Likely-Optimisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$572

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

1,109

Trades

3,319

lifetime

Volume

$48.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-02 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 200 days

Categories

Other

96% 76% -$487

Politics

2% 69% -$22

Crypto

1% 88% -$5

Sports

0% 38% -$49

Tech

0% 75% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$400	2,959	0	+2,959	No	-$400	01-12 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 30?	3	$220	121	121	+0	No	+$22	06-30 04:45
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 22c	8	$176	114	114	+0	No	-$3	04-15 17:35
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	8	$158	80	80	+0	No	+$0	03-01 05:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?	11	$156	117	57	+60	Yes	-$43	04-28 05:47
highest temperature in seoul on march 17 2026 13corhigher	8	$155	102	102	+0	No	-$2	03-17 01:01
highest temperature in chicago on march 10 2026 60 61f	17	$143	299	299	+0	Yes	-$52	03-10 08:43
highest temperature in seoul on march 20 2026 12c	6	$143	91	91	+0	No	+$3	03-20 03:39
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 48 49f	7	$132	80	80	+0	No	-$9	03-17 06:37
highest temperature in lucknow on april 16 2026 39c	7	$127	77	77	+0	No	+$7	04-16 09:31
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 17 2026 24c	4	$123	75	75	+1	No	+$25	04-17 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 1?	10	$121	71	71	+0	No	+$21	05-01 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?	10	$120	71	71	+0	No	+$21	06-08 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	3	$119	69	69	+0	No	+$19	05-13 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	2	$119	70	70	+0	No	+$20	06-10 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 19?	5	$118	69	69	+0	No	+$19	06-19 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 21?	2	$118	68	68	+0	No	+$17	06-21 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?	2	$116	68	68	+0	No	+$19	05-01 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?	4	$116	67	67	+0	No	+$17	06-29 03:24
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 28?	2	$116	67	67	+0	No	+$16	06-28 11:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 23c	4	$115	66	66	+1	No	+$15	04-20 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 5?	14	$114	65	65	+0	No	+$14	05-05 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 26?	2	$114	65	65	+0	No	+$15	06-26 10:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?	3	$113	67	67	+0	No	+$19	05-21 07:17
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 10?	3	$113	64	64	+0	No	+$14	06-10 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	2	$113	64	64	+0	No	+$13	05-06 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 1?	2	$113	64	64	+0	No	+$13	06-01 03:57
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 25?	7	$113	63	63	+0	No	+$13	06-25 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?	2	$113	63	63	+0	Yes	+$13	05-31 04:11
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 17?	2	$112	65	65	+0	No	+$16	06-17 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 18:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x134413…
10-02 14:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x2feef4…
10-02 13:33:17	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 3?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7f9eb7…
10-02 01:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xbf7171…
10-02 01:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xcf0e36…
10-02 01:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf861ab…
10-01 22:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 2?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xfefd34…
10-01 22:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 2?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x92fcfe…
10-01 12:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 2?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xe06def…
10-01 10:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 2?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf359a1…
10-01 04:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 1?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x01b08d…
10-01 00:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 2?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$40	0xb3a54a…
09-30 17:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0xe20764…
09-30 10:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x284aac…
09-30 07:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 1?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9a1da1…
09-29 05:12:23	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 29?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x1d6e23…
09-28 17:27:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 29?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x85aa13…
09-28 06:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xbd0209…
09-28 00:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0xd52dc9…
09-28 00:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 29?	No	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0x169272…
09-27 06:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x4b22db…
09-27 06:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x270309…
09-27 06:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x07ac32…
09-26 14:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x037172…
09-26 00:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb3a12a…
09-26 00:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xd9b366…
09-25 23:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc3ef96…
09-25 23:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x23fcc7…
09-25 23:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x24e21d…
09-25 23:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaf9697…
09-25 22:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3fc56a…
09-25 19:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xe25e2e…
09-25 19:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c086c…
09-25 14:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6000bc…
09-25 14:30:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x52b1f4…
09-25 14:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x95c01b…
09-25 14:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on September 27?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x269ad4…
09-25 05:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0bd0b7…
09-25 05:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xb5381c…
09-25 04:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x39089b…
09-25 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0xf28716…
09-25 00:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 26?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x72bd3a…
09-24 07:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 25?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x51bc38…
09-23 02:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a9ae8…
09-23 02:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0xe064b9…
09-22 11:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 23?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x06b892…
09-22 03:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xdc0844…
09-22 03:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 22?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x87b1a1…
09-22 01:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x46efc7…
09-21 02:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x91e450…
09-21 00:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 22?	No	BUY	44	89¢	$40	0x69697f…
09-20 23:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 21?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x030c2b…
09-20 18:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x84f855…
09-20 17:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x02fdce…
09-20 17:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xd4246d…
09-19 14:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 19?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xc7bb87…
09-19 11:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x036ded…
09-19 00:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on September 20?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x5ed966…
09-18 21:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0xb25d8c…
09-18 21:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on September 20?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x625769…
09-18 17:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 19?	No	BUY	44	92¢	$40	0x1ad200…
09-16 11:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x60927a…
09-16 00:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0x38bc46…
09-16 00:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x63d7bb…
09-15 18:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 16?	No	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x6cd070…
09-15 04:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 15?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x4f7033…
09-15 01:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$0	0xc08807…
09-15 01:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x6c2939…
09-15 01:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x0729cd…
09-15 01:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xffd100…
09-14 23:27:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0xeca5c6…
09-14 23:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x238394…
09-14 23:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x69c64f…
09-14 23:27:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2da6b4…
09-14 23:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 15?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x2f1aee…
09-14 23:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 15?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x41475e…
09-12 15:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7fa3f9…
09-12 15:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7be541…
09-12 15:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcc6711…
09-12 15:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xa589a1…
09-11 15:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 12?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x672d76…
09-11 08:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 12?	No	BUY	48	82¢	$40	0x74921d…
09-11 01:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x392286…
09-11 01:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x5310af…
09-09 17:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 9?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd907e7…
09-09 17:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 9?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd71341…
09-09 01:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 9?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x6a4867…
09-08 04:10:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 8?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x9a33a9…
09-07 19:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 9?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0x67e24a…
09-07 17:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xcaa229…
09-07 04:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 7?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x897dad…
09-07 02:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x32808c…
09-07 02:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3b1f73…
09-07 02:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x2aba34…
09-07 02:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xec4607…
09-07 02:42:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xcfb939…
09-07 00:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 8?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xc840c2…
09-06 19:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x41f318…
09-06 00:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0xfa7247…
09-06 00:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xfe914c…