Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$226
$1,555 in 24h
Trades
42
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$685
Latest YES mid
27¢
Latest NO mid
73¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 13:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $24 | $24 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $58 | $58 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $18 | $76 | $57 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $27 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $6 | $9 | $3 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $49 | $49 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 4 | $5 | $15 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtual-Latex 0x97ff…d095 | No | +60 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-14 12:42 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +40 | $30 | $30 | 4 | 05-14 04:16 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +33 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 05-14 04:16 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +32 | $24 | $24 | 6 | 05-13 23:39 |
| Talkative-Knifeedge 0x1ce5…1a87 | No | +19 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 01:07 |
| Fuzzy-Pamphlet 0x487d…6813 | Yes | +17 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:01 |
| Buzzing-Jockey 0xec4d…087e | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 04:06 |
| Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 04:16 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:30 |
| Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:40 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:31 |
| Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb36c…7a98 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 01:04 |
| Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:41 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Impressive-Subsidence 0x1d0c…99e9 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:34 |
| Overdue-Guidance 0x9c39…7fbd | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 22:34 |
| Impartial-Parade 0xb2b4…7f52 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:02 |
| Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:02 |
| Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 04:24 |
| Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:41:07 | Wobbly-Hourglass 0x1dda…23bb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x6606f5… |
| 05-14 12:42:26 | Virtual-Latex 0x97ff…d095 | No | BUY | 60 | 73¢ | $43 | 0x090580… |
| 05-14 06:00:14 | Numb-Birthday 0x1e40…1405 | No | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x3e204b… |
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xac0f12… |
| 05-14 04:16:27 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x2e23f1… |
| 05-14 04:16:25 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0x4bab57… |
| 05-14 04:16:25 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xb47fef… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0xd29f85… |
| 05-14 04:16:24 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 10 | 75¢ | $8 | 0xccdfc5… |
| 05-14 04:16:01 | Webbed-Sombrero 0x86d3…da78 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xf8c657… |
| 05-14 04:09:22 | Powerless-Enclave 0x9948…5da1 | No | SELL | 9 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x292f5f… |
| 05-14 04:06:13 | Buzzing-Jockey 0xec4d…087e | Yes | BUY | 14 | 31¢ | $4 | 0x5d2b68… |
| 05-14 04:01:24 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 13 | 76¢ | $10 | 0xabb87b… |
| 05-14 04:01:24 | Fuzzy-Pamphlet 0x487d…6813 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x88b89c… |
| 05-14 04:01:15 | Celebrated-Inflation 0x2898…9e13 | No | SELL | 35 | 71¢ | $25 | 0x15d2e6… |
| 05-14 03:30:43 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x774f97… |
| 05-14 02:30:14 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 4 | 72¢ | $3 | 0x116083… |
| 05-14 01:42:15 | Quizzical-Suite 0x1798…1ce9 | No | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xd08900… |
| 05-14 01:04:25 | (anonymous) 0xb36c…7a98 | No | BUY | 6 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x555c50… |
| 05-13 23:39:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x1d22a6… |
| 05-13 23:31:56 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xa4920a… |
| 05-13 23:14:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x8bd45b… |
| 05-13 22:34:23 | Overdue-Guidance 0x9c39…7fbd | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $3 | 0xe2171a… |
| 05-13 22:34:21 | Impressive-Subsidence 0x1d0c…99e9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 28¢ | $1 | 0xc04676… |
| 05-13 20:03:01 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x7579cd… |
| 05-13 20:02:59 | (anonymous) 0xf94e…4ffb | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x7c6b49… |
| 05-13 20:02:57 | Impartial-Parade 0xb2b4…7f52 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x3acc4f… |
| 05-13 20:02:57 | Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xdba04e… |
| 05-13 14:18:28 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x9faddd… |
| 05-13 13:13:32 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 76¢ | $3 | 0xce6af6… |
| 05-13 13:13:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x776a03… |
| 05-13 10:03:56 | Witty-Disregard 0x0a0c…a853 | No | SELL | 13 | 72¢ | $10 | 0x116f53… |
| 05-13 09:11:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x4523f9… |
| 05-13 04:24:10 | Mediocre-Personality 0x93c8…0b0c | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xcaf200… |
| 05-13 02:03:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 77¢ | $6 | 0x8f985a… |
| 05-13 01:07:21 | Talkative-Knifeedge 0x1ce5…1a87 | No | BUY | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x76a0f4… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xafd0ad… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x29afad… |
| 05-13 00:08:35 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xe3fded… |
| 05-13 00:03:23 | Agile-Girlfriend 0x79b6…e042 | No | BUY | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0xb91fab… |
| 05-13 00:01:10 | Soggy-Crewmember 0x503f…9a8f | No | SELL | 6 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x090182… |
| 05-12 19:40:36 | Wise-Bloom 0xe829…4cfc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x03c90f… |