Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$1,559
$579 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$3,483
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-15 04:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $45 | $45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $1 | $829 | $828 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 10 | — | $804 | $804 |
| Below median | 7 | — | $23 | $23 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:23 |
| Tragic-Schema 0xaa99…92b6 | No | +119 | $119 | $119 | 1 | 05-14 22:05 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 11:20 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 22:42 |
| Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 04:22 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 17:37 |
| Whopping-Wallaby 0x2846…e168 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 07:49 |
| Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 03:30 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:27 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 17:39 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:34 |
| Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 04:05 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 12:52 |
| Gaseous-Maracas 0x079a…c538 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:24 |
| Untried-Turning 0xa24f…2ffe | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:18 |
| Nonstop-Process 0xf077…5fc9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 03:35 |
| Blank-Notebook 0x99bf…9ba8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 04:23:12 | Dishonest-Handlebar 0xf498…0059 | No | SELL | 672 | 100¢ | $671 | 0xde4507… |
| 05-15 04:05:51 | Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x4aa94e… |
| 05-15 03:35:35 | Nonstop-Process 0xf077…5fc9 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa70796… |
| 05-15 03:30:44 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8931dd… |
| 05-15 03:18:36 | Untried-Turning 0xa24f…2ffe | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xf85426… |
| 05-14 23:46:55 | Dishonest-Handlebar 0xf498…0059 | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x3654b5… |
| 05-14 23:46:44 | Dishonest-Handlebar 0xf498…0059 | No | BUY | 602 | 100¢ | $600 | 0xb49189… |
| 05-14 23:18:44 | Blank-Notebook 0x99bf…9ba8 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xeb4dfd… |
| 05-14 22:42:17 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc71119… |
| 05-14 22:23:12 | (anonymous) 0xf0aa…f7e3 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb19965… |
| 05-14 22:05:40 | Tragic-Schema 0xaa99…92b6 | No | BUY | 119 | 100¢ | $119 | 0xcadc71… |
| 05-14 19:34:34 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x175f6a… |
| 05-14 19:27:13 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xffefb4… |
| 05-14 18:01:14 | Passionate-Number 0xd5ee…175b | Yes | SELL | 66 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x47860e… |
| 05-14 17:39:35 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xadb887… |
| 05-14 13:24:07 | Gaseous-Maracas 0x079a…c538 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xe38735… |
| 05-14 12:52:44 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x7df84a… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa3a0e… |
| 05-14 11:20:32 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x330dec… |
| 05-14 07:49:06 | Whopping-Wallaby 0x2846…e168 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa1adfe… |
| 05-14 04:55:02 | Elated-Cactus 0xd1a7…2bdc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d2f8f… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3acc92… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbaa097… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6bcd4f… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68e660… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x49a929… |
| 05-13 22:12:57 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xae719a… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x795673… |
| 05-13 17:37:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4faa7f… |
| 05-13 17:37:33 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf0fe15… |
| 05-13 17:37:30 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x766044… |
| 05-13 04:22:34 | Necessary-Tag 0x06f7…53e0 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xaf4562… |