Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$171
$9 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$863
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 06:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $112 | $111 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $19 | $31 | $12 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $85 | $85 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $16 | $16 |
| Median | 9 | $3 | $36 | $33 |
| Below median | 14 | $12 | $5 | +$7 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +71 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 05-14 19:22 |
| Mysterious-Puddle 0x2084…e384 | Yes | +63 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 06:29 |
| Dim-Stitcher 0x4bfe…b127 | Yes | +61 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 19:54 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +51 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:22 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-15 02:02 |
| Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 18:54 |
| Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 19:36 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:19 |
| Educated-Smell 0xc416…3704 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 08:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe01…b8ae | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 05:45 |
| Wide-Eyed-Literature 0x4198…959c | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:04 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 21:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1d44…6650 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x76af…c72b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 17:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 06:29:32 | Mysterious-Puddle 0x2084…e384 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x8a0fbb… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x83ad64… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xa74678… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x1c6450… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x4428d2… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xff458b… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc82adf… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x19503f… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xea2370… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x28230a… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x92dd0f… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x7636cc… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xda551c… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x54a8ec… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0x9c4c6a… |
| 05-15 02:02:58 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xc2043e… |
| 05-15 01:30:15 | (anonymous) 0x30e2…0455 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf2d187… |
| 05-14 21:30:07 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x08c021… |
| 05-14 21:18:32 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x34871d… |
| 05-14 21:18:29 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x3bb1f3… |
| 05-14 21:18:27 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x4c6c1a… |
| 05-14 21:18:15 | (anonymous) 0x1d44…6650 | No | BUY | 2 | 90¢ | $2 | 0xaa5237… |
| 05-14 19:54:18 | Dim-Stitcher 0x4bfe…b127 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xf45f9f… |
| 05-14 19:36:48 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xa906e9… |
| 05-14 19:22:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 63 | 93¢ | $58 | 0x97ef9c… |
| 05-14 19:22:03 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 51 | 9¢ | $5 | 0xe8b863… |
| 05-14 18:54:59 | Corrupt-Drawing 0xd2e5…6fe6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xb2f902… |
| 05-14 17:29:42 | (anonymous) 0x76af…c72b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xb9c97c… |
| 05-14 17:29:38 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x69b161… |
| 05-14 17:29:37 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0x7ce8ce… |
| 05-14 17:19:21 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe5a822… |
| 05-14 17:06:41 | Milky-Payment 0x8bbc…1d9e | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0x1dbcf6… |
| 05-14 09:04:07 | Wide-Eyed-Literature 0x4198…959c | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0x7d21c2… |
| 05-14 08:34:10 | Educated-Smell 0xc416…3704 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x46751d… |
| 05-14 05:45:11 | (anonymous) 0xfe01…b8ae | No | BUY | 3 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xda9bd7… |