Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$720
Trades
44
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,116
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-17 06:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-3.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $27
vs crowd: 4% YES on $695)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $7 | $204 | $197 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $20 | $427 | $408 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $5 | $194 | $188 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 9 | $4 | $251 | $247 |
| Below median | 3 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $13 | $162 | $149 |
| unranked | 4 | — | $24 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | +500 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 21:22 |
| Tall-Disdain 0x45d6…5401 | Yes | +404 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 14:19 |
| Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | +193 | $185 | $185 | 2 | 05-14 17:36 |
| Repentant-Compulsion 0x9208…193d | No | +167 | $162 | $162 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +160 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-16 20:42 |
| Frail-Congregation 0x747f…ad68 | Yes | +133 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 01:13 |
| Mysterious-Puddle 0x2084…e384 | Yes | +132 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 06:29 |
| Breakable-Maternity 0xb853…7760 | No | +112 | $111 | $111 | 1 | 05-16 20:32 |
| Elementary-Kangaroo 0x4516…9b59 | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 21:12 |
| Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | +51 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 21:27 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-16 21:02 |
| Substantial-Ballet 0xfe14…8a5f | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-16 19:46 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 20:42 |
| Sparkling-Wash 0x44a3…9326 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-16 21:29 |
| Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-16 20:42 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 20:42 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-16 19:17 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 05-16 17:07 |
| Agreeable-Surge 0x0c55…7c92 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 08:49 |
| Illiterate-Charm 0xffca…4121 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 08:49 |
| Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 20:57 |
| Bumpy-Lid 0x0c40…8ef9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 20:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 06:39:06 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x050745… |
| 05-16 21:29:27 | Sparkling-Wash 0x44a3…9326 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x79a059… |
| 05-16 21:27:40 | Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5713ec… |
| 05-16 21:25:33 | Enchanted-Market 0x8866…7fc8 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xa0c7ba… |
| 05-16 21:22:15 | Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | Yes | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x17f433… |
| 05-16 21:17:03 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa222eb… |
| 05-16 21:15:17 | Enchanted-Market 0x8866…7fc8 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xdddf69… |
| 05-16 21:12:27 | Elementary-Kangaroo 0x4516…9b59 | No | BUY | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x1bea6e… |
| 05-16 21:02:11 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x7a4ad8… |
| 05-16 20:57:38 | Treasured-Coffin 0x15a1…5ef3 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xe57c0d… |
| 05-16 20:47:10 | Sparkling-Wash 0x44a3…9326 | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xc34146… |
| 05-16 20:42:38 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x137b0c… |
| 05-16 20:42:38 | Bumpy-Lid 0x0c40…8ef9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x61be22… |
| 05-16 20:42:38 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ea443… |
| 05-16 20:42:37 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x738db4… |
| 05-16 20:42:35 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9e99b6… |
| 05-16 20:42:31 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe46cb6… |
| 05-16 20:42:31 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb8a633… |
| 05-16 20:42:28 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x82c9cb… |
| 05-16 20:42:19 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9c94c0… |
| 05-16 20:42:17 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4eec14… |
| 05-16 20:42:16 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x40a362… |
| 05-16 20:42:16 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xae4dab… |
| 05-16 20:42:12 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xafd812… |
| 05-16 20:32:36 | Breakable-Maternity 0xb853…7760 | No | BUY | 112 | 100¢ | $111 | 0xe7eb1d… |
| 05-16 19:46:51 | Substantial-Ballet 0xfe14…8a5f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x4ec7dc… |
| 05-16 19:17:35 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xe2dd9d… |
| 05-16 17:07:48 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa4f3c4… |
| 05-16 17:07:39 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf07d43… |
| 05-16 17:07:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x71c63c… |
| 05-16 14:19:44 | Tall-Disdain 0x45d6…5401 | Yes | BUY | 404 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x4cf02d… |
| 05-16 10:30:52 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x37baec… |
| 05-16 06:00:58 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x325d4e… |
| 05-15 15:46:10 | Euphoric-Shot 0x7e07…109f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8c045c… |
| 05-15 13:32:00 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x5a2689… |
| 05-15 08:49:35 | Agreeable-Surge 0x0c55…7c92 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x51a88d… |
| 05-15 08:49:35 | Illiterate-Charm 0xffca…4121 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf2ef5b… |
| 05-15 06:29:32 | Mysterious-Puddle 0x2084…e384 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xd732dc… |
| 05-15 06:19:47 | Ecstatic-Ornament 0xdb26…2603 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4f72c6… |
| 05-15 01:13:08 | Frail-Congregation 0x747f…ad68 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 4¢ | $5 | 0xd7b73b… |
| 05-15 00:22:37 | Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xb880fa… |
| 05-14 17:36:52 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x573666… |
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Repentant-Compulsion 0x9208…193d | No | BUY | 167 | 97¢ | $162 | 0x8f2b44… |
| 05-14 08:39:23 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 145 | 95¢ | $138 | 0x5a2adc… |