Both-Picnic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$5.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-20 16:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Crypto

23% — —

Politics

22% 100% +$61

Sports

6% 100% +$94

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 furia vit 2026 02 08	36	$344	630	630	+0	open	—	02-08 20:12
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	2	$344	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 08:26
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$298	600	1,225	-625	No	+$94	02-22 18:36
btc updown 5m 1784519100	4	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	07-20 03:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$205	174	174	+0	open	—	02-28 23:37
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	3	$201	210	0	+210	open	—	02-22 18:38
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	2	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	06-09 19:34
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	3	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	01-17 10:42
cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16	3	$128	90	90	+0	open	—	08-16 16:54
will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	4	$122	70	70	+0	open	—	07-31 23:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$120	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-17 18:59
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	3	$119	104	104	+0	open	—	01-14 19:45
will ethereum dip to 2000 in february 2026	3	$118	96	96	+0	open	—	02-03 18:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$117	78	78	+0	open	—	05-13 23:31
cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20	1	$114	200	0	+200	open	—	08-20 16:23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	5	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	01-20 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$106	100	95	+5	open	—	04-26 20:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$103	55	55	+0	open	—	01-19 23:37
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	2	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	02-03 16:00
will solana reach 160 in january 2026	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	01-19 21:57
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$67	40	40	+0	open	—	02-25 06:13
cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	1	$66	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 22:22
will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	1	$61	103	0	+103	open	—	08-02 17:49
cs2 prv b8 2026 08 12	1	$57	100	0	+100	open	—	08-12 11:50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	1	$55	250	0	+250	open	—	05-16 00:30
cs2 lgc mibr 2026 08 16	1	$55	90	0	+90	open	—	08-16 14:32
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	3	$54	36	36	+0	open	—	01-14 19:48
cs2 gl1 mouz 2026 08 19	1	$54	70	0	+70	open	—	08-18 16:35
cs2 mibr big5 2026 06 07	1	$52	100	0	+100	open	—	06-06 22:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$52	310	200	+110	open	—	07-24 15:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 16:24:10	cs2 lgc fal2 2026 08 21	Legacy	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xdbdebe…
08-20 16:23:34	cs2 fut mouz 2026 08 21	MOUZ	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x0cfb19…
08-20 16:23:03	cs2 g2 furia 2026 08 20	FURIA	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x096a8e…
08-18 16:36:24	cs2 fal2 mglz 2026 08 20	TheMongolz	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x4a7f16…
08-18 16:35:46	cs2 gl1 mouz 2026 08 19	MOUZ	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0x8b28ef…
08-18 16:35:31	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19	magic	BUY	90	34¢	$31	0x9224aa…
08-18 16:35:16	cs2 furia aur1 2026 08 19	FURIA	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xec6910…
08-18 16:34:57	cs2 g2 ast10 2026 08 19	G2	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xafb473…
08-16 16:54:00	cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16	9z	SELL	90	81¢	$73	0x5217d3…
08-16 14:33:21	cs2 mouz prv 2026 08 16	PARIVISION	BUY	170	6¢	$10	0x6d68b8…
08-16 14:32:16	cs2 lgc mibr 2026 08 16	Legacy	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0x7805b2…
08-16 14:32:03	cs2 ast10 nip 2026 08 16	NIP	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x2fa308…
08-16 14:31:33	cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16	9z	BUY	70	61¢	$43	0xcff773…
08-16 14:31:33	cs2 9z mgc 2026 08 16	9z	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0ced4b…
08-14 15:52:46	cs2 b8 vit 2026 08 14	B8	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x530ab0…
08-12 19:40:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	21¢	$50	0x9257d6…
08-12 11:52:09	cs2 mgc mglz 2026 08 12	TheMongolz	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xd8f193…
08-12 11:51:37	cs2 vit 100t 2026 08 12	Vitality	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x8ea99e…
08-12 11:51:22	cs2 navi 3dmax 2026 08 12	3DMAX	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x80c2e7…
08-12 11:50:55	cs2 prv b8 2026 08 12	PARIVISION	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x098c63…
08-12 11:50:43	cs2 bb3 faze 2026 08 12	BetBoom Team	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xca7082…
08-12 11:48:45	btc updown 5m 1786535100	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xf8a225…
08-02 18:41:56	will solana dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	131	20¢	$26	0x82f7f7…
08-02 17:55:54	will solana dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x6dab9e…
08-02 17:50:03	will solana dip to 60 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2b8b67…
08-02 17:49:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	103	59¢	$61	0xd94d08…
08-02 11:13:14	cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	MOUZ	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x71be40…
07-31 23:21:53	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xcc4efb…
07-31 23:21:41	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd01cab…
07-31 22:44:26	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x25d509…
07-25 16:13:37	btc updown 5m 1784995800	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xe798af…
07-25 16:12:48	btc updown 5m 1784995800	Up	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x359b36…
