Sinful-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

77.1%

Resolved

447

Trades

534

lifetime

Volume

$3.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 05-22 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

69% 62% -$30

Politics

17% 74% -$163

Sports

7% 57% -$25

Pop-Culture

3% 50% -$61

Crypto

3% 62% +$5

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No		+12	$11	65¢	$8	-$3	05-21 00:41
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No		+9	$9	85¢	$8	-$1	05-21 01:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	4	$121	121	+121	No	+$0	05-22 07:05
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$98	99	+99	No	+$1	05-21 19:26
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	2	$83	108	+108	Yes	-$83	05-21 11:38
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 17?	1	$83	83	+83	No	+$0	05-17 03:06
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	05-21 23:14
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$53	61	+61	Yes	-$53	05-21 11:48
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$52	62	+62	Yes	-$52	05-21 04:06
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	2	$48	56	+56	No	-$48	05-22 01:21
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$46	68	+68	Yes	-$46	05-22 02:31
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$45	91	+91	Yes	-$45	05-21 21:55
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$45	52	+52	No	+$7	05-17 02:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 17?	2	$44	83	+83	Yes	+$30	05-17 02:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?	3	$41	90	+90	No	-$41	05-21 14:33
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$40	64	+64	No	+$24	05-21 03:17
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$40	60	+60	No	+$20	05-21 11:51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$39	75	+75	No	+$36	05-22 05:02
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$39	72	+72	No	+$33	05-21 21:16
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 22, 2026?	1	$36	36	+36	No	+$0	05-21 17:27
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?	2	$36	72	+72	Yes	-$13	05-21 15:35
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on May 17?	1	$34	35	+35	No	+$1	05-17 02:36
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-21 07:39
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 17?	1	$33	33	+33	No	+$0	05-17 18:50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?	2	$33	34	+34	No	-$9	05-18 02:02
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$32	33	+33	No	+$1	05-21 04:04
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$29	33	+33	No	+$4	05-20 23:52
Will David Jones win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	05-17 03:43
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?	2	$28	30	+30	No	+$2	05-20 23:27
Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	1	$25	27	+27	No	+$2	05-22 06:52
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$25	33	+33	Yes	-$25	05-22 00:05
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 17?	6	$25	152	+152	No	-$25	05-18 02:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x386d66…
05-22 11:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	29¢	$3	0x1eb0d6…
05-22 11:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4337fe…
05-22 10:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x07968b…
05-22 10:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x67c03d…
05-22 10:23:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x22f04e…
05-22 10:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6d5841…
05-22 09:52:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xa080ce…
05-22 09:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xc34ec8…
05-22 09:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on May 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf52cb5…
05-22 09:19:17	Will MrBeast's next video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x60e685…
05-22 09:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3853d6…
05-22 09:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xb4096a…
05-22 08:39:51	Will Legacy win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe47904…
05-22 08:32:05	Will MOUZ win CS Asia Championships 2026?	No	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x5485b6…
05-22 08:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc64b68…
05-22 08:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 24?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc55323…
05-22 08:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x8ccfe2…
05-22 08:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3d88b5…
05-22 07:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaefb7b…
05-22 07:58:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0d14f7…
05-22 07:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe38e23…
05-22 07:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x5b6268…
05-22 07:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x158163…
05-22 07:15:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda30fa…
05-22 07:11:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd3c854…
05-22 07:05:59	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xfe6b2e…
05-22 06:58:54	Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd26920…
05-22 06:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x1ed1d5…
05-22 06:52:25	Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x5f9f28…
05-22 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x97cbde…
05-22 06:23:28	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xced10a…
05-22 06:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4e45a…
05-22 05:59:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x7c5b55…
05-22 05:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0xda35e8…
05-22 05:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcfbeff…
05-22 05:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3658d4…
05-22 05:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6770fc…
05-22 05:02:42	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa659b6…
05-22 04:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x56aac5…
05-22 04:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf89082…
05-22 04:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x44cec2…
05-22 04:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfc8b61…
05-22 04:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x7511a2…
05-22 04:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 23?	No	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x607d70…
05-22 03:55:28	Will Nils Walker be the Republican Nominee for TX-30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57aec4…
05-22 03:36:38	Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x860d87…
05-22 03:10:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x919b29…
05-22 03:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf97a6f…
05-22 03:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce8a3e…
05-22 02:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 22?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xd32790…
05-22 02:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27d66e…
05-22 02:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x0658c0…
05-22 02:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a5949…
05-22 02:31:46	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0xf4fdfb…
05-22 02:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x07337c…
05-22 02:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe27d0d…
05-22 01:49:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x952b28…
05-22 01:44:25	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x997b3d…
05-22 01:27:16	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0xe3ae1c…
05-22 01:21:25	Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x09a00a…
05-22 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x4126c6…
05-22 01:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x816a55…
05-22 01:06:20	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?	No	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0x50432f…
05-22 01:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c8987…
05-22 00:39:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x917e49…
05-22 00:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 69°F or below on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xf673b6…
05-22 00:34:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0c3c2a…
05-22 00:33:28	Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xcda63e…
05-22 00:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3dc04f…
05-22 00:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x469002…
05-22 00:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xaa79d1…
05-22 00:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xfce7e3…
05-22 00:05:50	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xa7be5e…
05-22 00:03:06	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x305959…
05-22 00:01:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd9934d…
05-22 00:01:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 23?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xaadc8b…
05-21 23:46:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x93a193…
05-21 23:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf33e8c…
05-21 23:19:14	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 23?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa04bac…
05-21 23:14:30	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x6f2aeb…
05-21 23:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0c909c…
05-21 22:57:35	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xd15543…
05-21 22:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 23?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x611125…
05-21 22:41:14	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xa8f35e…
05-21 22:29:56	Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x340c19…
05-21 22:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9beea4…
05-21 22:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24541c…
05-21 22:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f38c8…
05-21 22:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xde18c0…
05-21 21:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x46fddd…
05-21 21:55:03	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xdcc2f7…
05-21 21:44:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xa1884e…
05-21 21:43:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xf409e7…
05-21 21:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9b8a5c…
05-21 21:40:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0x2995a2…
05-21 21:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5dc38a…
05-21 21:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xddc3ee…
05-21 21:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 22?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0x06a0fc…
05-21 21:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 23?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x9eb989…