Extroverted-Engineer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57.3K

Unrealized P&L

+$2.74K

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

4,203

lifetime

Volume

$766.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

$7.44K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-20 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

51% 51% +$28,221

Politics

49% 52% -$85,534

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-4,609	-$4,102	98¢	$-4533	-$431	05-08 19:23
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-31,447	-$5,084	8¢	$-2359	+$2,726	10-20 11:05
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-20,571	-$1,433	2¢	$-391	+$1,042	10-20 12:04
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-7,133	$440	2¢	$-153	-$593	10-17 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	119	$94.8K	104,397	93,468	+10,930	Yes	-$85,965	03-01 14:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	225	$53.5K	23,500	65,174	-41,674	Yes	+$24,431	05-05 23:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$46.0K	25,000	25,000	+0	No	+$3,690	04-25 10:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$36.9K	28,247	28,247	+0	No	-$140	05-08 18:48
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	89	$32.2K	7,853	25,195	-17,342	No	+$533	01-31 00:28
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	190	$31.0K	46,181	0	+46,181	Yes	+$15,189	02-20 23:55
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	218	$28.0K	18,099	57,591	-39,492	No	-$8,771	03-15 20:58
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	16	$25.4K	0	27,615	-27,615	No	-$2,209	02-10 02:00
will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	169	$23.0K	21,604	18,343	+3,261	Yes	-$3,537	03-22 18:19
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	77	$21.2K	14,234	9,036	+5,198	No	+$1,974	01-29 21:44
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	18	$18.5K	3,364	15,715	-12,351	No	-$243	01-17 23:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	35	$18.5K	32,469	0	+32,469	Yes	-$18,473	05-08 19:25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$15.1K	24,500	0	+24,500	Yes	+$9,405	02-26 06:31
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	23	$14.6K	7,802	8,000	-198	No	+$1,040	03-20 18:17
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	238	$14.3K	40,269	37	+40,232	Yes	+$25,962	02-26 13:00
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	23	$13.4K	6,000	9,500	-3,500	No	-$953	01-14 00:06
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	58	$13.3K	7,090	10,721	-3,631	Yes	+$4,374	02-05 21:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	14	$12.1K	16,377	0	+16,377	Yes	-$12,146	05-08 18:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11.6K	6,507	6,507	+0	No	+$1,419	05-03 15:42
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	57	$11.2K	25,125	13,500	+11,625	No	+$873	02-28 13:54
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	20	$11.0K	11,682	0	+11,682	Yes	+$671	03-22 16:59
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	143	$10.6K	14,456	23,596	-9,140	No	-$4,434	03-10 07:47
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	8	$9.9K	14,547	0	+14,547	Yes	+$4,657	02-02 23:13
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	24	$9.7K	27,554	27,554	+0	No	-$2,804	01-07 00:30
will khamenei leave iran by jan 16 974	30	$9.4K	10,173	0	+10,173	No	+$745	01-12 06:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	27	$9.3K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$3,669	03-07 04:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$9.3K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$700	01-18 10:20
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	100	$8.4K	16,011	25,802	-9,791	No	-$5,919	02-27 19:17
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	20	$8.2K	9,176	10,213	-1,037	Yes	-$7,223	03-04 16:12
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	26	$7.6K	3,980	3,980	+0	No	+$203	01-14 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 12:04:02	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,902	5¢	$136	0xaff255…
10-20 11:05:00	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	456	12¢	$55	0xcd0302…
10-20 10:55:20	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	12¢	$8	0xbba3dd…
10-20 03:48:20	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x0d679a…
10-20 03:31:02	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	12¢	$20	0x4aee2d…
10-20 00:33:59	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	160	12¢	$19	0xc76f05…
10-19 22:12:21	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x11698a…
10-19 21:03:39	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	5¢	$11	0xc3e9bc…
10-19 20:54:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xaf9dbf…
10-19 19:59:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x8cf996…
10-19 19:55:26	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	12¢	$16	0x1379d8…
10-19 19:54:45	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	12¢	$10	0x61ba7e…
10-19 19:54:08	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x23880e…
10-19 19:54:06	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	12¢	$2	0x04ce4d…
10-19 08:23:21	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x110d38…
10-19 08:23:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	12¢	$19	0xf0cbc0…
10-19 08:23:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x2d755c…
10-19 08:23:18	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,089	12¢	$251	0x0cd41f…
10-19 00:54:42	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,510	12¢	$301	0x986b46…
10-19 00:16:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	437	12¢	$52	0xec0e03…
10-18 23:17:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	12¢	$7	0xdc0c9b…
10-18 23:17:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xb5a20d…
10-18 23:17:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	138	12¢	$17	0x7aa3c4…
10-18 23:17:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x13be80…
10-18 23:17:32	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xb20920…
10-18 23:17:32	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0x7dd38c…
