Orange-Backbone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

Trades

3,729

lifetime

Volume

$56.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-05 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

100% 73% +$11

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in wellington on march 11 2026 18c	58	$2.0K	1,555	1,562	-8	open	—	03-11 05:11
highest temperature in shanghai on march 14 2026 15c	8	$2.0K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	03-14 04:42
highest temperature in ankara on march 17 2026 14c	11	$1.5K	868	868	+0	open	—	03-17 10:04
highest temperature in paris on march 11 2026 14c	6	$1.5K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-11 21:23
highest temperature in wellington on march 21 2026 16c	24	$1.2K	671	671	+0	open	—	03-21 01:32
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 18c	31	$1.2K	665	665	+0	open	—	03-20 03:33
highest temperature in paris on march 17 2026 16c	22	$1.1K	884	884	+0	open	—	03-17 14:24
highest temperature in seoul on march 12 2026 11c	5	$1.1K	962	962	+0	open	—	03-12 04:38
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 14c	5	$969	551	551	+0	open	—	03-18 04:05
highest temperature in paris on march 20 2026 16c	9	$955	496	496	+0	open	—	03-20 14:32
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 33c	3	$912	483	483	+0	open	—	03-22 08:31
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 17c	19	$897	522	522	+0	open	—	03-23 15:34
highest temperature in toronto on march 10 2026 15c	19	$897	514	535	-21	open	—	03-10 15:01
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 20c	14	$814	453	453	+0	open	—	03-27 23:02
highest temperature in seoul on march 10 2026 7c	16	$797	436	436	+0	open	—	03-10 06:34
highest temperature in wellington on march 10 2026 16c	37	$797	758	798	-40	open	—	03-10 03:25
highest temperature in lucknow on march 18 2026 34c	17	$789	492	492	+0	open	—	03-18 11:42
highest temperature in lucknow on march 25 2026 34c	13	$770	512	512	+0	open	—	03-25 11:38
highest temperature in singapore on march 30 2026 32c	45	$767	568	568	+0	open	—	03-30 05:34
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 20c	14	$689	411	411	+0	open	—	03-23 23:04
highest temperature in singapore on march 26 2026 33c	4	$650	422	422	+0	open	—	03-26 07:00
highest temperature in paris on march 12 2026 13c	37	$641	437	454	-16	open	—	03-12 14:12
highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 13c	41	$629	2,104	2,104	-0	open	—	03-16 09:40
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 22c	16	$622	408	408	+0	open	—	03-27 02:42
highest temperature in tokyo on april 2 2026 14c	11	$619	353	351	+1	open	—	04-02 07:37
highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 12c	28	$577	490	490	+0	open	—	03-12 07:47
highest temperature in paris on march 11 2026 13c	49	$569	745	5	+740	open	—	03-11 14:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 7 2026 33corbelow	7	$568	447	443	+4	open	—	04-07 09:35
highest temperature in tokyo on march 16 2026 12c	49	$540	1,421	1,421	+0	open	—	03-16 09:10
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 12c	25	$534	312	373	-61	open	—	03-15 14:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 10:23:57	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe4851f…
06-05 09:51:34	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3b339b…
06-05 09:28:46	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x1a28ed…
06-05 08:30:49	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xec218a…
05-27 13:16:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xb27753…
05-27 12:59:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xc206ea…
05-22 14:17:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x190582…
05-22 13:55:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0b6fc8…
05-22 13:51:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xecd2e8…
05-22 09:34:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x424911…
05-22 09:31:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xf42ed1…
05-22 09:17:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xba5fa8…
05-21 12:41:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	34	9¢	$3	0x1ac7b5…
05-21 12:34:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	34	14¢	$5	0x8c555b…
05-18 11:40:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	129	27¢	$35	0x2c5427…
05-18 11:40:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	104	7¢	$7	0x974430…
05-18 11:39:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x7e9d7e…
05-18 10:07:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x31c66c…
05-18 10:06:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x38e480…
05-18 10:06:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x3531f0…
05-18 10:05:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x2a78fa…
05-18 10:05:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	SELL	71	9¢	$6	0x4fd7e2…
05-18 09:29:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xcd56dd…
05-18 09:21:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xb17327…
05-18 09:18:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?	Up	BUY	42	27¢	$11	0x4ab009…
05-15 07:40:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x3871d5…
05-15 07:40:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x1be8f1…
05-15 07:12:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x3b97c8…
05-15 07:08:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xe2cbdb…
05-15 07:07:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xfff316…
05-13 12:31:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	SELL	15	33¢	$5	0x064bd1…
05-13 12:20:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Down	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xe2ee52…
05-12 13:02:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xe1236e…
05-12 13:02:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	190	2¢	$5	0x909f6e…
