:21	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x081402…
06-02 03:13:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe96b96…
06-02 03:13:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xb58932…
06-02 03:13:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xa3e0c4…
06-02 03:13:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x28b684…
06-02 03:13:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x18a5d1…
06-02 03:13:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x00c5a1…
06-02 03:11:34	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xc4eae0…
06-02 03:11:30	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x037179…
06-02 02:18:17	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe810eb…
06-02 02:18:17	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xe01052…
06-02 02:18:17	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	92	4¢	$3	0xb2258c…
06-02 02:18:17	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x5be01c…
06-02 02:16:16	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	4¢	$3	0xb042ec…
06-01 22:47:12	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$72	0x2d3ef4…
06-01 16:12:06	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	700	28¢	$193	0x803254…
05-31 20:46:00	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x5ecad1…
05-31 18:40:42	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x8492f4…
05-31 18:34:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x06185f…
05-31 17:54:21	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc9dfe1…
05-31 17:53:11	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	472	35¢	$165	0x632ee5…
05-31 17:47:30	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	519	35¢	$181	0xc48721…
05-31 16:01:32	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	223	32¢	$71	0x67582d…
05-31 12:21:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	226	32¢	$72	0xe5ed33…
05-31 12:07:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	32¢	$39	0x60fb9d…
05-31 11:08:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	316	32¢	$101	0xd29128…
05-30 19:30:49	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	170	4¢	$7	0x7d34dd…
05-30 19:03:19	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xff5126…
05-30 18:32:13	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	117	4¢	$5	0xe8edda…
05-29 18:07:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xf30f48…
05-29 17:04:18	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	23¢	$8	0x34774c…
05-29 17:03:55	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0x497c53…
05-29 17:03:32	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0xc6f831…
05-29 17:03:11	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x794567…
05-29 00:00:33	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	761	28¢	$214	0xb75546…
05-28 23:41:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	SELL	139	28¢	$39	0x9f1690…
05-28 20:38:50	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,635	4¢	$65	0xad2f22…
05-28 15:54:18	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x2b6359…
05-28 13:10:16	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	5¢	$1	0x08faec…