Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?
open
Total volume
$1,073
$79 in 24h
Trades
75
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$251
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 16:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $71 | $71 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $0 | $295 | $294 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 46 | $15 | $460 | $445 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $4 | $93 | $90 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $6 | $6 |
| Median | 15 | $0 | $407 | $407 |
| Below median | 13 | $8 | $34 | $26 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $2 | $79 | $77 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $200 | $200 |
| unranked | 8 | $2 | $6 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange-Backbone 0xc96c…b868 | Yes | +233 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-16 04:35 |
| Innocent-Lord 0x9c4e…1f10 | No | +207 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-15 21:35 |
| Thankful-Baseboard 0x38d6…d072 | No | +140 | $139 | $139 | 1 | 05-16 05:51 |
| Horrible-Displacement 0xcddb…befa | Yes | +92 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Low-Pardon 0x0e70…bb75 | No | +88 | $85 | $85 | 1 | 05-15 22:30 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +61 | $59 | $59 | 3 | 05-16 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c67…e770 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x7086…78a2 | Yes | +37 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 21:35 |
| Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:30 |
| Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-16 03:19 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 05:39 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +29 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-16 06:24 |
| Mysterious-Collector-Kill 0xd43c…40f7 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 18:42 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 6 | 05-15 14:29 |
| Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 03:14 |
| Substantial-Ballet 0xfe14…8a5f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 02:46 |
| Equatorial-Bulldozer 0xef2e…10c3 | Yes | +19 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 19:38 |
| Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-15 10:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 21:35 |
| Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 21:35 |
| Vivacious-Deputy 0xa9ab…924c | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 11:44 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-15 19:24 |
| Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 11:20 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 05:45 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-16 06:46 |
| Wicked-Shrine 0x8042…fd41 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 13:11 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 07:34 |
| Unused-Commitment 0xd3a1…3e80 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-16 01:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x044d…ca4f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 04:49 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:20 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 19:38 |
| Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 02:16 |
| Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 19:38 |
| Melodic-Foray 0x0506…bc49 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 23:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 16:40:39 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x025aa3… |
| 05-16 11:35:55 | Pale-Garage 0x1352…2f95 | No | SELL | 128 | 100¢ | $128 | 0x8aa874… |
| 05-16 11:10:43 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | No | SELL | 62 | 100¢ | $62 | 0xd3d6f7… |
| 05-16 08:11:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb506eb… |
| 05-16 07:00:56 | Yellowish-Melatonin 0x1b8f…e17e | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xca217d… |
| 05-16 06:46:19 | Meager-Workplace 0x547b…d0ba | Yes | SELL | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8e9b15… |
| 05-16 06:46:19 | (anonymous) 0xebf0…2330 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x081a71… |
| 05-16 06:46:15 | Boiling-Commonsense 0xd879…7bc3 | Yes | SELL | 361 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x78e804… |
| 05-16 06:46:10 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2018da… |
| 05-16 06:44:29 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d6f1f… |
| 05-16 06:24:25 | Horrible-Displacement 0xcddb…befa | Yes | BUY | 92 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc6a76e… |
| 05-16 06:24:19 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcc1276… |
| 05-16 05:55:46 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x517362… |
| 05-16 05:51:15 | Thankful-Baseboard 0x38d6…d072 | No | BUY | 140 | 99¢ | $139 | 0xc2e641… |
| 05-16 05:44:55 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe75f35… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xf3aa70… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9699c5… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfe983c… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x60df3e… |
