Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$423
$1,861 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$196
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 13:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $72 | $72 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $65 | $187 | $122 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $24 | $120 | $96 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $8 | $40 | $32 |
| Median | 4 | — | $19 | $19 |
| Below median | 4 | $14 | $11 | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $3 | $78 | $74 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $15 | $12 | +$3 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweaty-Detection 0x62fa…0c8a | No | +62 | $62 | $62 | 1 | 05-14 13:38 |
| Inconsequential-Spider 0xc2bc…1485 | No | +54 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-14 11:50 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +46 | $36 | $36 | 5 | 05-13 08:39 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | +41 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | +36 | $11 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +35 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +33 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 09:53 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +30 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 10:58 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 5 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-14 13:12 |
| Guilty-Speaker 0x87f7…5666 | Yes | +24 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 01:58 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +16 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-13 10:18 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +15 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-14 00:41 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-13 10:28 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-13 10:18 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 05:16 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 01:10 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 10:18 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 09:19 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 10:57 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 09:09 |
| Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:07 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 13:07 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Jaded-Ottoman 0x899f…c012 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 04:38 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 19:48 |
| Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:03 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:38:16 | Sweaty-Detection 0x62fa…0c8a | No | BUY | 62 | 99¢ | $62 | 0x21c0c2… |
| 05-14 13:25:41 | Dimpled-Boy 0x98d9…2c8c | Yes | SELL | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf22b4d… |
| 05-14 13:19:23 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x99fb52… |
| 05-14 13:19:20 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x737f91… |
| 05-14 13:12:27 | Pure-Pantsuit 0xb3b6…0d2b | No | BUY | 28 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x750478… |
| 05-14 13:07:54 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf87abb… |
| 05-14 13:05:48 | Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x48b49e… |
| 05-14 12:19:15 | Sunny-Sum-Den 0x4eab…2caa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc320e6… |
| 05-14 12:15:38 | Costly-Current 0xe8b9…3afc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x5bf72d… |
| 05-14 12:07:37 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x3654e5… |
| 05-14 12:00:12 | Jaded-Ottoman 0x899f…c012 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x7cd8a5… |
| 05-14 11:50:03 | Inconsequential-Spider 0xc2bc…1485 | No | BUY | 54 | 74¢ | $40 | 0x831ff5… |
| 05-14 11:14:42 | Vivid-Bowling 0x68e1…d73b | No | BUY | 0 | 59¢ | $0 | 0xe048f4… |
| 05-14 11:00:12 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0xf13964… |
| 05-14 11:00:12 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 35 | 37¢ | $13 | 0x00057f… |
| 05-14 11:00:09 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x5f7cc9… |
| 05-14 10:04:12 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 38¢ | $16 | 0x1f82e3… |
| 05-14 01:58:38 | Guilty-Speaker 0x87f7…5666 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 28¢ | $7 | 0xb5f55d… |
| 05-14 01:10:48 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0xc57dac… |
| 05-14 01:04:27 | (anonymous) 0xb36c…7a98 | No | BUY | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0x41c079… |
| 05-14 00:41:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x49d3bb… |
| 05-14 00:41:02 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x406f35… |
| 05-14 00:14:45 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | BUY | 41 | 32¢ | $13 | 0xa48bf2… |
| 05-14 00:08:34 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x87616d… |
| 05-14 00:04:46 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xf61c4f… |
| 05-14 00:03:28 | Cavernous-Lag 0x232a…4895 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xfa4e83… |
| 05-13 23:19:13 | Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | No | SELL | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0xc75fae… |
| 05-13 22:25:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xf18ca3… |
| 05-13 22:14:05 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6994a7… |
| 05-13 22:12:34 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xf50d94… |
| 05-13 19:48:59 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x2e9ad0… |
| 05-13 19:37:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x55f3f5… |
| 05-13 10:58:25 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x6add00… |
| 05-13 10:28:05 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x3585a1… |
| 05-13 10:18:13 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xa69d14… |
| 05-13 10:18:11 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xf2084e… |
| 05-13 10:18:10 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $7 | 0x016e64… |
| 05-13 10:18:08 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 10 | 66¢ | $6 | 0xf294d0… |
| 05-13 09:53:05 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 68¢ | $20 | 0x8e7a29… |
| 05-13 09:19:46 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x8b29af… |
| 05-13 09:19:43 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x578de4… |
| 05-13 09:09:41 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $4 | 0x23aadc… |
| 05-13 08:40:22 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x97a4c2… |
| 05-13 08:39:49 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 72¢ | $6 | 0x14c58e… |
| 05-13 07:39:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 16 | 76¢ | $12 | 0x8e3e5e… |
| 05-13 07:31:27 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $6 | 0xfff553… |
| 05-13 06:41:34 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x08fb67… |
| 05-13 06:09:05 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x23bc87… |
| 05-13 06:09:01 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | No | SELL | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xa91c87… |
| 05-13 06:06:03 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x7c641f… |
| 05-13 06:04:23 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x5c624d… |
| 05-13 06:04:09 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 33 | 17¢ | $6 | 0x58539c… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x828d91… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 22 | 89¢ | $20 | 0xbfb86d… |
| 05-13 05:16:19 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x4d52cc… |
| 05-13 05:09:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x8005e1… |
| 05-13 04:38:22 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x05c29f… |
| 05-12 10:57:31 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xbb498c… |