Realized P&L
-$31
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
44.9%
Resolved
353
Trades
406
lifetime
Volume
$2.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$99
19 positions
First seen
2026-04-29
last 10-10 22:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Other
76% 34% +$10
Sports
11% 20% -$43
Politics
5% 50% -$5
Crypto
4% 45% -$31
Tech
4% 80% +$38
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +44 $15 34¢ $15 +$0 10-10 20:48
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +14 $10 94¢ $13 +$3 09-04 22:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13 $10 84¢ $11 +$1 07-31 23:07
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +51 $10 16¢ $8 -$2 09-07 16:55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20 $10 38¢ $8 -$2 09-07 16:55
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +26 $6 24¢ $6 +$0 10-09 23:49
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +42 $8 13¢ $5 -$3 10-10 20:43
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +45 $5 12¢ $5 +$0 10-09 19:36
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $5 19¢ $5 $0 08-02 17:19
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +130 $3 3¢ $4 +$1 10-09 23:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $5 42¢ $3 -$2 09-01 19:21
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +6 $5 54¢ $3 -$2 08-10 00:56
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +3 $3 88¢ $3 $0 08-10 00:57
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +61 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 10-09 19:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 +$0 09-07 16:55
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775 Yes +17 $10 10¢ $2 -$8 07-31 23:07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +16 $2 10¢ $2 $0 08-02 17:19
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +15 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 10-09 23:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +51 $5 2¢ $1 -$4 05-08 00:22