05-12 12:56:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4cca05…
05-12 12:20:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x48f777…
05-12 12:05:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	191	3¢	$5	0x682ed9…
05-12 12:03:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x613158…
05-11 14:06:44	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	248	21¢	$52	0xd0ec22…
05-11 13:53:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xa78dd1…
05-11 13:53:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x9ff093…
05-11 13:52:07	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xfb3f24…
05-11 13:46:09	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	258	20¢	$52	0x462569…
05-11 13:33:55	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xcd8467…
05-11 13:32:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x12ecb0…
05-08 09:54:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$5	0x31f1b2…
05-08 06:19:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x2bc86a…
05-07 06:13:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x4ab4b7…
05-07 03:46:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc97b1b…
05-07 03:46:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe08a69…
05-07 03:46:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xca2ee5…
05-06 13:11:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xef21de…
05-06 13:09:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x423628…
05-06 02:24:50	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xbdcfba…
05-05 23:19:48	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1e03c7…
05-05 14:19:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd3480d…
05-04 13:07:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	56	7¢	$4	0x65a9bd…
05-04 13:06:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0xaa545f…
05-04 13:06:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x985725…
05-04 13:00:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x0aaf9a…
05-04 12:56:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x2918bd…
05-04 12:54:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	47	20¢	$9	0x19a802…
05-04 12:53:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0xe50c01…
05-04 12:52:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	92	24¢	$22	0x36dbc1…
05-04 12:19:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0x99efcd…
05-04 12:16:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x4b2747…
05-04 12:06:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x5d41b3…
04-30 13:42:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	SELL	16	41¢	$7	0x7e2b27…
04-30 13:31:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x54d8d9…
04-30 06:47:10	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3a0853…
04-29 23:57:06	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 30?	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe64b4f…
04-29 12:22:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	61	13¢	$8	0x240aa1…
04-29 10:03:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xc42172…
04-29 10:02:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x5e8bfe…
04-29 09:14:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	70	42¢	$29	0x1e2b32…
04-29 08:06:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x6aaf9d…
04-29 08:06:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x577217…
04-29 08:00:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x117f00…
04-29 08:00:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	44	40¢	$18	0xb245ec…
04-29 07:19:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x34779b…
04-29 07:11:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x319094…
04-29 05:34:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x940a7e…
04-29 05:29:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	43	31¢	$13	0xc2111b…
04-29 05:23:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x125d68…
04-29 05:19:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	26	30¢	$8	0x1dfc0e…
04-29 05:10:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd9af8b…
04-29 03:12:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	204	33¢	$67	0x2f72d5…
04-29 02:36:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	199	34¢	$68	0x3b79b5…
04-29 02:31:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xee7f06…
04-29 02:18:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x2f8df6…
04-29 02:04:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xc7ad15…
04-29 01:27:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xcef5a4…
04-29 00:51:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1ebc97…
04-28 14:42:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0x749eb1…
04-28 14:28:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x264d45…
04-28 13:59:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xca937f…
04-28 13:54:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xff4ea8…
04-28 13:42:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9ec222…
04-28 13:36:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xd82689…
04-28 04:04:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	SELL	79	3¢	$2	0x1d0b7e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	558	$103.5K	17,078	04-27 14:14
Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e	529	$125.8K	22,183	04-28 08:14
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	519	$207.3K	36,161	05-07 16:35
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	506	$37.7K	17,096	04-27 13:44
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	489	$1.20K	1,818	05-27 13:30
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	484	$57.6K	9,139	04-28 07:21
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	423	$1.62K	1,060	04-28 05:13
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	411	$69.3K	9,395	04-30 04:05