Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?
open
Total volume
$431
$438 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$1,449
Latest YES mid
25¢
Latest NO mid
75¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 23:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $139 | $122 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $110 | $110 |
| unranked | 15 | $135 | $12 | +$122 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | +175 | $110 | $110 | 3 | 05-05 18:58 |
| Kindly-Literate 0x328c…8fab | Yes | +15 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 13:37 |
| Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 12:45 |
| Anchored-Waste 0x6fd8…4ed3 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 03:34 |
| Insubstantial-Chitchat 0xfcd2…7543 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 23:30 |
| Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 21:09 |
| Hard-To-Find-Indication 0x6ec8…99d2 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 19:14 |
| Steep-Theism 0xad0d…8f33 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-05 07:50 |
| Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 21:10 |
| Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 18:32 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:01 |
| Flowery-Locust 0x2012…42c3 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-05 20:35 |
| Deficient-Bottomline 0x6a01…5d47 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 20:24 |
| Alive-Plight 0x0cdb…da6a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 18:24 |
| Jam-Packed-Answer 0xbc82…5e98 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 22:04 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-05 20:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 23:30:28 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x341bbd… |
| 05-05 23:05:10 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0xee5c18… |
| 05-05 22:04:48 | Jam-Packed-Answer 0xbc82…5e98 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc6f9ed… |
| 05-05 21:10:02 | Salty-Proofreader 0x40b0…f139 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x47c263… |
| 05-05 21:09:54 | Infantile-Pincenez 0xb3eb…b529 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x1ce68d… |
| 05-05 21:05:06 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 33¢ | $7 | 0x634fc0… |
| 05-05 20:40:06 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xcc48c3… |
| 05-05 20:35:08 | Flowery-Locust 0x2012…42c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xe449b9… |
| 05-05 20:35:08 | Flowery-Locust 0x2012…42c3 | No | BUY | 1 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xc87a94… |
| 05-05 20:24:56 | Deficient-Bottomline 0x6a01…5d47 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xd057dd… |
| 05-05 20:14:54 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 33¢ | $33 | 0xb666cd… |
| 05-05 20:13:42 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x7cae41… |
| 05-05 20:12:04 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 34¢ | $21 | 0xc4bde0… |
| 05-05 20:03:36 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x2442ea… |
| 05-05 20:01:34 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 36¢ | $12 | 0x960192… |
| 05-05 20:01:26 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 36¢ | $0 | 0x6c5cac… |
| 05-05 20:01:26 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x61efe9… |
| 05-05 19:24:54 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 36¢ | $17 | 0xb9f5d5… |
| 05-05 19:21:14 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | SELL | 300 | 34¢ | $102 | 0x6900f1… |
| 05-05 19:14:38 | Hard-To-Find-Indication 0x6ec8…99d2 | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x680ed7… |
| 05-05 19:11:14 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 38¢ | $20 | 0x0fc47a… |
| 05-05 19:08:06 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 37¢ | $16 | 0x1b2a84… |
| 05-05 19:07:52 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 36¢ | $13 | 0x77db78… |
| 05-05 18:58:16 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xcc0118… |
| 05-05 18:54:32 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 37¢ | $11 | 0xf2ddcc… |
| 05-05 18:54:20 | Staid-Comprehension 0xa4e9…0208 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0xcd6e09… |
| 05-05 18:52:56 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | BUY | 77 | 65¢ | $50 | 0xcc0422… |
| 05-05 18:32:44 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x7c3793… |
| 05-05 18:24:18 | Alive-Plight 0x0cdb…da6a | No | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xa0b0a2… |
| 05-05 18:21:06 | (anonymous) 0xb3d7…e878 | No | BUY | 82 | 61¢ | $50 | 0xc24ce9… |
| 05-05 13:37:14 | Kindly-Literate 0x328c…8fab | Yes | BUY | 15 | 27¢ | $4 | 0x7c98bd… |
| 05-05 12:45:26 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xc27db5… |
| 05-05 11:06:14 | Bland-Dynamite 0x496f…fa5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xf5f246… |
| 05-05 07:50:50 | Steep-Theism 0xad0d…8f33 | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xedfef1… |
| 05-05 03:34:52 | Anchored-Waste 0x6fd8…4ed3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xc06cab… |
| 05-04 23:30:02 | Insubstantial-Chitchat 0xfcd2…7543 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x5cd3fe… |
| 05-04 22:54:54 | Probable-Eel 0x185f…6cca | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xb4b11f… |