Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
85
lifetime
Volume
$128
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$41
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 07-12 09:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Tech
29%
Politics
6%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Yes +15 $10 62¢ $9 $-1 06-27 12:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +11 $5 79¢ $9 +$4 06-19 20:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-06 09:30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +3 $2 84¢ $2 +$0 07-12 09:34
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes -2 $-2 97¢ $-2 $-0 06-27 12:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +2 $2 90¢ $2 $-0 06-30 22:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-30 23:01
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 22:47
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-19 20:35
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +1 $1 75¢ $1 +$0 07-12 09:31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 22:48
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:52
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 06-08 08:01
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? SpaceX +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-08 07:50
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 12:54
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 95¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 22:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 06-30 23:02
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 26¢ $0 $-1 06-30 22:53