Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 15?
open
Total volume
$264
$1,125 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$2,620
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 17:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $56 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $44 | $123 | $79 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $11 | $119 | $108 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $37 | $36 |
| Median | 8 | $13 | $10 | +$3 |
| Below median | 7 | $8 | $29 | $22 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +71 | $56 | $56 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +57 | $48 | $48 | 3 | 05-14 12:45 |
| Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | +47 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +43 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 12:04 |
| Powerless-Enclave 0x9948…5da1 | Yes | +42 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 09:48 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +35 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-13 21:58 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:14 |
| Calm-Pike 0xd85e…de9e | No | +22 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 15:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-14 15:28 |
| Educated-Smell 0xc416…3704 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 15:39 |
| Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 17:57 |
| Cluttered-Flour 0x3e5e…ec7b | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 16:11 |
| Cool-Motion 0xb449…1a89 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x95c1…ed1a | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:40 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | +6 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:04 |
| Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:31 |
| Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:34 |
| Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 12:45 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | +3 | $3 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 14:25 |
| Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 14:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 17:57:03 | Slushy-Newspaper 0xd9ae…3f4b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x781998… |
| 05-14 17:57:03 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 39 | 16¢ | $6 | 0xdab2db… |
| 05-14 17:31:51 | Ideal-Hive-Ban 0x60b1…8b7c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x243c51… |
| 05-14 16:49:39 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x9e29e3… |
| 05-14 16:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x141224… |
| 05-14 16:49:39 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x2555bc… |
| 05-14 16:49:37 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | SELL | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x235738… |
| 05-14 16:49:37 | (anonymous) 0xbd1b…da1e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x74276e… |
| 05-14 16:49:34 | Cool-Motion 0xb449…1a89 | No | BUY | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xd315bc… |
| 05-14 16:34:38 | Silent-Terminal 0x45c2…68ee | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xbd0845… |
| 05-14 16:34:08 | Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x5d4394… |
| 05-14 16:14:34 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 26 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x6c2d73… |
| 05-14 16:14:34 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 15¢ | $4 | 0xed7bf5… |
| 05-14 16:11:21 | Cluttered-Flour 0x3e5e…ec7b | No | BUY | 11 | 85¢ | $9 | 0x522bb7… |
| 05-14 15:39:29 | Educated-Smell 0xc416…3704 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7dbf71… |
| 05-14 15:28:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xcd8cb6… |
| 05-14 15:26:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2a24e7… |
| 05-14 15:03:54 | Calm-Pike 0xd85e…de9e | No | BUY | 22 | 83¢ | $18 | 0x53aace… |
| 05-14 14:49:06 | Candid-Wood 0x892d…3270 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x93b72d… |
| 05-14 14:26:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x0e8169… |
| 05-14 14:25:59 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | SELL | 2 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x5d1db0… |
| 05-14 14:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | BUY | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xcca6c5… |
| 05-14 14:04:04 | Stimulating-Glow 0xdecc…7be8 | No | BUY | 3 | 81¢ | $2 | 0x010f82… |
| 05-14 13:19:30 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 71 | 80¢ | $56 | 0x33c220… |
| 05-14 12:45:56 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0xec0090… |
| 05-14 12:45:47 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xc35482… |
| 05-14 12:45:44 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x7b556a… |
| 05-14 12:10:19 | Educated-Smell 0xc416…3704 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x2aea0f… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x54aab6… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x7b29c1… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9b4ca4… |
| 05-14 12:04:12 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6c75a9… |
| 05-14 12:04:10 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 43 | 15¢ | $7 | 0x203573… |
| 05-14 11:40:03 | (anonymous) 0x95c1…ed1a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xda5a51… |
| 05-14 10:04:51 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x6eece1… |
| 05-14 05:16:16 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 31 | 84¢ | $26 | 0x85865e… |
| 05-14 05:15:55 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x9ad4fa… |
| 05-14 03:46:18 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x7d94ea… |
| 05-14 02:57:11 | Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 23¢ | $4 | 0x53b19a… |
| 05-13 22:09:25 | (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xeeb6f3… |
| 05-13 21:58:17 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 9 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xfe720d… |
| 05-13 20:04:05 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 26 | 81¢ | $21 | 0xd444e2… |
| 05-13 09:53:08 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | No | SELL | 2 | 77¢ | $2 | 0x46ece9… |
| 05-13 09:48:21 | Powerless-Enclave 0x9948…5da1 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 24¢ | $10 | 0x79362f… |