Orange-Backbone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.62K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

871

Trades

5,560

lifetime

Volume

$64.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-29 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

100% 49% +$2,621

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wellington on march 11 2026 18c	58	$2.0K	1,555	1,562	-8	Yes	+$1,070	03-11 05:11
highest temperature in shanghai on march 14 2026 15c	8	$2.0K	1,620	1,620	+0	No	+$551	03-14 04:42
highest temperature in ankara on march 17 2026 14c	11	$1.5K	868	868	+0	No	-$57	03-17 10:04
highest temperature in paris on march 11 2026 14c	6	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$921	03-11 21:23
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 6?	41	$1.3K	973	973	+0	No	+$64	05-06 04:42
highest temperature in wellington on march 21 2026 16c	24	$1.2K	671	671	+0	No	+$86	03-21 01:32
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	31	$1.2K	665	665	+0	No	+$90	03-20 03:33
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 16c	22	$1.1K	884	884	+0	No	-$289	03-17 14:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	5	$1.1K	962	962	+0	Yes	-$366	03-12 04:38
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 14c	5	$969	551	551	+0	No	+$131	03-18 04:05
highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 16c	9	$955	496	496	+0	No	+$28	03-20 14:32
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 33c	3	$912	483	483	+0	No	+$44	03-22 08:31
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 17c	19	$897	522	522	+0	No	+$62	03-23 15:34
highest temperature in toronto on march 10 2026 15c	19	$897	514	535	-21	No	+$142	03-10 15:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?	9	$884	1,215	1,215	+0	Yes	-$362	06-07 12:46
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 20c	14	$814	453	453	+0	No	+$83	03-27 23:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	16	$797	436	436	+0	Yes	+$65	03-10 06:34
highest temperature in wellington on march 10 2026 16c	37	$797	758	798	-40	Yes	+$126	03-10 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?	23	$792	756	756	+0	Yes	+$719	05-10 05:42
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 34c	17	$789	492	492	+0	Yes	+$185	03-18 11:42
highest temperature in lucknow on march 25 2026 34c	13	$770	512	512	+0	No	+$80	03-25 11:38
highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 32c	45	$767	568	568	+0	No	+$243	03-30 05:34
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 20c	14	$689	411	411	+0	No	+$126	03-23 23:04
highest temperature in singapore on march 26 2026 33c	4	$650	422	422	+0	Yes	+$185	03-26 07:00
highest temperature in paris on march 12 2026 13c	37	$641	437	454	-16	Yes	-$7	03-12 14:12
highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 13c	41	$629	2,104	2,104	-0	No	-$621	03-16 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 2?	4	$625	360	360	+0	Yes	+$95	05-02 01:36
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 22c	16	$622	408	408	+0	No	+$182	03-27 02:42
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 14c	11	$619	353	351	+1	No	+$56	04-02 07:37
highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 12c	28	$577	490	490	+0	Yes	-$90	03-12 07:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 01:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 29?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xe0daee…
07-29 01:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on July 29?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0af11c…
07-23 00:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x540de2…
07-23 00:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	36	9¢	$3	0x10cdbb…
07-23 00:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0x825632…
07-22 03:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x3c0beb…
07-22 03:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xb5b90a…
07-21 23:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x3b76c9…
07-21 23:19:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x271b5a…
07-21 23:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$1	0x032c38…
07-21 23:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x62b360…
07-21 22:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xec1289…
07-11 02:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0x8bfc99…
07-11 00:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb612e7…
07-10 23:40:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4efc5b…
06-30 00:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	299	1¢	$2	0x5a7457…
06-29 23:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	47	2¢	$1	0x1705d0…
06-29 23:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	346	0¢	$2	0x340320…
06-23 07:53:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xe9d1c2…
06-23 07:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xac3eee…
06-23 07:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xf2fe7f…
06-23 07:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xcd79d6…
06-22 04:09:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xa4b51d…
06-22 04:08:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$2	0xe29862…
06-22 02:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xea9031…
06-22 01:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	SELL	741	0¢	$1	0xc63077…
06-22 01:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x9bee83…
06-22 01:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x58acb5…
06-22 01:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xa4cce0…
06-22 01:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xda52af…
06-22 01:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9893e8…
06-22 00:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x08245d…
06-22 00:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc88d99…
06-22 00:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3dbb86…
06-22 00:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x424378…
06-22 00:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	97	1¢	$1	0x8234de…
06-22 00:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfad4f7…
06-22 00:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd5e9aa…
06-22 00:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x51a5b5…
06-22 00:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc4dea6…
06-22 00:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x635071…
06-22 00:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x63e16f…
06-22 00:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe11a6f…
06-22 00:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5fe753…
06-22 00:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7dfedf…
06-22 00:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x570aa0…
06-21 23:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x47789e…
06-21 23:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xd80e3c…
06-21 23:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x39c986…
06-21 23:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xf59240…
06-21 23:54:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x561aba…
06-21 23:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf274da…
06-21 23:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x5b6b2a…
06-21 23:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x17acf1…
06-21 23:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xd3141b…
06-21 23:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x94d3bf…
06-21 23:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x08a7af…
06-21 23:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xee1760…
06-21 23:48:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4b2693…
06-21 23:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdb8bd6…
06-21 23:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x864b27…
06-21 23:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x7934a8…
06-21 23:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x17e395…
06-21 23:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x8c08eb…
06-21 23:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3505de…
06-21 23:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	57	0¢	$0	0x0c3937…
06-21 23:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xa9b803…
06-21 23:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3cf061…
06-21 23:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x45a18a…
06-21 23:43:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x84674b…
06-21 23:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x8eb1ce…
06-21 23:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x119a87…
06-21 23:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x522ed7…
06-21 23:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x30ab9b…
06-21 23:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9ecd58…
06-21 23:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbf49c9…
06-21 23:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xb9cbbf…
06-21 23:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xa0a619…
06-21 23:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x973d92…
06-21 23:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5bbd80…
06-21 23:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x9994ec…
06-21 23:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x217dc9…
06-21 23:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xdf000a…
06-21 23:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x785747…
06-21 23:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x15618b…
06-21 23:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x99714d…
06-21 23:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2d29d6…
06-21 22:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x516bf5…
06-21 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0745cf…
06-21 22:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on June 22?	Yes	BUY	354	1¢	$4	0xfe6c0f…
06-20 07:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	711	0¢	$1	0xfe92f4…
06-20 06:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xc0ad52…
06-20 06:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0x83630d…
06-20 06:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0x84fef8…
06-20 05:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0xb751f3…
06-20 05:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	990	0¢	$1	0x875886…
06-20 05:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0x1e9ca1…
06-20 01:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	364	2¢	$7	0x2e4c41…
06-20 01:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	282	3¢	$8	0x9e42b1…
06-20 00:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x99ea23…