Fatal-Outrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

194

Trades

1,616

lifetime

Volume

$776

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-16 09:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

100% 57% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?	28	$23	398	398	+0	No	+$5	05-14 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?	28	$21	174	123	+51	No	+$1	05-14 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 8?	19	$12	283	283	+0	No	+$3	05-08 04:50
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 13?	6	$12	299	127	+172	No	+$5	05-13 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?	14	$11	194	88	+106	No	+$1	05-14 01:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 6?	14	$10	148	148	+0	No	+$2	05-05 23:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 14?	14	$10	208	208	+0	No	$0	05-14 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 6?	7	$9	96	96	+0	No	+$0	05-06 02:22
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 6?	6	$9	302	101	+201	No	$0	05-05 23:22
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?	17	$9	281	281	+0	No	+$1	05-10 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?	21	$9	141	92	+49	No	-$1	05-14 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 8?	8	$9	181	181	+0	No	+$1	05-08 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?	5	$8	62	47	+15	No	+$1	05-12 05:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 6?	14	$8	282	282	+0	No	-$5	05-06 10:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	13	$8	54	41	+13	No	-$1	05-14 22:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 8?	10	$8	177	177	+0	No	+$2	05-07 16:06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 6?	7	$8	76	76	+0	No	+$1	05-06 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on May 6?	8	$8	258	258	+0	No	+$1	05-05 12:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 10?	19	$8	213	213	+0	No	+$0	05-10 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 6?	29	$8	175	173	+2	No	+$1	05-06 00:40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 14?	22	$7	270	270	+0	No	-$1	05-14 06:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?	11	$7	127	127	+0	No	+$0	05-13 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on May 6?	14	$7	299	299	+0	No	-$7	05-06 10:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	13	$7	120	120	+0	No	+$0	05-05 21:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 10?	20	$7	1,430	229	+1,201	No	-$1	05-10 05:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on May 12?	20	$7	270	169	+101	No	$0	05-11 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 6?	4	$7	29	29	+0	No	+$3	05-06 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6?	6	$6	59	59	+0	No	-$1	05-05 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 8?	14	$6	265	165	+100	No	+$1	05-08 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	5	$6	28	28	+0	No	+$1	05-06 01:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 09:22:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0xb3b1cb…
05-16 09:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x279795…
05-15 18:21:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x02f3f3…
05-15 18:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x2c453d…
05-15 18:18:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x890282…
05-15 16:04:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x7a9aee…
05-15 15:30:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x936d09…
05-15 15:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x71cb6f…
05-15 15:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xc1a8ad…
05-15 15:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0x4539bf…
05-15 07:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x136729…
05-15 07:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0x93dd9f…
05-15 07:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$1	0x7690ae…
05-15 05:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x123b5f…
05-15 05:10:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x9aa3af…
05-15 04:40:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xdf8f16…
05-15 03:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x0e6c15…
05-15 03:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00c52d…
05-15 03:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4267e1…
05-15 03:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x155e81…
05-15 03:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc525e5…
05-15 03:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa59a82…
05-15 03:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0x79842a…
05-15 03:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4705a9…
05-15 03:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x36a86d…
05-15 03:17:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x6cdd70…
05-15 02:02:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x4f8a18…
05-14 22:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3b8900…
05-14 22:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x616cf5…
05-14 22:20:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xcb52cd…
05-14 22:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc300ee…
05-14 22:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfdd6c0…
05-14 22:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xbe3f46…
05-14 22:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6d179c…
05-14 22:13:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xae04da…
05-14 22:13:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x9a546d…
05-14 22:13:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xa3051c…
05-14 22:13:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x792cbc…
05-14 22:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x45d870…
05-14 22:11:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x4fe9e2…
05-14 22:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0xcf3b64…
05-14 22:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4b5ae3…
05-14 22:01:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x162d37…
05-14 22:00:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x7e2128…
05-14 21:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xd3206d…
05-14 21:50:29	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4ec1ee…
05-14 21:37:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xe33f3d…
05-14 21:24:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xb76663…
05-14 21:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe88331…
05-14 20:57:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x68b8a5…
05-14 20:49:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x63b1c2…
05-14 20:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xab243e…
05-14 20:20:25	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xb5884d…
05-14 20:20:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x444843…
05-14 19:54:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xf45f9f…
05-14 19:50:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x2b5ed5…
05-14 19:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x511aca…
05-14 19:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0xdc1a05…
05-14 17:50:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x25aa24…
05-14 17:40:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x79a0c7…
05-14 17:22:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0xc86ad3…
05-14 17:22:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd6a835…
05-14 17:19:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9e3765…
05-14 17:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x00dd76…
05-14 16:49:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x6aaa54…
05-14 16:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	44	1¢	$0	0xd9268a…
05-14 16:30:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3640f5…
05-14 16:07:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0xd5cf48…
05-14 16:04:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf3b999…
05-14 15:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x18d86c…
05-14 15:31:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x30c560…
05-14 15:30:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x4181bf…
05-14 15:30:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x14c090…
05-14 15:30:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x008370…
05-14 15:30:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf3e84a…
05-14 15:30:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x873bba…
05-14 15:30:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x3ad1c6…
05-14 15:00:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x9d2e39…
05-14 14:34:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x231feb…
05-14 14:26:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	58	1¢	$1	0xed5549…
05-14 13:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x475766…
05-14 13:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xe5a0e2…
05-14 13:29:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	SELL	36	3¢	$1	0x50ac17…
05-14 13:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef1651…
05-14 13:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x097f22…
05-14 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x718a4c…
05-14 12:45:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 14?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x1360c1…
05-14 12:37:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xd3e8c5…
05-14 12:37:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xf29b5f…
05-14 12:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x8f93af…
05-14 12:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xcec504…
05-14 12:20:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xd61b65…
05-14 12:06:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xf9a5da…
05-14 12:06:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x45e20a…
05-14 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xefe304…
05-14 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd05716…
05-14 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb71a58…
05-14 12:04:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xae09eb…
05-14 12:04:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x266f07…
05-14 11:19:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xb7e74e…