Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
18.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
5,704
lifetime
Volume
$164.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$5.89K
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 07-20 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
63% 0% $-29
Other
37% 50% $-21
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 118 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3,382 $-2,411 74¢ $-2485 $-74 07-20 20:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +8,439 $736 11¢ $886 +$150 07-18 12:55
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,616 $-683 26¢ $-693 $-10 07-20 19:33
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes -863 $-803 63¢ $-543 +$260 07-05 20:19
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -485 $-1,064 59¢ $-286 +$778 07-09 08:57
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +2,445 $283 11¢ $257 $-26 07-18 14:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +1,130 $230 22¢ $243 +$13 07-08 21:26
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? Yes -560 $-249 38¢ $-216 +$33 07-19 13:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +565 $-3 13¢ $75 +$78 07-12 08:17
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +309 $74 20¢ $62 $-12 06-16 12:23
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $55 40¢ $40 $-16 06-28 11:19
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +523 $45 $39 $-6 06-30 13:55
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,033 $144 $27 $-117 07-14 14:55
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +139 $16 15¢ $21 +$5 06-01 22:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +32 $8 41¢ $13 +$5 06-27 18:24
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $4 18¢ $4 $-1 06-13 20:40
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes +0 $-6 18¢ $0 +$6 07-08 15:04