Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$898
$236 in 24h
Trades
65
Unique wallets
39
Liquidity
$979
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-16 06:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $365 | $365 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $15 | $461 | $447 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $298 | $298 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $300 | $300 |
| Median | 8 | — | $128 | $128 |
| Below median | 17 | $13 | $105 | $93 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ill-Flintlock 0xcbf0…196b | Yes | +519 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-16 00:19 |
| Adventurous-Woman-Rule 0xbafe…0ba9 | No | +301 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 05-16 02:26 |
| Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | +159 | $159 | $159 | 1 | 05-16 03:34 |
| Elastic-Blowhole 0x053b…d0fa | Yes | +110 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 02:09 |
| Violent-Comic 0x558d…056a | Yes | +85 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 02:49 |
| Knotty-Evening 0x8352…16dc | Yes | +70 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 15:16 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +67 | $67 | $67 | 2 | 05-16 05:01 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +61 | $61 | $61 | 2 | 05-16 05:01 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +59 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-16 03:26 |
| Grubby-Stallion 0xf0ed…6ae8 | No | +48 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 05-16 05:01 |
| Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | Yes | +29 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:04 |
| Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 15:16 |
| Canine-Craftsman 0x4328…15ce | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-15 06:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | +22 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 11:44 |
| Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 04:41 |
| Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 05-14 21:57 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +16 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 04:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 05-14 22:00 |
| Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 21:49 |
| Merry-Quiver 0x240a…6c43 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 03:29 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Sinful-Tog 0x5ed3…dd13 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 00:56 |
| Odd-Communion 0xc275…57ff | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 04:33 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 04:14 |
| Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 02:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 06:39:42 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xb465e3… |
| 05-16 05:45:55 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xd149de… |
| 05-16 05:01:12 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x3178f0… |
| 05-16 05:01:10 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 37 | 100¢ | $37 | 0x89b891… |
| 05-16 05:01:00 | Grubby-Stallion 0xf0ed…6ae8 | No | BUY | 48 | 99¢ | $48 | 0xbb62df… |
| 05-16 04:38:48 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaab4a5… |
| 05-16 04:33:07 | Odd-Communion 0xc275…57ff | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5b053d… |
| 05-16 04:29:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x093b29… |
| 05-16 04:15:58 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x58c344… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a03c9… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38230d… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfc71e7… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x432c8d… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xa51af8… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdaeb15… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc0ec03… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1a759a… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc99aa… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10c00e… |
| 05-16 04:14:11 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xed8ba6… |
| 05-16 03:34:10 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 159 | 99¢ | $159 | 0x5bb0c8… |
| 05-16 03:29:09 | Merry-Quiver 0x240a…6c43 | No | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0x6d1a4a… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6f067a… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1da6d2… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd086c8… |
| 05-16 03:26:02 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 29 | 99¢ | $29 | 0x9948bd… |
| 05-16 02:53:37 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bc724… |
| 05-16 02:53:37 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fe8f7… |
| 05-16 02:53:37 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x408334… |
| 05-16 02:49:11 | Violent-Comic 0x558d…056a | Yes | BUY | 85 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd31233… |
| 05-16 02:26:04 | Adventurous-Woman-Rule 0xbafe…0ba9 | No | BUY | 301 | 100¢ | $300 | 0xbd568b… |
| 05-16 02:19:09 | Imaginative-Puppet 0xbdbb…7bb8 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x379f89… |
| 05-16 02:14:10 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdc95cd… |
| 05-16 02:09:00 | Elastic-Blowhole 0x053b…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 110 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x2dd839… |
| 05-16 01:53:32 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x0bd883… |
| 05-16 01:53:32 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd8f347… |
| 05-16 01:53:32 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa63e44… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb65443… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Sinful-Tog 0x5ed3…dd13 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x3581ad… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b1024… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ba067… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9599f3… |
| 05-16 00:56:03 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6ff168… |
| 05-16 00:19:08 | Ill-Flintlock 0xcbf0…196b | Yes | BUY | 144 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x0c4030… |
| 05-15 23:00:52 | Ill-Flintlock 0xcbf0…196b | Yes | BUY | 375 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xd86c0e… |
| 05-15 20:50:33 | Frank-Detour-Archrival 0x978c…9f5b | Yes | SELL | 221 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3e6cec… |
| 05-15 15:16:20 | Knotty-Evening 0x8352…16dc | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d3aed… |
| 05-15 14:29:51 | Annual-Omega 0x6192…48ef | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68cc5f… |
| 05-15 06:39:14 | Canine-Craftsman 0x4328…15ce | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xafc82e… |
| 05-14 22:24:31 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x509c2d… |
| 05-14 22:10:26 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x76383d… |
| 05-14 22:00:41 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x93a6e5… |
| 05-14 21:57:15 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xaad491… |
| 05-14 21:57:13 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe9b3bd… |
| 05-14 21:52:35 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xde0625… |
| 05-14 21:52:22 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x77d1af… |
| 05-14 21:51:30 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x25b634… |
| 05-14 21:50:25 | Unfortunate-Newsletter 0xbfed…e080 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1d7178… |
| 05-14 21:49:33 | Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | No | BUY | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x12a504… |
| 05-14 16:04:02 | Overcooked-Rose 0xfe2b…a481 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x45fa23… |
| 05-14 15:16:21 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd380c0… |
| 05-14 11:44:17 | (anonymous) 0x3566…1a8e | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0b7f12… |
| 05-14 06:16:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 15 | 95¢ | $14 | 0x8e7b70… |
| 05-14 05:11:01 | Likely-Firm 0x2b5c…e5aa | Yes | SELL | 108 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe099b9… |
| 05-14 04:41:08 | Offbeat-Molar 0x1502…922e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x889f2b… |