Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$93

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

139

Trades

484

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 10-11 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

56% 46% -$10

Politics

44% 46% -$84

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-400	-$37	6¢	$-24	+$14	05-01 09:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	11	$1.6K	962	962	+0	Yes	+$70	04-07 22:57
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	5	$1.4K	781	781	+0	Yes	+$44	03-16 02:36
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	4	$845	1,028	1,028	+0	Yes	+$239	03-26 22:36
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	6	$818	502	502	+0	No	+$47	03-02 03:01
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$760	400	400	+0	Yes	+$8	04-09 20:56
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	9	$742	2,267	2,267	+0	No	-$230	04-23 07:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	6	$684	449	444	+5	Yes	+$44	04-22 14:10
russia strike impacts kyiv municipality during week of march 2 2026	11	$672	654	654	+0	Yes	-$144	03-12 18:01
will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	4	$665	434	434	+0	Yes	+$11	04-02 16:58
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	5	$640	504	504	+0	Yes	+$154	03-15 23:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$610	545	545	+0	No	+$13	04-18 08:49
will iran strike israel on march 10	15	$580	497	497	+0	Yes	+$88	03-12 03:44
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	5	$577	495	490	+5	Yes	-$32	04-28 00:07
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	5	$419	310	310	+0	Yes	+$38	02-28 03:43
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$405	396	396	+0	Yes	+$162	04-25 15:10
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	18	$390	2,035	1,785	+250	No	-$160	04-13 21:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$382	261	261	+0	No	-$29	05-06 10:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$381	225	225	+0	No	+$3	04-15 18:19
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	2	$377	352	352	+0	No	-$23	02-24 00:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	6	$342	249	246	+3	No	+$23	04-14 03:00
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$341	216	216	+0	No	-$42	04-21 13:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$330	301	301	+0	No	-$15	05-01 09:12
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	5	$312	175	175	+0	Yes	+$25	02-27 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$282	205	202	+3	No	+$15	04-11 22:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$280	394	394	+0	No	+$9	05-06 12:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	7	$267	196	196	+0	No	+$32	04-23 03:49
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	2	$256	285	285	+0	Yes	+$10	05-28 02:22
will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	7	$252	200	200	+0	No	+$24	02-23 02:38
us strikes iraq by march 7	9	$222	520	520	+0	Yes	-$32	03-06 08:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$218	245	245	+0	No	-$81	05-18 11:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 21:55:56	Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xd62d44…
10-11 21:55:46	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x8260f9…
10-08 12:06:09	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$0	0x7599fd…
10-07 08:38:20	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x312dd8…
10-07 05:11:26	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xa3d860…
09-21 03:05:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x4192ad…
09-20 20:28:47	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x99e71c…
08-30 19:18:43	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xab0c06…
08-21 02:24:13	will kai and speed beat rocket league within 11 hours	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf738f4…
08-21 02:12:57	will kai and speed beat rocket league within 11 hours	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x4b2d31…
08-17 13:25:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x0fd320…
08-05 17:34:21	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0x3e891c…
08-03 05:46:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x246446…
07-31 08:03:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x46deee…
07-31 04:38:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0x84ea64…
07-30 20:52:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	BUY	37	36¢	$13	0xefecce…
07-25 19:07:49	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	Yes	SELL	14	75¢	$11	0xb611a9…
07-25 19:07:48	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0x88ba5c…
07-24 22:44:55	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	Yes	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x80c2c6…
07-24 18:34:13	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x3146ba…
07-24 18:33:06	Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	41	13¢	$5	0x434398…
07-11 17:15:08	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	76	2¢	$1	0x196a41…
07-08 16:27:52	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x3b22b9…
07-08 14:25:20	grok 4pt4 released by july 31 883 836	No	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0x09d17d…
07-08 14:25:01	grok 4pt4 released by july 8	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x0c58ea…
07-07 18:23:16	will trump say outside this week 20260626175002241	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x2c7ca7…
07-04 02:53:58	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x007ee2…
07-04 02:21:43	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	SELL	39	83¢	$32	0xbaf45d…
07-03 18:44:02	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	BUY	39	45¢	$18	0x664457…
07-03 18:42:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	107	17¢	$18	0x9c11c6…
07-03 17:51:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	BUY	107	35¢	$37	0x1ad630…
