Tragic-Schema — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$79

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

121

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-20 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

99% 97% +$77

Politics

1% 100% +$3

Sports

0% 33% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		+16	$12	100¢	$16	+$4	08-28 06:08
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes		+16	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	08-28 06:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?	2	$286	145	145	+0	No	+$4	06-12 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	2	$283	142	142	+0	No	+$1	06-11 07:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?	2	$276	140	140	+0	No	+$4	06-10 05:58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 9?	2	$273	137	137	+0	No	+$1	06-09 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	2	$267	136	136	+0	No	+$5	06-08 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	+$1	06-06 22:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6?	2	$252	129	129	+0	No	+$6	06-06 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 5?	2	$249	125	125	+0	No	+$1	06-05 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 15?	2	$244	123	123	+0	No	+$2	07-15 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	2	$242	122	122	+0	No	+$2	06-04 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	2	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$1	06-02 10:29
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 10?	2	$238	120	120	+0	No	+$0	07-10 05:48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?	2	$238	119	119	+0	No	+$0	07-11 07:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 9?	2	$237	119	119	+0	No	+$1	07-09 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?	2	$235	151	151	+0	No	-$55	06-13 03:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 2?	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	+$1	07-02 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or below on October 10?	2	$233	117	117	+0	No	+$1	10-10 00:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 12?	2	$232	117	117	+0	No	+$0	05-12 00:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?	2	$227	116	116	+0	No	+$5	05-29 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 28?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	+$1	05-28 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?	2	$222	112	112	+0	No	+$0	05-29 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 27?	2	$221	111	111	+0	No	+$1	05-27 10:55
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 10?	2	$220	111	111	+0	No	+$0	09-10 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?	2	$219	110	110	+0	Yes	+$1	05-06 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 5?	2	$212	107	107	+0	No	+$2	05-05 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 28?	2	$197	99	99	+0	No	+$1	06-28 01:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?	2	$189	97	97	+0	No	+$5	06-25 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	2	$184	93	93	+0	No	+$2	06-24 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 20?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-20 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	06-19 08:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 05:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on October 20?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x8050f7…
10-16 21:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 17?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xc3b0c6…
10-16 00:55:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 16?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x833e90…
10-13 02:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 13?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x519948…
10-10 00:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	121	96¢	$116	0xff8f30…
10-10 00:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or below on October 10?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x6cd50b…
10-09 05:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or below on October 10?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0xcf01b6…
10-08 02:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on October 8?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x9daeb9…
10-05 05:52:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on October 6?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xc1774f…
09-24 06:34:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on September 25?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0xdf31d8…
09-21 21:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xcc4761…
09-19 06:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xb9d3d6…
09-19 06:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 20?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0xc30f9e…
09-15 06:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on September 16?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x34b977…
09-12 05:38:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x2cf18b…
09-10 05:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xfc33ca…
09-10 05:40:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 10?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x33a65c…
09-09 11:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 10?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0xccd0e3…
09-07 05:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 8?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x2b3762…
08-29 05:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xedadeb…
08-28 06:08:01	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x0a9d3f…
08-28 06:07:52	Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x51c957…
08-28 06:07:43	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xfbe194…
08-28 06:07:33	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x27268c…
08-28 06:06:45	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$7	0xf7eecd…
08-27 02:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0xa1355a…
08-26 11:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x4b30c0…
08-26 11:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa27a3c…
08-24 06:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on August 25?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x23533f…
08-22 09:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x3f5824…
08-16 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 17?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xc92517…
08-13 08:17:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 14?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xa3a618…
08-09 13:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xe888e6…
08-04 23:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01cf0e…
08-04 06:17:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4026ab…
08-02 11:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 3?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x321cd4…
07-20 09:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0x4f90bf…
07-17 06:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x6939c1…
07-15 07:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x8409f0…
07-15 07:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 15?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x1f780d…
07-14 11:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 15?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$121	0xfaff67…
07-11 07:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 12?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xbbbd2f…
07-11 07:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xde11f8…
07-10 05:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x1fb39c…
07-10 05:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 10?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0xd1a3bd…
07-09 06:57:41	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x326f4f…
07-09 06:56:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 9?	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xab7e01…
07-08 06:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 9?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0xa08828…
07-06 07:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 7?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x430d58…
07-04 07:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 5?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xb3a156…
07-02 09:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on July 3?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x8b33ae…
07-02 09:34:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 2?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x7a6b73…
07-01 09:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	117	99¢	$116	0x93ea96…
06-29 10:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc763ff…
06-28 01:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x93468e…
06-28 01:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 28?	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x15e7d4…
06-27 11:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x9877b4…
06-25 09:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 26?	No	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xe42e47…
06-25 08:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x5ff6be…
06-24 08:57:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 25?	No	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0xba7cb6…
06-24 08:47:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xf008a4…
06-23 08:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0xf7d42f…
06-21 21:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 22?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x06748f…
06-20 10:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x60d803…
06-20 10:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 20?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xedf902…
06-19 08:30:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 20?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x27ea0b…
06-19 08:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xde41e7…
06-19 02:05:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xfbe92b…
06-18 07:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 18?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x6c592c…
06-17 09:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 18?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x142bda…
06-17 08:49:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x9241b2…
06-16 10:55:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 17?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xa999bd…
06-14 08:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x875e17…
06-14 08:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 14?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x17d9e2…
06-13 12:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 14?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x8f9bce…
06-13 03:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?	No	SELL	151	59¢	$90	0x3c2193…
06-12 09:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13?	No	BUY	151	96¢	$145	0x068604…
06-12 09:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xf566e9…
06-11 09:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 12?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x196b17…
06-11 07:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x9e5ac5…
06-10 09:20:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 11?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$141	0xdcf23f…
06-10 05:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xde343e…
06-09 21:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0x58ff86…
06-09 07:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 9?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x642d3a…
06-08 08:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xdbb6bc…
06-08 08:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x1acc4a…
06-07 21:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$131	0xf56912…
06-06 22:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 7?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x12a93f…
06-06 22:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xb20ace…
06-06 09:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0x43438f…
06-06 09:45:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0x6c0ae2…
06-05 08:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	129	95¢	$123	0x580b3a…
06-05 08:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 5?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x2cce2e…
06-04 09:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 5?	No	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x722cbd…
06-04 09:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	No	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x05cd16…
06-03 21:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 4?	No	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0x54ef2b…
06-02 10:29:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0xa71906…
06-02 10:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x896dd6…
06-01 22:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x52ee9e…
05-31 09:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	119	99¢	$118	0x463e36…