Fatal-Metro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$491

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

2,716

Trades

4,498

lifetime

Volume

$25.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-14 01:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Other

62% 72% -$131

Crypto

22% 43% -$205

Sports

9% 47% -$88

Politics

6% 70% -$60

Tech

1% 64% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No		+5	$5	100¢	$5	+$0	06-26 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide from april 13 april 19	4	$74	42	42	+0	No	+$0	04-18 16:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	1	$57	59	0	+59	Down	+$2	01-27 23:54
lol jdg blg 2026 01 23	3	$56	83	83	+0	JD Gaming	+$1	01-23 13:31
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 spread away 5pt5	4	$55	86	86	-0	Broncos	-$19	01-25 21:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	1	$55	57	0	+57	Down	+$2	01-27 23:37
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 spread away 4pt5	4	$55	82	82	+0	Broncos	-$20	01-25 21:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	1	$54	55	0	+55	Up	+$2	01-27 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:00 UTC	1	$52	54	0	+54	Up	+$2	01-27 23:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:45 UTC	1	$52	54	0	+54	Down	+$2	01-27 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 22?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$1	06-22 11:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:30 UTC	1	$49	51	0	+51	Up	+$2	01-27 22:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:30 UTC	1	$49	51	0	+51	Up	+$2	01-27 22:37
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:15 UTC	1	$48	49	0	+49	Down	+$1	01-27 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 10?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$1	06-10 10:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:00 UTC	1	$46	48	0	+48	Up	+$1	01-27 22:13
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$46	26	26	+0	No	+$6	04-15 23:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 21:30 UTC	1	$45	46	0	+46	Down	+$1	01-27 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 05:45 UTC	2	$44	46	0	+46	Down	+$2	01-27 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 11:15 UTC	1	$44	45	0	+45	Down	-$44	02-15 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:30 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	02-15 10:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 21:15 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	01-27 21:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 21:15 UTC	1	$43	44	0	+44	Down	+$1	01-27 21:25
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	4	$42	27	27	+0	Yes	+$6	04-22 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:20 UTC	1	$41	43	0	+43	Up	+$1	02-15 10:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on April 28?	2	$41	22	22	+0	No	+$2	04-28 13:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 12:15 UTC	1	$41	43	0	+43	Down	+$2	02-15 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 25?	2	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$1	06-25 16:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 20:45 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	01-27 20:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 20:45 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	01-27 20:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 10:05 UTC	1	$40	41	0	+41	Down	+$2	02-15 10:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 01:13:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x6c4591…
08-14 00:51:27	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x2dbd3e…
08-09 06:49:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x10c29d…
08-09 04:58:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0be96b…
08-09 04:35:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x245c34…
08-08 01:16:40	Will China's CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x31d91c…
08-08 00:27:42	will jose mourinho attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630261	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x796c1d…
08-08 00:06:46	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb8c590…
08-07 23:58:22	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x82dcfa…
08-07 23:48:39	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x49ee6a…
08-07 23:45:09	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 9 20260728155313321	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x109df0…
08-07 23:14:03	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf1f1b2…
08-07 23:12:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x91ce09…
08-04 03:16:12	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x84424b…
08-02 04:46:33	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xb28f70…
08-02 04:42:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xcf7073…
08-01 06:21:57	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd13306…
08-01 04:59:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x35508a…
08-01 04:42:23	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x299610…
08-01 04:42:20	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0e358b…
08-01 04:42:17	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x93ec1a…
08-01 04:42:09	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3f0933…
08-01 03:36:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x49fa6e…
08-01 01:27:33	bitcoin up or down on august 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfbf25c…
08-01 01:13:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf898bf…
07-27 13:24:15	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x604703…
07-27 13:24:07	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x3c2f92…
07-27 13:24:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x154a46…
07-27 13:23:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6418d2…
07-27 07:22:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb93b43…
07-27 07:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdb4837…
07-27 07:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbb2aba…
07-26 16:51:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe1f12a…
07-26 16:51:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3bb718…
07-26 16:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4b8766…
07-26 16:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54e601…
07-26 16:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2965d8…
07-26 13:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x3b3353…
07-26 13:06:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x250775…
07-26 12:56:55	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe8fb03…
07-26 12:46:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x936931…
07-26 12:01:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xfa5c09…
07-26 12:01:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x352b75…
07-26 11:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2c2b3…
07-26 10:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xed28b8…
07-26 08:48:37	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb20b68…
07-26 07:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x379172…
07-26 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x7ce6cc…
07-26 06:37:34	bitcoin up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9171e0…
07-26 06:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf6feab…
07-26 06:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7d394d…
07-26 05:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaf8861…
07-26 05:34:10	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x499836…
07-26 03:49:21	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc6e3a2…
07-26 03:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe08fc0…
07-26 03:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x511698…
07-26 02:59:30	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xac254b…
07-26 02:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x79a3b5…
07-26 01:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8fa745…
07-26 01:09:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd84e9…
07-26 00:26:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x322cb7…
07-25 23:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4d98d3…
07-25 23:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc79f5a…
07-25 23:57:10	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x03a1da…
07-25 23:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x28c9df…
07-25 23:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9abc6a…
07-25 23:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4038d0…
07-25 23:45:07	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1ca6e8…
07-25 23:44:48	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x7540b8…
07-25 12:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x56d886…
07-25 12:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x586f49…
07-25 12:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 26?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x69a6bf…
07-25 12:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 25?	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x4a548b…
07-25 12:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xefa235…
07-25 12:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x2efdc5…
07-25 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9cd03d…
07-25 10:50:39	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc79f2e…
07-25 10:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x80cf5f…
07-25 10:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xea4b22…
07-25 10:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x18bf4b…
07-25 10:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0xa58526…
07-25 09:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa302b0…
07-25 09:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x97f5a1…
07-25 09:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0cfb55…
07-25 08:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf8a85a…
07-25 08:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x30f1e6…
07-25 08:33:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa69e47…
07-25 08:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 25?	No	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x87de9f…
07-25 08:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbb362b…
07-25 08:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2b43c3…
07-25 07:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 25?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x431a3f…
07-25 07:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0xef59fc…
07-25 07:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 25?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xba26db…
07-25 07:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe0e095…
07-25 07:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x68b762…
07-25 06:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x23eda9…
07-25 06:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xfe237d…
07-25 06:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x95ecc2…
07-25 05:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 25?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc7a1e7…
07-25 05:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1f1b0c…