Substantial-Ballet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.0%

Resolved

846

Trades

2,697

lifetime

Volume

$31.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 05-19 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

100% 97% -$30

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 54 55f	2	$175	91	91	+0	No	+$6	03-22 18:54
highest temperature in milan on march 22 2026 12c	6	$156	85	85	+0	No	+$12	03-22 13:25
highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 90 91f	6	$155	80	80	+0	No	+$6	03-22 22:10
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 17c	9	$145	74	74	+0	No	+$3	03-23 15:27
highest temperature in toronto on march 24 2026 6corhigher	13	$144	74	74	-0	No	+$4	03-24 23:08
highest temperature in madrid on march 25 2026 23c	9	$132	68	68	+0	No	+$3	03-25 16:45
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 66 67f	3	$132	66	66	+0	No	+$1	03-30 20:58
highest temperature in atlanta on march 30 2026 68 69f	2	$129	66	66	+0	No	+$2	03-30 18:54
highest temperature in munich on march 24 2026 16corhigher	7	$126	65	65	+0	No	+$3	03-24 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 29?	6	$119	60	60	+0	No	+$1	04-29 05:03
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 32corhigher	5	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$1	04-09 10:28
highest temperature in tokyo on march 30 2026 22corhigher	2	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$2	03-30 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on May 6?	7	$109	65	45	+20	No	+$1	05-06 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on April 30?	6	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$1	04-30 04:45
highest temperature in wellington on march 27 2026 24c	3	$99	50	50	+0	No	+$1	03-27 00:33
highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 14c	5	$95	50	50	+0	No	+$3	03-23 14:15
highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 88 89f	4	$93	47	47	+0	No	+$1	03-27 18:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 21corhigher	13	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$1	04-02 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 7?	4	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$1	05-07 05:11
highest temperature in atlanta on march 26 2026 84 85f	8	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	03-26 20:15
highest temperature in singapore on march 24 2026 34c	5	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$1	03-24 08:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	3	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	04-02 07:30
highest temperature in madrid on march 28 2026 20c	4	$80	41	41	+0	No	+$1	03-28 12:58
highest temperature in paris on march 23 2026 15c	4	$80	42	42	+0	No	+$3	03-23 13:29
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	4	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-16 13:31
highest temperature in warsaw on march 27 2026 8c	2	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	03-27 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 11?	6	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-11 19:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 30?	6	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-30 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	6	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$1	05-16 19:14
highest temperature in toronto on april 15 2026 22c	4	$79	40	40	+0	No	+$1	04-15 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 16:12:57	arch arch highest temperature in toronto on may 19 2026 34c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xebbda9…
05-19 16:12:45	arch arch highest temperature in toronto on may 19 2026 36c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x348fa9…
05-19 16:12:35	arch arch highest temperature in toronto on may 19 2026 27corbelow	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc1796b…
05-19 16:12:22	arch arch highest temperature in toronto on may 19 2026 35c	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x69693f…
05-18 00:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x28c74e…
05-18 00:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 18?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9c93af…
05-17 23:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 18?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x138244…
05-17 21:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1a26d8…
05-17 20:03:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8f2149…
05-17 17:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x37f0e8…
05-17 16:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x807686…
05-17 12:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb4814c…
05-17 12:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x930de0…
05-17 12:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd60b5e…
05-17 12:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0f7c76…
05-17 12:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xac509f…
05-17 12:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74f550…
05-17 12:06:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5e7cf4…
05-17 12:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9bac86…
05-17 09:31:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa6902f…
05-17 09:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 17?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9ce824…
05-17 08:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe0122f…
05-17 08:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0b607a…
05-17 07:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdef236…
05-17 07:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc901a1…
05-17 07:51:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87f0ee…
05-17 07:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb687a…
05-17 07:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8e6d99…
05-17 06:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 17?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0a65ea…
05-17 06:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdc9a97…
05-17 06:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x271ec5…
05-17 05:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30f366…
05-17 05:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 17?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x82a664…
05-17 04:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x95e5af…
05-17 04:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x6fd374…
05-17 03:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x65bee6…
05-17 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 17?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x812598…
05-17 03:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 17?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x86a225…
05-16 22:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3b8dd6…
05-16 21:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc7b86c…
05-16 20:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1b9b1d…
05-16 19:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4ec7dc…
05-16 19:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeb337c…
05-16 19:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$4	0x1087d4…
05-16 19:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd264e0…
05-16 19:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x9793da…
05-16 18:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x26d163…
05-16 18:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0991e4…
05-16 18:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x7d1d00…
05-16 18:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x338407…
05-16 18:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xea8420…
05-16 17:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x496832…
05-16 15:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x57fc21…
05-16 15:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b7277…
05-16 15:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 16?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5107f7…
05-16 15:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 16?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x53a7d9…
05-16 14:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b7e84…
05-16 14:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 16?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x92bb5b…
05-16 14:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 16?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xee9fe8…
05-16 14:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd24cff…
05-16 14:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x4e9670…
05-16 13:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3e657b…
05-16 12:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfdf848…
05-16 09:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xeb4c2a…
05-16 09:29:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6f0c61…
05-16 09:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc9acf2…
05-16 09:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf59df…
05-16 09:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd65e87…
05-16 06:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x35f661…
05-16 06:08:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 16?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9cf872…
05-16 05:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x019ccd…
05-16 05:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7d384e…
05-16 04:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbc34b1…
05-16 04:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 16?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xecbca5…
05-16 04:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 16?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x193e44…
05-16 03:59:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 16?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd916d0…
05-16 03:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1d9379…
05-16 03:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 16?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x874c43…
05-16 03:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x45e912…
05-16 02:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3677e2…
05-15 18:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf70c5b…
05-15 18:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xee794c…
05-15 18:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae933e…
05-15 18:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x440c63…
05-15 16:18:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1b2707…
05-15 16:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa515b4…
05-15 16:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on May 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xbda622…
05-15 14:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe71740…
05-15 14:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb5dc96…
05-15 13:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 15?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30f602…
05-15 10:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x74af1a…
05-15 10:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x703588…
05-15 10:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb88958…
05-15 10:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4e8217…
05-15 10:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa35810…
05-15 10:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7dfb37…
05-15 10:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6a23e2…
05-15 10:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 15?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5f95b4…
05-15 09:49:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 15?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x15abc2…
05-15 09:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 15?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xbe1548…