Noted-Mechanic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,036

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-30 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

97% 38% $-21

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-5

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$941	574	574	+0	open	—	03-01 16:02
lowest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 16c	3	$502	275	272	+2	open	—	04-14 19:54
highest temperature in tokyo on april 13 2026 22c	2	$468	272	269	+4	open	—	04-13 03:12
highest temperature in tokyo on april 14 2026 22c	2	$371	236	231	+5	open	—	04-14 07:52
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 21c	3	$214	265	18	+246	open	—	04-15 05:24
highest temperature in tokyo on april 11 2026 24c	2	$178	99	98	+1	open	—	04-11 05:14
highest temperature in tokyo on april 16 2026 21c	2	$135	149	147	+1	open	—	04-16 03:31
highest temperature in tokyo on april 6 2026 22c	2	$130	90	87	+2	open	—	04-06 15:40
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	2	$110	204	0	+204	open	—	03-11 18:59
highest temperature in tokyo on april 12 2026 21c	3	$100	61	60	+1	open	—	04-12 05:06
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 21c	5	$98	99	96	+2	open	—	04-18 06:46
highest temperature in tokyo on april 6 2026 23corhigher	4	$93	205	198	+7	open	—	04-06 07:51
bun koe moe 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	2	$89	59	59	+0	open	—	03-21 14:53
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$88	53	53	+0	open	—	03-16 03:06
epl mun lee 2026 04 13 mun	1	$88	138	0	+138	open	—	04-13 11:59
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	2	$87	58	57	+1	open	—	04-19 17:35
efa new mnc 2026 03 07 mnc	2	$86	60	60	+0	open	—	03-08 02:12
highest temperature in lucknow on april 7 2026 33corbelow	3	$85	50	50	+1	open	—	04-07 10:03
fif eng jpn 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5	2	$84	52	52	+0	open	—	03-31 21:59
epl mun ast 2026 03 15 mun	2	$82	52	52	+0	open	—	03-15 16:02
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 btts	2	$78	48	48	+0	open	—	03-18 22:11
epl new sun 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	2	$78	48	48	+0	open	—	03-22 14:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 18c	2	$65	48	46	+1	open	—	04-15 08:13
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 total 3pt5	2	$64	45	45	+0	open	—	03-10 23:04
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	2	$64	40	40	+1	open	—	04-23 02:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 8 2026 26c	4	$63	46	45	+1	open	—	04-08 09:23
highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 17c	6	$62	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 16:15
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 4 2026 15c	4	$61	45	44	+1	open	—	04-04 14:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 18c	2	$61	36	36	+1	open	—	04-13 10:18
epl lee bre 2026 03 21 total 2pt5	2	$61	41	41	+0	open	—	03-22 00:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 17:50:08	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9235ad…
06-30 17:03:38	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x42f29d…
06-27 15:59:26	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	England	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x9c4295…
06-23 02:29:07	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xaf16ef…
06-21 14:58:40	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x5a1f38…
06-21 12:39:31	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xf60021…
06-20 19:38:22	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 goals kai havertz gte1	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb21124…
06-20 16:05:02	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x606cd7…
06-20 16:04:35	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals alexander isak gte1	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4c0096…
06-20 04:01:04	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1e14d5…
06-19 15:36:44	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 corners total 8pt5	Under	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x04c9a2…
06-19 15:30:52	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x913191…
06-19 15:29:59	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x76f4ec…
06-19 15:25:32	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf3339d…
06-18 15:52:31	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf9b107…
06-18 15:52:08	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 first half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1cc32a…
06-14 12:29:06	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 spread home 3pt5	Germany	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x5c0206…
05-24 15:04:07	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x9aaac5…
05-17 17:47:01	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0xafc7a5…
05-10 13:20:49	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xdfb0d4…
05-09 14:58:32	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xff4057…
05-09 11:31:29	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x22431a…
05-09 11:29:02	Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x5ebe9c…
05-07 22:08:33	Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x14bffc…
05-06 21:10:10	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe4fac2…
05-06 19:38:26	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x475061…
05-06 14:49:50	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x44850a…
05-06 12:07:42	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x30f000…
05-06 12:07:22	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc60b64…
05-06 12:07:16	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x8051d3…
05-04 17:04:34	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x43fae2…
05-04 17:04:28	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xee9c51…
05-04 17:04:00	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9bfa67…
05-04 01:51:46	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf92b91…
05-02 14:44:34	Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd4ecd1…
04-30 17:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1f3188…
04-30 17:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xca6625…
04-28 10:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x0f7ef3…
04-28 10:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$10	0x0e77fe…
04-28 08:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xac709d…
04-28 08:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xde0371…
04-28 07:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4c90ec…
04-28 07:37:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa0fadc…
04-28 07:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0d84eb…
04-28 07:03:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3015fe…
04-28 06:18:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xb197e4…
04-28 06:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x4e6c64…
04-28 06:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x2b1f52…
04-28 05:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 0°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5acddf…
04-28 05:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	63	8¢	$5	0x11fb68…
04-28 05:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xb62973…
04-28 04:09:30	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xae51e8…
04-28 03:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9933a2…
04-28 03:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x085831…
04-28 03:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x62b47d…
04-28 03:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3388bf…
04-28 03:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x9c59ce…
04-28 03:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x640d59…
04-28 03:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc474e3…
04-28 03:32:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd4556d…
04-28 03:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xacd0d2…
04-28 03:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x87daf7…
04-28 03:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x770bd7…
04-28 02:40:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x66f586…
04-27 22:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x6edd26…
04-27 22:46:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6d38c4…
04-27 22:43:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf4f7a1…
04-27 20:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x1e0a6f…
04-27 20:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xeeabfc…
04-27 19:30:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 28?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x109ae3…
04-27 16:48:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 28?	No	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x7defc7…
04-27 16:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xadf486…
04-27 16:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x14da7d…
04-27 14:34:58	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x9b73cb…
04-27 13:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x6d13f4…
04-27 13:27:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x410b34…
04-27 13:27:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xdd9efa…
04-27 13:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on April 27?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0xbad40c…
04-27 12:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xb34f55…
04-27 12:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x322b3f…
04-27 12:38:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0xd5013b…
04-27 12:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0xb2d591…
04-27 12:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5af5fd…
04-27 12:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xec24cc…
04-27 12:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x1e4f58…
04-27 12:15:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x4956ee…
04-27 12:15:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8e7df9…
04-27 10:50:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x7c85b6…
04-27 10:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc49432…
04-27 10:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x882f66…
04-27 08:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd89ca8…
04-27 08:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x80892a…
04-27 08:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xa7d119…
04-27 08:06:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa80165…
04-27 07:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x740612…
04-27 07:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0x86343f…
04-27 07:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xe8590a…
04-27 06:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x84a60c…
04-27 06:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xa595e9…
04-27 06:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0xe24400…