Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$2,256
$184 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$48
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 21:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $4 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $12 | $713 | $700 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $4 | $103 | $99 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $35 | $35 |
| Below median | 9 | $3 | $64 | $61 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $8 | $4 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1.9K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energetic-Baseline 0x4658…4131 | No | +1,332 | $1,331 | $1,331 | 1 | 05-14 21:02 |
| Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | +641 | $532 | $694 | 17 | 05-14 20:54 |
| Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | +62 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-14 21:02 |
| Plush-Distribution 0x4b1a…af71 | No | +45 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 05-14 20:42 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +41 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-14 20:56 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +34 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 05-14 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…bf0f | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:22 |
| Candid-Vest 0xef14…3eda | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:13 |
| Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 03:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 02:22 |
| Striped-Bark 0x6c58…caf7 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:29 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:34 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:21 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 06:24 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:08 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:48 |
| Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 18:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 21:07:38 | Querulous-Geometry 0x48a0…f156 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x95885b… |
| 05-14 21:02:23 | Energetic-Baseline 0x4658…4131 | No | BUY | 1,332 | 100¢ | $1,331 | 0xaef895… |
| 05-14 21:02:19 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xa1cf6d… |
| 05-14 21:02:18 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x774593… |
| 05-14 21:02:14 | Great-Temper 0x2d0f…81aa | No | BUY | 62 | 94¢ | $58 | 0x70d3ee… |
| 05-14 20:56:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $41 | 0xdc5f01… |
| 05-14 20:56:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x73836e… |
| 05-14 20:54:29 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | SELL | 35 | 94¢ | $33 | 0x1dae79… |
| 05-14 20:53:06 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x1680a4… |
| 05-14 20:52:28 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x5ea024… |
| 05-14 20:52:09 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x8e290c… |
| 05-14 20:48:19 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xb7d18b… |
| 05-14 20:48:02 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x8926f7… |
| 05-14 20:47:25 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x24a64a… |
| 05-14 20:47:09 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x698049… |
| 05-14 20:44:39 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0x9e7b27… |
| 05-14 20:43:13 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0xe57386… |
| 05-14 20:42:35 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 11 | 93¢ | $10 | 0xf6b7f8… |
| 05-14 20:42:33 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 88¢ | $44 | 0xfec54d… |
| 05-14 20:41:51 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x277a1c… |
| 05-14 20:41:40 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 66 | 80¢ | $53 | 0x54a4a9… |
| 05-14 20:39:47 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 64¢ | $32 | 0xc86ec7… |
| 05-14 20:38:42 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0xc845d3… |
| 05-14 20:37:27 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6ad94a… |
| 05-14 20:36:43 | Jittery-Color 0xd1f7…dae0 | No | BUY | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0xa26e74… |
| 05-14 20:33:55 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1df7b4… |
| 05-14 20:22:18 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…bf0f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xcf8ea3… |
| 05-14 20:22:11 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 26 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x3bd41b… |
| 05-14 14:48:14 | Twin-Believer 0xbbad…8426 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 29¢ | $4 | 0x73fe3b… |
| 05-14 12:09:23 | Twin-Believer 0xbbad…8426 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x919e23… |
| 05-14 09:29:37 | Striped-Bark 0x6c58…caf7 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x28a718… |
| 05-14 06:24:44 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x53c76c… |
| 05-14 06:21:24 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x1fec79… |
| 05-14 06:21:24 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xaf18f7… |
| 05-14 02:22:12 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xccf91a… |
| 05-14 02:07:20 | (anonymous) 0xd568…2863 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xa3331a… |
| 05-14 00:37:02 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xddc221… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0e7e97… |
| 05-14 00:34:12 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xb7c52d… |
| 05-14 00:34:09 | Plush-Distribution 0x4b1a…af71 | No | BUY | 27 | 73¢ | $20 | 0x735fe3… |
| 05-14 00:34:09 | Plush-Distribution 0x4b1a…af71 | No | BUY | 18 | 81¢ | $14 | 0x95dc40… |
| 05-13 22:13:13 | Candid-Vest 0xef14…3eda | Yes | BUY | 15 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x1f1198… |
| 05-13 18:40:35 | Insidious-Stem 0xb7b1…ef08 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xd28d7c… |
| 05-13 03:08:06 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x584419… |
| 05-13 03:08:04 | Shallow-Brewer 0x5368…2d62 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0xc0fea9… |
| 05-13 01:48:16 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x79e8fe… |