07-03 17:51:08	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	SELL	85	44¢	$37	0xa91362…
07-03 04:47:58	Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?	Yes	BUY	85	40¢	$34	0x3d41cf…
06-29 10:41:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	56	1¢	$1	0xffa98d…
06-29 10:41:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xbcb208…
06-29 10:41:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x2e2605…
06-29 10:41:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x0ceadb…
06-29 10:34:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3e2844…
06-26 15:57:44	Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xa3586a…
06-22 17:51:55	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x24ad92…
06-22 17:20:11	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xdacdcb…
06-17 23:37:25	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	SELL	60	16¢	$9	0x9c942d…
06-15 20:39:06	will shehbaz sharif sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950081	Yes	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xa7796d…
06-15 19:02:49	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	SELL	67	86¢	$58	0xa21faf…
06-15 18:09:30	Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0xa774b7…
06-10 10:08:49	Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Yes	BUY	67	96¢	$64	0xba4fdb…
06-07 14:32:40	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0x9069de…
06-07 14:30:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	198	2¢	$4	0xdb1ad9…
06-07 02:48:07	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	64	82¢	$53	0xf0bf8d…
06-06 12:36:07	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x72ee14…
06-06 11:40:28	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	SELL	46	24¢	$11	0x0cbc92…
06-06 05:55:21	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0xeb7ec5…
06-06 04:40:31	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	BUY	1,821	5¢	$90	0x9c4519…
06-06 04:15:37	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	Yes	BUY	295	4¢	$12	0x5c6535…
06-05 18:56:03	Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$3	0xaf979c…
06-05 10:01:55	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	SELL	81	48¢	$39	0x8a7efb…
06-05 05:48:24	Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0xe9de26…
06-05 02:57:06	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?	No	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x3c1e7c…
06-04 13:56:10	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	SELL	27	47¢	$13	0x3359a1…
06-04 13:55:18	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x3da9b0…
06-04 13:54:48	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x70ae47…
06-04 13:54:36	Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x054430…
06-03 12:05:11	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	Yes	BUY	109	32¢	$35	0x4fa977…
06-03 04:32:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	198	3¢	$6	0x970a63…
05-31 05:53:07	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	SELL	175	24¢	$43	0xe98846…
05-30 22:26:48	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x06eca0…
05-29 18:59:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0xd00512…
05-29 18:11:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xd85b61…
05-29 16:50:02	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	395	5¢	$20	0xdaccb4…
05-29 11:14:32	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xf52f51…
05-29 11:13:51	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x44585b…
05-29 11:13:50	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xd7fd50…
05-29 11:13:50	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x89d9e8…
05-29 11:13:50	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2a9570…
05-29 11:13:50	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x137cbf…
05-29 11:13:25	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?	No	BUY	94	34¢	$32	0xe54f6a…
05-28 02:22:52	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	285	47¢	$133	0xe03016…
05-27 04:17:49	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	285	43¢	$123	0x3041dc…
05-27 03:09:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	300	1¢	$2	0xe05457…
05-26 21:47:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xcaf3c8…
05-26 16:58:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	807	2¢	$13	0x01849c…
05-26 12:10:44	Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xfd2902…
05-26 06:15:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	2,707	3¢	$84	0x61c893…
05-26 04:49:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,806	2¢	$62	0xf449bb…
05-26 04:45:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1,009	2¢	$22	0x2953ff…
05-25 16:38:31	Will Qatar recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0xf70a15…
05-25 03:08:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	102	91¢	$93	0xc4c5d5…
05-24 04:20:12	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	617	3¢	$17	0x5aa5b9…
05-23 22:03:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x31bfe3…
05-23 22:03:14	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	291	1¢	$4	0xa11c00…
05-23 18:35:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	102	62¢	$63	0xe072d0…
05-18 11:08:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x706e2b…
05-18 11:06:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	245	28¢	$69	0x28c10a…
05-06 12:33:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	261	6¢	$16	0x631245…
05-06 12:32:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	252	6¢	$16	0xa85691…
05-06 10:29:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	245	61¢	$150	0x2f6d78…
05-06 10:29:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	226	67¢	$151	0xacf692…
05-06 09:54:20	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x41eed7…
05-06 09:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	252	6¢	$15	0xb0f6a9…
05-06 09:50:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x6761c2…