Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$4.29K
Hit rate
18.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,632
lifetime
Volume
$104.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$3.83K
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 06-30 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
59% 0% $-29
Other
41% 50% $-21
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,974 $632 66¢ $1.3K +$661 06-29 14:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -985 $-1,368 65¢ $-641 +$727 06-29 19:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -816 $-763 75¢ $-612 +$151 06-23 21:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +1,313 $301 25¢ $328 +$28 06-30 17:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +232 $191 97¢ $225 +$34 06-30 13:45
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No -200 $-136 100¢ $-199 $-63 06-19 06:37
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +2,334 $201 $148 $-53 06-25 22:12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +309 $74 28¢ $86 +$13 06-16 12:23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +566 $55 14¢ $79 +$24 06-30 14:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +500 $50 10¢ $48 $-2 06-29 18:18
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +523 $45 $47 +$2 06-30 13:55
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $55 38¢ $38 $-17 06-28 11:19
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +200 $30 16¢ $31 +$1 06-24 16:51
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +139 $16 11¢ $16 $-0 06-01 22:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +32 $8 35¢ $11 +$3 06-27 18:24
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30? Yes +300 $75 $8 $-67 06-16 19:59
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $4 27¢ $6 +$1 06-13 20:40
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +553 $19 $5 $-14 06-26 19:03
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +2,000 $42 $5 $-37 06-24 10:21
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes -659 $-39 $-4 +$36 06-17 22:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +535 $-2,673 $1 +$2,674 06-28 21:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -174 $-36 $-1 +$36 06-27 03:00
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes -82 $-5 $-1 +$4 06-01 13:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $-154 18¢ $0 +$154 06-28 04:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +55 $3 $0 $-3 06-16 12:22
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +0 $-0 $0 +$0 06-23 21:45