Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$241
$1,647 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$3,321
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 22:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $51 | $51 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $11 | $140 | $128 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $4 | $39 | $35 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| Median | 9 | $2 | $71 | $69 |
| Below median | 8 | $2 | $67 | $65 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $29 | $29 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +82 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-14 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | +45 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-14 17:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f65…3146 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:29 |
| Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | +38 | $36 | $36 | 2 | 05-13 22:23 |
| Mad-Beastie 0x9151…a93e | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:39 |
| Rare-Stimulus-Shoelace 0xcf9a…e559 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:37 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 21:45 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 4 | 05-14 21:49 |
| Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:20 |
| Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 20:12 |
| Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:37 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a62…ace3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 11:38 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 11:19 |
| Severe-Return 0x2aec…6e19 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-14 12:17 |
| Usable-Cue 0x3a02…3197 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 10:49 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x41d6…ef29 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:24 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 20:09 |
| Apprehensive-Venison 0xfb88…56ba | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 09:49 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 17:34 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:23 |
| Fair-Utensil 0x3b73…9b26 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:08:55 | Quick-Transport 0x1294…35bb | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x81a8ed… |
| 05-14 21:49:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 7 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xa30b82… |
| 05-14 21:45:19 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x68312f… |
| 05-14 21:37:40 | Superior-Collectivization 0xda58…4e79 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe33f3d… |
| 05-14 20:37:35 | Rare-Stimulus-Shoelace 0xcf9a…e559 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x7f1d92… |
| 05-14 20:20:25 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb5884d… |
| 05-14 20:12:15 | Tan-Illiteracy 0xb2ea…fe59 | No | BUY | 19 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xdde0bd… |
| 05-14 20:09:51 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x55e651… |
| 05-14 19:54:20 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7216b6… |
| 05-14 19:39:22 | Mad-Beastie 0x9151…a93e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x0ebe6d… |
| 05-14 19:04:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x55f0bb… |
| 05-14 17:34:43 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x9c7640… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x6e61…931b | No | BUY | 45 | 96¢ | $43 | 0x27ed73… |
| 05-14 16:09:17 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 29 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xce3ef6… |
| 05-14 15:28:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x81d9f4… |
| 05-14 15:26:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb0b9c6… |
| 05-14 15:00:39 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1a9eba… |
| 05-14 14:59:28 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2bf3e8… |
| 05-14 14:31:19 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 33 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x66d0d5… |
| 05-14 14:26:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x64dfb2… |
| 05-14 13:29:10 | (anonymous) 0x4f65…3146 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x90d43b… |
| 05-14 12:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x41d6…ef29 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf626d2… |
| 05-14 12:17:44 | Severe-Return 0x2aec…6e19 | No | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x87ae04… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x543fd7… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc31dfd… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6c553f… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x893262… |
| 05-14 11:19:06 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 13 | 96¢ | $12 | 0xb7e74e… |
| 05-14 10:49:49 | Usable-Cue 0x3a02…3197 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x91346e… |
| 05-14 09:49:37 | Apprehensive-Venison 0xfb88…56ba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3ca8fe… |
| 05-14 02:57:11 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x3cecc7… |
| 05-13 22:23:57 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 19 | 95¢ | $18 | 0xe1070e… |
| 05-13 22:23:48 | Fatal-Beck 0x4dab…e426 | No | BUY | 19 | 94¢ | $18 | 0xce0b59… |
| 05-13 22:17:53 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x89bf7f… |
| 05-13 11:38:10 | (anonymous) 0x8a62…ace3 | No | BUY | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x1dc531… |
| 05-13 07:59:39 | Fair-Utensil 0x3b73…9b26 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xf0fa9a… |
| 05-13 04:32:43 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x76c29e… |
| 05-13 04:23:00 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xde98d7… |