Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
82
lifetime
Volume
$124
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$39
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-30 23:02
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
65%
Tech
27%
Politics
6%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +15 $10 65¢ $10 $-0 06-27 12:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +11 $5 75¢ $8 +$3 06-19 20:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-06 09:30
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 12:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +2 $2 89¢ $2 $-0 06-30 22:53
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 22:47
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? Yes -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 12:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 06-30 23:01
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:52
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? SpaceX +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:50
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? No -1 $-1 93¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 12:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 06-30 23:02
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 06-19 20:35
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 22:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 $-0 06-08 08:01
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 69¢ $1 $-0 06-30 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-27 12:58