Splendid-Analysis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$352

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.2%

Resolved

169

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-29 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

73% 24% -$266

Sports

20% 24% -$61

Politics

6% 20% -$25

Crypto

2% 60% +$0

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	3	$88	211	211	+0	Rousey	-$14	05-17 02:45
cbb uconn ill 2026 04 04	1	$84	151	0	+151	Connecticut Huskies	-$84	04-02 04:37
cbb ala mich 2026 03 27	5	$73	253	252	+1	Michigan Wolverines	-$47	03-28 01:25
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	4	$60	173	78	+95	Duke Blue Devils	-$60	03-28 01:24
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$47	193	0	+193	No	-$47	04-05 19:20
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	7	$43	78	78	+0	Yes	+$3	05-18 14:31
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	7	$32	35	35	+0	No	+$6	05-18 14:31
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	1	$23	42	0	+42	Connecticut Huskies	+$19	03-27 21:59
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	4	$23	210	0	+210	Ngannou	-$23	05-17 02:29
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	3	$23	20	20	+0	No	+$7	04-02 04:42
will tiger woods play in the 2026 masters tournament	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-02 04:42
will trump say eat our lunch this week march 29	3	$19	104	104	+0	No	-$11	03-29 05:46
ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	2	$18	30	30	+0	Aaron Pico	-$2	04-05 19:20
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?	2	$17	17	17	+0	Yes	+$15	05-15 23:26
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	1	$17	0	242	-242	No	+$17	05-12 05:05
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$15	14	14	+0	Yes	+$5	04-05 19:16
cbb pur arz 2026 03 28	2	$15	49	0	+49	Arizona Wildcats	-$15	03-28 17:00
Will 290 to 319 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?	2	$11	23	23	+0	Yes	-$9	04-05 19:19
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$11	19	19	+0	Yes	+$1	04-02 04:42
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	5	$11	27	24	+3	No	-$3	05-20 06:55
nhl fla nyi 2026 03 28	1	$10	29	0	+29	Islanders	-$10	03-28 17:04
will trump say khamenei this week march 29	1	$10	77	0	+77	No	-$10	03-27 21:03
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	1	$10	36	0	+36	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$10	03-27 20:56
cbb uconn duke 2026 03 29	1	$10	29	0	+29	Connecticut Huskies	+$19	03-28 17:00
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	1	$10	28	0	+28	Perry	-$10	05-12 18:06
will trump say paid a big price or paying a big price this week march 29	1	$10	42	0	+42	No	-$10	03-27 21:03
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$10	12	12	+0	No	$0	05-18 14:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	3	$10	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-18 14:31
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	2	$9	143	143	+0	No	-$1	07-03 23:48
Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?	2	$9	29	29	+0	No	-$1	04-05 19:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:08:23	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x55e091…
09-06 22:44:42	Will the Toronto Blue Jays clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe6a986…
09-06 22:42:57	Will Kyle Schwarber lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x79113b…
09-06 22:42:13	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x96307d…
09-06 22:41:54	Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x71ddcc…
09-06 22:41:34	Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xea3921…
09-06 22:41:22	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x51b9b0…
07-11 21:46:37	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x45ceda…
07-11 00:16:40	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xbdc543…
07-10 23:58:50	will openais valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 688 311	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x1e3c38…
07-06 20:41:37	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x214535…
07-06 20:41:20	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x88d87a…
07-06 02:34:49	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc3b85e…
07-06 02:34:08	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x2dbf6a…
07-06 02:34:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x083488…
07-06 00:15:29	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2151c4…
07-06 00:15:05	Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4cbeac…
07-06 00:14:46	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcb4382…
07-06 00:11:26	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8bfd1e…
07-04 06:16:17	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xca5c5d…
07-04 06:16:08	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x52e40b…
07-04 06:15:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8f0787…
07-04 06:14:16	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc21ca9…
07-04 06:14:04	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7e5c26…
07-03 23:49:59	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3f04ca…
07-03 23:49:53	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 extra time	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x455af0…
07-03 23:49:43	Canada to score first vs. Morocco?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x19cdd6…
07-03 23:49:31	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 team to advance	Canada	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4805cd…
07-03 23:49:20	Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7c513d…
07-03 23:49:05	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xea7f6b…
07-03 23:48:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5d1349…
07-03 23:48:28	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$4	0x734514…
07-03 23:33:37	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x03e155…
05-26 03:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2ce146…
05-26 03:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 26?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x332c0b…
05-26 03:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x21a2e6…
05-26 03:08:40	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x931b8f…
05-22 19:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xf2ac3f…
05-22 19:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x1d9ac7…
05-22 19:36:00	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfb1ccc…
05-22 19:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 23?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4683fe…
05-21 22:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7dfbb1…
05-21 20:33:32	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd9813b…
05-21 19:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x265f4b…
05-20 17:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xfeed2d…
05-20 08:28:05	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa8c5e4…
05-20 08:15:01	Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)	Paul	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xdb94e1…
05-20 08:14:38	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xce79a3…
05-20 07:16:01	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x5f7b3b…
05-20 06:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1c7c04…
05-20 06:56:28	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x31fa63…
05-20 06:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2ce411…
05-20 06:55:45	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x154cc1…
05-20 06:55:36	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xefb69c…
05-20 06:55:10	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb9bdb…
05-20 06:54:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x30dd61…
05-20 06:54:33	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 20?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2d2498…
05-20 06:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb03638…
05-20 06:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x8ddefb…
05-19 22:24:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on May 21?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xe69f5d…
05-19 22:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcf777c…
05-18 14:31:54	Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x27a9dd…
05-18 14:31:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x63da95…
05-18 14:31:40	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xbb7d82…
05-18 14:31:35	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x4db3fd…
05-18 14:31:30	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xcfb8a7…
05-18 14:31:25	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9c3eb9…
05-18 14:00:14	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x2e6c54…
05-18 05:38:04	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x65f391…
05-18 01:51:23	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd9186a…
05-18 01:48:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xbcc34e…
05-18 01:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xc62c45…
05-18 00:30:13	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0x072664…
05-18 00:30:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0x2a24b8…
05-18 00:28:09	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc357ed…
05-18 00:27:46	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x99872c…
05-18 00:27:28	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf8b21e…
05-18 00:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on May 18?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5740f5…
05-18 00:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xea6ed6…
05-17 22:01:28	Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x131d15…
05-17 22:01:14	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd38b53…
05-17 21:49:44	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x453b04…
05-17 21:49:37	Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xb4408a…
05-17 21:49:30	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Deiveson Figueiredo	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x88af7b…
05-17 21:49:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	7¢	$3	0xfffcc5…
05-17 21:49:06	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xd2ae68…
05-17 21:48:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xf71799…
05-17 21:48:45	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf86415…
05-17 21:47:56	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xb180fc…
05-17 21:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x4ac38f…
05-17 21:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 18?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x03a2d4…
05-17 21:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xca43bd…
05-17 20:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xcb14e7…
05-17 20:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x51e128…
05-17 19:31:17	Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xebd010…
05-17 19:30:58	Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x76597d…
05-17 18:43:10	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0xa54645…
05-17 18:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x34948b…
05-17 18:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x8ef6e3…
05-17 18:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x07e5ce…