Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$436
$563 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$3,360
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 21:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $1 | $425 | $424 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $71 | $71 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $63 | $63 |
| Median | 9 | — | $283 | $283 |
| Below median | 4 | $0 | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $3 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaring-Tone 0x65a4…e78f | No | +107 | $106 | $106 | 1 | 05-09 13:13 |
| Circular-Mass 0x7f81…fe43 | No | +105 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-09 04:00 |
| Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | +77 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 15:37 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 05-09 07:59 |
| Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | +48 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 05-08 05:44 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 04:44 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 07:04 |
| Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 04:54 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 23:06 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e1c…7fc3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 21:24 |
| Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Questionable-Noun 0xe9d0…fd65 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 13:28 |
| Sarcastic-Team 0xc8de…6e50 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 23:01 |
| Dismal-Signature 0x313f…37dc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 18:57 |
| Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 21:24:54 | (anonymous) 0x5e1c…7fc3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb4e05a… |
| 05-09 18:57:24 | Dismal-Signature 0x313f…37dc | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x5ab00c… |
| 05-09 18:31:51 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0e24af… |
| 05-09 15:37:28 | Tiny-Smuggling 0x6a80…386f | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4691d3… |
| 05-09 13:28:24 | Questionable-Noun 0xe9d0…fd65 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x77a32d… |
| 05-09 13:13:20 | Blaring-Tone 0x65a4…e78f | No | BUY | 107 | 99¢ | $106 | 0x6f1bbe… |
| 05-09 07:59:40 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 45 | 99¢ | $45 | 0x7397f5… |
| 05-09 07:04:45 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x39d265… |
| 05-09 06:34:49 | Brisk-Ingredient 0x232a…df29 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd78649… |
| 05-09 04:00:13 | Circular-Mass 0x7f81…fe43 | No | BUY | 105 | 99¢ | $104 | 0x3576cb… |
| 05-09 00:20:42 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x970cda… |
| 05-08 23:06:28 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xace632… |
| 05-08 23:01:31 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x89afd1… |
| 05-08 23:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xcd86…1f6d | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb39773… |
| 05-08 23:01:27 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x75f589… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5f7d3d… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xdd5463… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x988d68… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 24 | 98¢ | $24 | 0xc7577a… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | Hasty-Unemployment 0xf61a…5e39 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x520857… |
| 05-08 23:01:26 | Criminal-Uncertainty 0x87a2…2250 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf2d9bd… |
| 05-08 14:05:10 | Sarcastic-Team 0xc8de…6e50 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x0d77c3… |
| 05-08 09:45:52 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x339a26… |
| 05-08 05:44:06 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x90e33e… |
| 05-08 04:54:27 | Wasteful-Troop 0x4cad…e203 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x673d2e… |
| 05-08 04:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3ce0d7… |