Realized P&L
-$50
Unrealized P&L
+$3.87K
Hit rate
18.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
3,389
lifetime
Volume
$59.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$4.95K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 06-09 21:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-29
Other
33% 50% $-21
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 555 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -3,413 $-2,531 64¢ $-2167 +$363 06-08 11:49
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,065 $1,002 50¢ $1.0K +$41 06-09 21:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No -1,512 $-333 32¢ $-491 $-159 05-28 23:03
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +721 $453 68¢ $487 +$33 06-09 20:56
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +1,130 $-2,583 24¢ $277 +$2,860 06-08 02:56
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -182 $-700 100¢ $-182 +$518 06-07 20:45
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No -500 $-164 34¢ $-170 $-6 06-01 21:44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -120 $-284 62¢ $-75 +$209 06-07 21:31
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? Yes +332 $20 $29 +$8 06-06 18:11
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +139 $16 14¢ $19 +$3 06-01 22:43
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes -82 $-5 11¢ $-9 $-4 06-01 13:25