Attentive-Algebra — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

-$2.60K

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

281

Trades

11,347

lifetime

Volume

$417.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

$10.3K

30 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 10-30 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Politics

66% 49% +$13,096

Other

31% 42% -$32

Crypto

3% 43% -$610

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-4,400	-$3,163	82¢	$-3630	-$467	07-24 15:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	+1,853	$1,263	98¢	$1.8K	+$550	10-30 03:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	No	+856	$750	100¢	$852	+$102	10-24 23:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	-4,400	-$1,181	18¢	$-770	+$411	09-18 23:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+1,631	$805	46¢	$758	-$47	10-30 18:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	+1,286	$575	54¢	$688	+$113	10-30 17:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+4,491	$1,043	7¢	$314	-$728	10-30 01:13
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,031	$599	6¢	$277	-$322	10-30 01:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+422	$257	62¢	$264	+$7	10-21 20:17
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,050	$1,091	8¢	$174	-$917	10-25 23:31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+4,826	$755	4¢	$169	-$586	10-26 00:10
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	+1,402	$450	12¢	$168	-$282	10-29 17:31
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,445	$38	7¢	$103	+$65	10-27 13:41
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+112	-$104	74¢	$82	+$186	10-21 21:14
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+963	$231	6¢	$63	-$169	08-28 23:13
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,285	$104	4¢	$51	-$53	08-28 23:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	+1,449	$703	2¢	$31	-$672	10-28 01:05
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+32	$8	94¢	$31	+$23	06-27 18:24
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+586	$24	3¢	$16	-$8	10-08 13:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	No	+20	$10	48¢	$10	$0	09-07 18:03
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+100	$27	6¢	$6	-$21	06-15 22:54
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+91	$11	2¢	$2	-$9	05-17 05:54
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?	Yes	+240	$2	1¢	$2	+$0	09-08 13:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	+439	$4	0¢	$1	-$3	08-30 12:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?	Yes	+103	$86	0¢	$0	-$85	10-22 23:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?	No	+0	$0	100¢	$0	+$0	10-22 23:35
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	77¢	$0	+$1	10-19 13:50
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	-$272	2¢	$0	+$272	10-11 07:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$31	8¢	$0	+$31	07-24 18:46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$13	1¢	$0	+$13	10-18 08:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	253	$22.0K	50,427	56,576	-6,149	Yes	+$1,316	09-14 21:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	139	$16.3K	32,176	40,976	-8,800	open	—	09-18 23:25
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	175	$14.7K	25,568	24,957	+611	No	+$743	07-14 04:18
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?	136	$14.2K	21,846	19,664	+2,182	No	+$390	08-01 00:05
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	267	$13.8K	26,228	26,228	+0	Yes	+$1,588	08-11 14:59
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	268	$12.3K	23,011	17,948	+5,064	open	—	10-30 01:15
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	81	$9.7K	10,781	10,781	+0	No	+$259	07-20 06:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	179	$8.3K	13,986	13,986	+0	No	+$720	07-07 12:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	165	$8.0K	27,510	14,779	+12,731	No	-$96	07-29 23:41
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?	145	$7.4K	10,470	10,470	+0	No	+$112	08-02 00:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	100	$7.3K	17,092	16,739	+353	No	+$3,550	06-28 21:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	229	$6.9K	7,728	3,956	+3,772	No	+$2,587	05-30 00:51
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	108	$6.6K	6,801	6,801	+1	Yes	-$123	08-09 23:39
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	103	$6.4K	7,422	7,422	+0	No	+$643	07-25 11:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?	132	$6.3K	6,930	5,826	+1,104	No	-$253	09-30 10:21
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	60	$6.3K	6,689	6,649	+41	No	+$1,585	08-30 19:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	151	$6.1K	8,700	7,474	+1,226	Yes	+$1,479	06-13 22:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	110	$5.8K	25,436	25,436	+0	No	+$807	08-30 19:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	40	$5.7K	4,363	4,251	+112	open	—	10-21 21:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	347	$5.4K	7,455	4,538	+2,917	open	—	10-30 18:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	193	$5.3K	5,956	2,655	+3,302	open	—	10-30 03:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	47	$5.2K	7,358	7,358	+0	open	—	10-06 02:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	91	$4.8K	4,770	4,770	+1	Yes	+$268	08-09 23:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	109	$4.7K	23,763	23,763	+0	No	+$776	09-29 18:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	703	$4.6K	4,185	4,393	-208	Yes	-$156	03-30 18:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	72	$4.4K	11,826	7,335	+4,491	open	—	10-30 01:13
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	73	$4.4K	8,041	8,041	+0	open	—	10-09 16:18
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	457	$4.0K	4,577	4,331	+246	No	+$115	03-31 13:40
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	101	$3.9K	7,006	5,604	+1,402	open	—	10-29 17:31
will bitcoin reach 90k in september 2026	14	$3.8K	2,075	2,074	+0	No	+$19	09-29 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:07:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0xe1abb9…
10-30 18:00:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	177	37¢	$65	0x138e7f…
10-30 17:53:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	59	62¢	$36	0xda87c0…
10-30 17:53:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	55	61¢	$34	0x5f32e9…
10-30 17:53:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	45	50¢	$22	0xf4301f…
10-30 16:55:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	22	66¢	$15	0xa6ae2c…
10-30 15:25:33	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	10¢	$3	0x0e35f8…
10-30 15:25:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	45	63¢	$29	0x58f69d…
10-30 15:24:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xd19c78…
10-30 15:24:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x5700ad…
10-30 15:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x84dc63…
10-30 15:24:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x5d41ab…