07-25 16:11:48	cs2 nip pain 2026 07 26	NIP	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xbd71b7…
07-25 16:09:30	cs2 hotu ast10 2026 07 25	Astralis	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xaa5c2f…
07-24 18:39:30	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	Sharks	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x585862…
07-24 18:33:16	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	Sharks	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x6d2fb2…
07-24 18:32:07	will trump meet with elon musk in july 2026 20260626153701913	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x8962c6…
07-24 16:02:12	cs2 tl1 vit 2026 07 24	Liquid	BUY	69	11¢	$8	0x8bbaaf…
07-24 15:46:10	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x2b670f…
07-24 15:44:54	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x04ef9a…
07-23 17:32:09	cs2 shk furia 2026 07 24	FURIA	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x4e4133…
07-23 17:15:30	cs2 hero mglz 2026 07 24	TheMongolz	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x058722…
07-23 17:15:06	cs2 mgc 3dmax 2026 07 24	3DMAX	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x94430b…
07-23 17:14:03	will solana dip to 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0xd146b4…
07-23 17:12:58	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in july 2026 from july 14	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x75a1b3…
07-20 03:56:31	ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0xa1b2d8…
07-20 03:48:49	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Down	SELL	115	95¢	$109	0xc1682e…
07-20 03:48:49	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Down	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0xa2ec57…
07-20 03:48:49	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x564092…
07-20 03:44:55	btc updown 5m 1784519100	Down	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x09477e…
07-20 03:35:51	btc updown 5m 1784518500	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xa004dc…
07-20 03:31:37	btc updown 5m 1784518200	Down	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xac0bd3…
07-07 17:13:25	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xbac40b…
06-26 16:34:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x562663…
06-22 19:46:19	bitcoin above 64k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xc3fbfb…
06-21 13:54:23	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x1e810a…
06-21 12:35:13	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x34e4de…
06-18 13:43:31	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x363ef5…
06-11 08:26:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xdb114c…
06-11 01:16:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x06b201…
06-09 20:08:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x85c5e0…
06-09 19:34:25	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	B8	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x3887c0…
06-09 01:41:12	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	B8	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x0a68c7…
06-08 21:04:48	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x161d48…
06-08 19:33:52	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xcd6193…
06-06 22:24:49	cs2 fly pain 2026 06 07	paiN	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7a1c52…
06-06 22:24:09	cs2 mnte lgc 2026 06 07	Legacy	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xfd8337…
06-06 22:22:19	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x9ae5a3…
06-06 22:21:46	cs2 mibr big5 2026 06 07	BIG	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x7e4161…
05-16 00:30:32	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0xb92071…
05-14 01:33:51	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x052dc1…
05-13 23:31:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	78	86¢	$67	0x834a9b…
05-09 00:30:55	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x754edc…
04-29 20:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfcc85d…
04-29 20:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x93be21…
04-29 20:04:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	80	30¢	$24	0x2b88a4…
04-29 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	46¢	$32	0xdf13df…
04-29 19:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xa844ec…
04-29 19:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x70a5fa…
04-29 19:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x284d29…
04-26 20:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	95	80¢	$76	0x5aabeb…
04-26 20:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x74e919…
04-26 19:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x170996…
04-26 19:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	131	15¢	$20	0x0243a8…
04-26 19:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0x011df1…
04-26 19:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0f1a9e…
04-26 19:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xfb7055…
02-28 23:37:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	174	95¢	$165	0x07c1e2…
02-26 06:20:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xbf5ae3…
02-25 06:13:58	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xb65144…
02-22 18:38:10	cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	Vitality	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xcfeb74…
02-22 18:38:08	cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	Vitality	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0xc8b13c…
02-22 18:36:10	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	1,225	16¢	$196	0x0e0418…
02-22 18:28:48	cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22	Vitality	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x6e1f28…
02-17 18:59:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x308bf7…
02-16 11:05:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0x4dce15…
02-11 19:02:37	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	320	5¢	$15	0xbc490a…
02-08 20:57:11	solana above 80 on february 9	Yes	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xd95913…
02-08 20:51:19	will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	Yes	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0xb1ed6c…
02-08 20:46:53	solana above 80 on february 9	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xe0a790…