| 05-16 05:39:51 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x359bb2… |
| 05-16 05:21:04 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0c8c54… |
| 05-16 04:49:14 | (anonymous) 0x044d…ca4f | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x891081… |
| 05-16 04:35:14 | Orange-Backbone 0xc96c…b868 | Yes | BUY | 205 | 1¢ | $2 | 0x83ae5b… |
| 05-16 03:45:57 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x16068d… |
| 05-16 03:19:28 | Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x75e284… |
| 05-16 03:19:21 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf6797… |
| 05-16 03:15:53 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x6c1b78… |
| 05-16 03:14:18 | Unnatural-Tachometer-Reef 0xbcce…65af | Yes | BUY | 21 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xddc7bc… |
| 05-16 03:11:07 | Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x51cdcc… |
| 05-16 03:10:46 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xcc23f2… |
| 05-16 03:00:48 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9fcac0… |
| 05-16 03:00:46 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9e446a… |
| 05-16 02:46:06 | Substantial-Ballet 0xfe14…8a5f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x3677e2… |
| 05-16 02:34:08 | Accomplished-Fallingout 0x19fc…1a12 | Yes | SELL | 77 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x2a8874… |
| 05-16 02:16:02 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x589d52… |
| 05-16 01:25:52 | Unused-Commitment 0xd3a1…3e80 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x8652fc… |
| 05-15 23:51:01 | Melodic-Foray 0x0506…bc49 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x620c6c… |
| 05-15 22:30:41 | Low-Pardon 0x0e70…bb75 | No | BUY | 88 | 97¢ | $85 | 0x486589… |
| 05-15 22:10:46 | Orange-Backbone 0xc96c…b868 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5a6769… |
| 05-15 21:35:48 | (anonymous) 0x7c52…1411 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6f1e08… |
| 05-15 21:35:46 | Skeletal-Tech 0x2b74…7f90 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x11e046… |
| 05-15 21:35:46 | (anonymous) 0x7086…78a2 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x56d0b7… |
| 05-15 21:35:42 | Innocent-Lord 0x9c4e…1f10 | No | BUY | 207 | 97¢ | $200 | 0xa37575… |
| 05-15 19:38:31 | Enormous-Training 0x7781…37c4 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xf3427b… |
| 05-15 19:38:31 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xfba808… |
| 05-15 19:38:29 | Equatorial-Bulldozer 0xef2e…10c3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x16923e… |
| 05-15 19:24:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0xb57170… |
| 05-15 18:42:19 | Mysterious-Collector-Kill 0xd43c…40f7 | Yes | BUY | 26 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x55016a… |
| 05-15 18:09:46 | Snoopy-Conviction 0xe587…dc56 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x661adf… |
| 05-15 16:59:47 | Pale-Garage 0x1352…2f95 | No | BUY | 128 | 97¢ | $125 | 0x1922bd… |
| 05-15 15:29:35 | Shameless-Dune 0x07ca…e577 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x2c83af… |
| 05-15 14:29:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf870e8… |
| 05-15 14:29:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xd75b15… |
| 05-15 13:34:34 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x953274… |
| 05-15 13:11:23 | Wicked-Shrine 0x8042…fd41 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x8c4e5a… |
| 05-15 11:20:42 | Perfumed-Revascularisation 0x01d0…7b12 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd3b768… |
| 05-15 10:15:39 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x576f28… |
| 05-15 10:06:51 | Kindhearted-Airspace 0x8891…b5fc | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xe105c7… |
| 05-15 09:36:15 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x344a67… |
| 05-15 09:31:53 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xba5510… |
| 05-15 08:00:53 | Standard-Porter 0xee2f…8973 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x93ec26… |
| 05-15 07:34:31 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x074b2d… |
| 05-15 07:30:31 | Fatal-Outrage 0x524c…d364 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x136729… |
| 05-15 04:59:21 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd43c80… |
| 05-15 03:23:30 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x753e1b… |
| 05-15 01:18:19 | (anonymous) 0x9c67…e770 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x4c8eed… |
| 05-14 17:19:42 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x25cb82… |
| 05-14 17:19:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa52bd6… |
| 05-14 17:19:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xb31908… |
| 05-14 16:11:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x4ed9f6… |
| 05-14 12:20:34 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x7aa5a6… |
| 05-14 11:44:13 | Vivacious-Deputy 0xa9ab…924c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xde9cb9… |
| 05-14 11:05:15 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xad135a… |
| 05-14 10:54:28 | Tangible-Philosophy 0x3afe…075d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6460a0… |
| 05-14 05:45:12 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x50fc64… |