10-30 15:23:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	26	60¢	$15	0x9bd724…
10-30 14:13:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x28b687…
10-30 14:09:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	21	63¢	$14	0xb31910…
10-30 14:09:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	24	63¢	$15	0x9df642…
10-30 14:09:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xa3316a…
10-30 14:09:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x7558df…
10-30 14:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	46	62¢	$28	0x67954d…
10-30 13:57:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xb36654…
10-30 13:39:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x4564e0…
10-30 13:34:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x2bb891…
10-30 13:28:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xacdd7d…
10-30 13:27:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x4ce36d…
10-30 13:19:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	60	92¢	$55	0xc2fde1…
10-30 13:17:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	63	9¢	$6	0x8aa62a…
10-30 10:09:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0xc0ed1d…
10-30 09:51:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0xc885b2…
10-30 09:48:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x5e62a7…
10-30 09:44:36	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xcfc58c…
10-30 09:44:34	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	10¢	$12	0x27e588…
10-30 08:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	41	58¢	$24	0x50a83a…
10-30 08:49:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	3	57¢	$1	0xedb10c…
10-30 08:49:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	42	56¢	$23	0x10d8b5…
10-30 08:44:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1d2b73…
10-30 08:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4f8298…
10-30 08:30:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x153f1e…
10-30 08:30:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x273e34…
10-30 08:27:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xe87bf8…
10-30 07:55:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x1f9093…
10-30 07:55:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x1ab55d…
10-30 07:55:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xa43dc8…
10-30 07:54:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x3584f5…
10-30 07:54:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x69adaf…
10-30 07:54:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x94fdb4…
10-30 07:54:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0xac9458…
10-30 07:52:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xfd69e1…
10-30 07:52:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xe9fb5f…
10-30 05:50:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	181	51¢	$92	0xe8a7f2…
10-30 05:47:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	12	45¢	$5	0x79e3dc…
10-30 05:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	123	26¢	$32	0x8e7a99…
10-30 04:55:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	97	18¢	$17	0xbb5810…
10-30 04:29:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	SELL	39	16¢	$6	0x4a365a…
10-30 04:19:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0xe92f57…
10-30 03:50:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe45b75…
10-30 03:44:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xda2e20…
10-30 03:24:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x8e0f49…
10-30 01:49:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?	Yes	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x852183…
10-30 01:38:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	113	14¢	$16	0x6f3772…
10-30 01:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0xf04cfe…
10-30 01:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	44	56¢	$24	0x9fc1a8…
10-30 01:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x487621…
10-30 01:38:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x49e82f…
10-30 01:38:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	102	16¢	$16	0x0467a5…
10-30 01:37:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	Yes	BUY	89	17¢	$15	0xba6bf3…
10-30 01:29:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$63	0x1b1f63…
10-30 01:15:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x0413b6…
10-30 01:13:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	226	17¢	$39	0xe4634e…
10-30 01:13:42	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x966fe9…
10-30 01:12:12	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0xbf7896…
10-30 01:12:12	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x69349b…
10-30 01:11:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x2a43a2…
10-30 01:10:42	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x6da18e…
10-30 01:10:27	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xe8efe7…
10-30 01:10:21	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0xc4a9c1…
10-30 01:10:19	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	6¢	$13	0x36ef82…
10-30 01:06:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x99caf1…
10-30 00:54:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	1,437	15¢	$220	0x90214d…
10-30 00:28:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x3c6c4b…
10-30 00:24:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x5877de…
10-30 00:19:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	142	97¢	$138	0x164c46…
10-29 21:23:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5bfd21…
10-29 21:15:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	92	28¢	$26	0x1fb56b…
10-29 21:10:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	24	35¢	$8	0xc9b794…
10-29 21:09:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	43	36¢	$15	0x9c1fa8…
10-29 21:09:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x9234ec…
10-29 20:43:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x15861e…
10-29 20:24:52	will wti dip to 100 in october 2026 from october 29	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0xa5c153…
10-29 20:12:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	57	58¢	$33	0xdcd44a…
10-29 20:10:03	will wti dip to 100 in october 2026 from october 29	Yes	BUY	151	30¢	$45	0xda8efd…
10-29 20:07:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	239	58¢	$139	0x6c8126…
10-29 17:42:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x003320…
10-29 17:37:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xe55f9b…
10-29 17:35:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xa7f988…
10-29 17:31:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x7b093b…
10-29 17:31:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x29cbed…
10-29 17:31:32	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x23f5a2…
10-29 17:31:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xca84f5…
10-29 17:31:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x105801…
10-29 17:31:31	Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?	Yes	SELL	170	16¢	$27	0x073b50…