Shameless-Dune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$46

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

315

Trades

813

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-04 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Other

70% 50% -$22

Crypto

21% 60% +$8

Politics

7% 25% -$18

Sports

2% 20% -$13

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on May 19?	28	$93	65	64	+1	Yes	-$1	05-17 22:06
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?	6	$69	36	36	+0	No	$0	05-24 00:52
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5	8	$66	34	34	+0	Over	+$0	05-23 20:23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?	20	$60	45	45	+0	Yes	$0	05-17 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 26?	4	$52	34	34	+0	No	+$7	05-26 04:30
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?	4	$50	36	36	+0	No	+$3	05-24 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 24?	4	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	05-23 19:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?	6	$39	48	48	+0	No	+$1	05-29 14:00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 24?	5	$38	27	27	+0	No	+$1	05-24 00:19
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	3	$32	22	22	+0	No	+$2	05-31 19:06
Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Kilian Feldbausch	2	$31	16	16	+0	Kilian Feldbausch	+$1	05-31 19:12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?	7	$29	26	26	+0	Yes	+$16	05-16 19:11
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	6	$29	30	0	+30	T1 Academy	+$1	05-22 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 13?	2	$28	29	29	+0	Yes	+$25	05-13 17:39
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 25?	4	$27	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-24 20:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?	2	$24	21	21	+0	No	+$7	05-29 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 25?	2	$24	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	05-24 13:41
Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5	5	$24	15	10	+5	Over	+$0	05-22 13:37
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5	4	$24	17	17	+0	Over	+$1	05-24 20:06
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)	2	$24	15	15	+0	ThunderTalk Gaming	+$6	05-29 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-23 05:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 24?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-23 13:16
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)	3	$23	17	17	+0	West Ham United FC	$0	05-24 02:24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 22?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-22 20:23
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 23?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-23 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 23?	3	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-23 06:03
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 0.5	2	$23	12	12	+0	Over	+$0	05-22 19:26
Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	2	$23	12	12	+0	FC Bayern München	+$0	05-23 19:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	05-24 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 24?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	$0	05-23 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 18:44:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 7?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5fa8ae…
06-04 18:44:09	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x9c82e4…
06-04 18:32:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xa7754b…
06-04 18:30:40	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x644af7…
06-04 18:23:45	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x168f01…
06-04 14:23:24	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfaf8d2…
06-04 14:18:13	Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xed672e…
06-04 13:49:37	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd8f7ad…
06-04 13:47:36	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc3ad54…
06-04 12:29:45	will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 4	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x567993…
06-04 11:36:49	will ethereum dip to 1700 on june 4	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcded24…
06-04 11:06:18	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x680ff0…
06-04 10:49:42	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 4	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99291e…
06-04 10:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x5875b1…
06-04 09:22:42	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x7d9026…
06-04 08:41:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xffe897…
06-04 08:12:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xa1400b…
06-04 08:03:13	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 5?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x176b70…
06-04 07:36:09	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 7?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x908126…
06-04 06:12:06	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 4	No	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0xc7cc4a…
06-04 05:15:58	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x941339…
06-04 04:47:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 5?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6e6ef8…
06-04 03:11:10	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa3e905…
06-04 02:56:52	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6297a1…
06-04 02:53:18	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x8d7ba0…
06-04 02:24:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x693ce7…
06-04 02:14:24	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x865612…
06-04 02:13:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0bbbda…
06-03 20:56:52	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd109d3…
06-03 20:56:27	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x710bf2…
06-03 20:28:19	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbd0657…
06-03 20:26:21	bitcoin up or down june 3 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8a297f…
06-03 19:57:04	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x02642c…
06-03 19:54:04	ethereum above 1800 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x868108…
06-03 19:53:28	bitcoin up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xdb4ab9…
06-03 19:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6a7220…
06-03 18:51:54	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xb42506…
06-03 18:49:19	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7fc453…
06-03 18:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7a2478…
06-03 18:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5a7c14…
06-03 17:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	9	28¢	$3	0x83cd3c…
06-03 17:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xfc3c63…
06-03 17:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x59672f…
06-03 17:07:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on June 3?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xc3f5b2…
06-03 17:06:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6fe094…
06-03 16:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x65e048…
06-03 16:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x86d458…
06-03 16:13:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x9143d4…
06-03 15:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x9ed6a8…
06-03 15:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfa38fc…
06-03 14:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x7bbb57…
06-03 14:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x63de84…
06-03 14:38:00	XRP Up or Down on June 3?	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd412c3…
06-03 14:26:07	XRP Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcdacd0…
06-03 13:45:22	Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xba0e74…
06-03 13:41:58	Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xf36f32…
06-03 13:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x917028…
06-03 13:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x851e0a…
06-03 13:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4de7d5…
06-03 13:18:46	Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x116d74…
06-03 13:15:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x9ae210…
06-03 13:10:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x6e8db6…
06-03 13:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xae59bd…
06-03 12:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xc9323d…
06-03 12:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x75d6f3…
06-03 12:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xd6ec0e…
06-03 12:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3b2bcf…
06-03 11:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x3c3eb7…
06-03 11:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x149b52…
06-03 11:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x46c745…
06-03 11:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xef37f1…
06-03 11:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd08c3a…
06-03 11:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x76f4b1…
06-03 11:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x572729…
06-03 11:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x8845e6…
06-03 11:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x85b4c3…
06-03 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x45e435…
06-03 10:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x08278c…
06-03 10:16:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xb00e47…
06-03 09:51:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x976f67…
06-03 09:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x3b1a6a…
06-03 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb6961a…
06-03 09:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x50b676…
06-03 08:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x9b7f1d…
06-03 08:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x324666…
06-03 07:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2afd53…
06-03 07:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdcbc66…
06-03 06:53:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf15b3f…
06-03 06:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x7a41b1…
06-03 06:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x141fcf…
06-03 05:29:41	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xb5a0ea…
06-03 04:57:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x0a9bf9…
06-03 04:42:58	Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xee20d2…
06-03 04:39:24	Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2602cd…
06-03 03:28:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 3?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xec088a…
06-03 01:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdc5882…
06-03 01:49:46	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x90959a…
06-03 01:25:37	Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5e035c…
06-03 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x395f5f…
06-03 00:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xc87dae…