10-18 23:17:32	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x000e6c…
10-18 23:16:56	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,984	12¢	$238	0x00886c…
10-18 15:20:17	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,101	5¢	$101	0x53baa3…
10-17 08:54:00	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	14¢	$84	0xc17ca9…
10-17 07:23:03	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	288	5¢	$14	0xee89b7…
10-17 07:19:15	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	370	5¢	$18	0x2323c9…
10-17 05:30:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x2ec982…
10-16 16:51:43	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	5¢	$48	0x6e3fd5…
10-16 11:14:48	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x4eea53…
10-16 03:24:42	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	5¢	$12	0x5c4a9f…
10-15 14:59:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xde00ee…
10-15 14:36:01	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x4f28ec…
10-15 11:53:25	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	14¢	$420	0x005697…
10-15 06:22:25	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,744	14¢	$1,224	0x1ca629…
10-14 10:39:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,151	14¢	$161	0x1ae322…
10-10 20:15:06	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	366	7¢	$26	0x9739be…
10-08 04:14:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xc428ea…
10-08 04:14:34	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x5eca06…
10-08 04:14:34	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x1b09df…
10-07 19:56:34	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	322	20¢	$64	0xfe390a…
10-05 13:33:22	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,003	7¢	$70	0xded93c…
10-05 01:03:17	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xd4eb8b…
10-05 01:03:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x74cabd…
10-05 01:02:08	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x9b447e…
10-04 22:54:47	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xe3d852…
10-04 22:51:14	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x42a02c…
10-04 22:51:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x371963…
10-04 19:37:37	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xb6f532…
10-04 15:51:23	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x1a0432…
10-04 15:40:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	20¢	$9	0x5e86f9…
10-04 15:03:02	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0x061ae7…
10-04 15:02:19	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,348	20¢	$470	0x62de29…
10-04 14:22:05	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xad14af…
10-04 08:41:52	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	5¢	$11	0xe0e123…
10-03 17:23:14	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0xc5d7af…
10-03 17:23:12	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	7¢	$34	0x947b0d…
09-30 19:13:32	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	5¢	$11	0x91d01a…
09-30 16:30:03	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	118	5¢	$6	0xb75f3f…
09-29 22:28:53	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	476	2¢	$11	0x681f8f…
09-29 16:32:02	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0x170e85…
09-28 23:25:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	23¢	$920	0xf87931…
09-28 06:05:33	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x6718de…
09-27 12:45:11	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	7¢	$3	0x975119…
09-27 12:45:08	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,104	7¢	$147	0x9e5d39…
09-23 23:02:32	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	5¢	$4	0xdf5173…
09-23 22:57:49	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,182	5¢	$217	0x76a12e…
09-20 03:21:10	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xdd7b21…
09-20 02:38:31	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0x95d448…
09-19 16:53:23	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x33b073…
09-19 16:39:06	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	29¢	$203	0x54b88d…
09-19 11:40:24	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x6454cb…
09-19 07:50:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	29¢	$10	0xa960b7…
09-19 07:39:13	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	29¢	$5	0x84ca90…
09-19 02:13:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x674083…
09-19 00:25:16	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,362	29¢	$395	0x7c3d4d…
09-14 22:00:42	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x4de997…
09-13 10:15:04	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	301	16¢	$48	0xd8bc4c…
09-13 10:15:04	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	16¢	$14	0x672510…
09-13 10:14:52	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	330	15¢	$50	0x083fd7…
09-13 01:41:25	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	14¢	$280	0x576a5b…
09-12 14:58:37	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,168	8¢	$93	0xcc0d8d…
09-12 13:56:15	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	8¢	$16	0xe2a3d0…
09-10 02:58:39	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	15¢	$22	0x14263b…
09-10 02:33:00	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x680387…
09-09 19:11:19	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x63cfde…
09-09 17:21:48	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0xd2c888…
09-09 16:16:57	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,824	9¢	$164	0xf5e7e2…
09-09 15:23:27	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	8¢	$4	0x7add74…
09-09 09:36:42	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	8¢	$8	0x856220…
09-09 08:33:48	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xef89c4…
09-09 06:13:22	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,186	8¢	$255	0x029493…
09-08 23:21:39	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x31ac63…
09-08 23:20:18	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	442	15¢	$66	0x1eb69f…
09-08 21:32:28	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	621	10¢	$62	0x49429a…