Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?
open
Total volume
$1,023
$5 in 24h
Trades
56
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$788
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-17 03:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $28 | $28 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $257 | — | +$257 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $443 | $209 | +$234 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $130 | $28 | +$102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $195 | $77 | +$118 |
| Median | 8 | $292 | $21 | +$271 |
| Below median | 8 | $48 | $11 | +$37 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $2 | $100 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $28 | — | +$28 |
| unranked | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | +278 | $277 | $277 | 1 | 05-16 23:20 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +152 | $130 | $130 | 6 | 05-16 19:19 |
| Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | Yes | +108 | $104 | $104 | 1 | 05-16 20:17 |
| Internal-Sanctity-Click 0xa837…512f | No | +106 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-16 18:36 |
| Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | Yes | +93 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | No | +69 | $56 | $56 | 3 | 05-16 15:54 |
| Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | +42 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +42 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-16 08:46 |
| Unwitting-Edition 0xc616…dca7 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 21:45 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-15 02:58 |
| Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 12:54 |
| Flowery-Reamer 0x2b95…898a | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-16 15:00 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:42 |
| Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-16 17:11 |
| Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Spirited-Vicinity 0x0135…e8d1 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 08:14 |
| Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x6acf…27a6 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 18:57 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 20:58 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 21:45 |
| Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 19:41 |
| Early-Paperwork 0x983a…6d2d | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-16 19:15 |
| Faint-Counterforce 0x06cd…1b0c | No | +1 | $1 | $18 | 2 | 05-16 16:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7bf…4512 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 03:45 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 03:49:00 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | SELL | 38 | 100¢ | $38 | 0x2b6f2a… |
| 05-17 01:03:15 | Arid-Anklet 0xd19f…8eb5 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x232f00… |
| 05-16 23:23:09 | Disgusting-Assist 0xb15e…7c54 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0xc06f3c… |
| 05-16 23:20:57 | Entire-Crisp 0xff0c…81a1 | Yes | BUY | 278 | 100¢ | $277 | 0x392fb9… |
| 05-16 21:45:45 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xacb2f8… |
| 05-16 21:45:35 | Unwitting-Edition 0xc616…dca7 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xaab318… |
| 05-16 20:47:03 | Splendid-Analysis 0xb4be…7441 | No | SELL | 56 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9fded1… |
| 05-16 20:17:44 | Brown-Spy 0x4a5e…daeb | Yes | BUY | 108 | 96¢ | $104 | 0xd987b5… |
| 05-16 19:41:51 | Close-Overnighter 0xe26c…48f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xaabf36… |
| 05-16 19:19:08 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x23865e… |
| 05-16 19:16:57 | Disgusting-Assist 0xb15e…7c54 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 94¢ | $21 | 0xfb769c… |
| 05-16 19:15:26 | Early-Paperwork 0x983a…6d2d | No | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x85ab02… |
| 05-16 18:57:28 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x10e93d… |
| 05-16 18:57:28 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | Yes | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x1885a8… |
| 05-16 18:57:26 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x92165e… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | (anonymous) 0x6acf…27a6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x29585d… |
| 05-16 18:57:23 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x1eb9e2… |
| 05-16 18:57:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x04caf2… |
| 05-16 18:57:19 | Left-Village 0x5937…ae8d | Yes | BUY | 42 | 72¢ | $30 | 0x8168bf… |
| 05-16 18:57:17 | Studious-Condominium 0x3dc4…1fd8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x95beec… |
| 05-16 18:57:17 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 70¢ | $15 | 0xef5079… |
| 05-16 18:57:14 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 64¢ | $8 | 0x348656… |
| 05-16 18:57:12 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x5e195d… |
| 05-16 18:57:02 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0xc94af2… |
| 05-16 18:57:02 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xfd3efd… |
| 05-16 18:56:58 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 53¢ | $12 | 0xd8586b… |
| 05-16 18:55:55 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 40¢ | $10 | 0x095745… |
| 05-16 18:52:18 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3059af… |
| 05-16 18:51:57 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x96870b… |
| 05-16 18:42:09 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x29379f… |
| 05-16 18:41:57 | Nervous-Formula 0xc9db…6789 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb35c5a… |
| 05-16 18:36:59 | Internal-Sanctity-Click 0xa837…512f | No | BUY | 106 | 94¢ | $100 | 0x958862… |
| 05-16 18:31:53 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x38455b… |
| 05-16 17:11:51 | Forceful-Nick 0x5695…60e9 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x745996… |
| 05-16 16:00:01 | Faint-Counterforce 0x06cd…1b0c | No | SELL | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xc47d26… |
| 05-16 15:54:35 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xf47245… |
| 05-16 15:05:06 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | No | BUY | 11 | 80¢ | $9 | 0xaa02ac… |
| 05-16 15:04:10 | Stunning-Leaker-Jellyfish 0x8aa2…5a0b | No | BUY | 8 | 80¢ | $6 | 0x6cf31c… |
| 05-16 15:00:54 | Flowery-Reamer 0x2b95…898a | No | BUY | 13 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xb6dd2b… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x28c13d… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xf7fa9d… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0xcfb7e8… |
| 05-16 08:46:18 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 79¢ | $24 | 0x592abf… |
| 05-16 03:45:50 | (anonymous) 0xc7bf…4512 | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x12ea5e… |
| 05-16 01:00:59 | Faint-Counterforce 0x06cd…1b0c | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0xda17a6… |
| 05-15 20:58:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 6 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xbe176b… |
| 05-15 10:45:26 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xdf8b93… |
| 05-15 08:14:23 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 7 | 76¢ | $6 | 0xcdbd08… |
| 05-15 07:04:37 | Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x8c238c… |
| 05-15 02:58:30 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 78¢ | $6 | 0xfe4bb8… |
| 05-14 20:57:36 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 12 | 80¢ | $10 | 0xbf7753… |
| 05-14 20:27:21 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x170e5f… |
| 05-14 18:55:01 | Unfinished-Correspondent 0xf038…e718 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xdbc6bb… |
| 05-14 12:54:29 | Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x9fd3ba… |
| 05-14 09:38:55 | Spirited-Vicinity 0x0135…e8d1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x2382ee… |
| 05-14 05:05:41 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf09522… |