Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 14?
open
Total volume
$414
$2,166 in 24h
Trades
45
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$360
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 07:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $358 | $31 | +$327 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $30 | $1 | +$29 |
| Median | 8 | $10 | $12 | $1 |
| Below median | 6 | $9 | $13 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $175 | $5 | +$171 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $132 | — | +$132 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xfd36…a832 | Yes | +299 | $156 | $156 | 2 | 05-14 03:51 |
| Adolescent-Hurdler 0xb8fc…88e1 | Yes | +104 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 05-13 13:38 |
| Splendid-Sewer 0xf7a4…f148 | Yes | +100 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-14 02:30 |
| Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | +64 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 03:23 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +57 | $26 | $26 | 8 | 05-14 06:10 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +51 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-13 23:04 |
| Uncommon-Bulldozer 0x0514…4fef | Yes | +19 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:00 |
| Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | Yes | +17 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:42 |
| Foolhardy-Attainment-Judge 0x50f5…7f85 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 06:03 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +13 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 00:04 |
| Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 16:07 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 05-14 04:45 |
| Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae3…f897 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-12 07:31 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +8 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 01:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c04…3d8b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 01:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 06:03 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 10:23 |
| Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:14 |
| Frivolous-Eyebrow 0xe6c6…94a2 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:31 |
| Twin-Precipitation 0x7284…b0f2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 03:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 07:59:03 | Beloved-Zone 0x2754…1668 | No | SELL | 2 | 53¢ | $1 | 0x46a2b1… |
| 05-14 06:14:54 | Esteemed-Period 0x592e…2030 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x427a5c… |
| 05-14 06:10:58 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x9c53ac… |
| 05-14 04:45:41 | Tricky-Overload 0x8f34…2f50 | No | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0xa5d2bb… |
| 05-14 04:45:32 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x40b6bb… |
| 05-14 04:25:09 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x5d9d49… |
| 05-14 03:51:17 | (anonymous) 0xfd36…a832 | Yes | BUY | 133 | 53¢ | $70 | 0x18545a… |
| 05-14 03:43:59 | (anonymous) 0xfd36…a832 | Yes | BUY | 166 | 52¢ | $86 | 0xa09460… |
| 05-14 03:40:19 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xc23025… |
| 05-14 03:25:53 | Naive-Muffin 0xd65d…2fcb | No | SELL | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0x424383… |
| 05-14 03:25:32 | Uniform-Approach 0xea43…13ba | No | SELL | 0 | 48¢ | $0 | 0x842108… |
| 05-14 03:23:05 | Shy-Somersault 0xf68e…a093 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 47¢ | $30 | 0x49a848… |
| 05-14 02:35:25 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xeee791… |
| 05-14 02:35:25 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x74fa51… |
| 05-14 02:30:57 | Splendid-Sewer 0xf7a4…f148 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 46¢ | $46 | 0xa8c1d3… |
| 05-14 02:25:14 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xb1cab3… |
| 05-14 02:25:14 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0xb0945d… |
| 05-14 02:00:53 | Uncommon-Bulldozer 0x0514…4fef | Yes | BUY | 19 | 43¢ | $8 | 0x0cc97d… |
| 05-14 01:58:45 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xfd5acb… |
| 05-14 01:58:45 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0xf883b3… |
| 05-14 01:44:44 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xf9155a… |
| 05-14 01:43:48 | Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x95ea80… |
| 05-14 01:43:44 | Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x32fcbc… |
| 05-14 01:42:10 | Essential-Tongue 0x8327…577d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 44¢ | $8 | 0xe8326f… |
| 05-14 01:10:52 | (anonymous) 0x4c04…3d8b | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0x084870… |
| 05-14 00:57:16 | Twin-Precipitation 0x7284…b0f2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0x93b496… |
| 05-14 00:13:35 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xff7168… |
| 05-14 00:04:53 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x758746… |
| 05-13 23:12:06 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xd3d84d… |
| 05-13 23:04:15 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x27d10a… |
| 05-13 23:04:10 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x98df0f… |
| 05-13 23:04:10 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0x6be2d6… |
| 05-13 16:07:31 | Wee-Baseball 0xc67f…5115 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x3349cd… |
| 05-13 13:38:16 | Adolescent-Hurdler 0xb8fc…88e1 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 36¢ | $37 | 0x491982… |
| 05-13 12:28:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x784744… |
| 05-13 10:23:05 | (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x6fcca1… |
| 05-13 06:31:22 | Frivolous-Eyebrow 0xe6c6…94a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xa56c47… |
| 05-13 06:08:21 | Tremendous-Kitten 0xbd6c…1e6d | Yes | BUY | 9 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x7ecb1d… |
| 05-13 06:03:51 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x2d1c26… |
| 05-13 06:03:50 | Foolhardy-Attainment-Judge 0x50f5…7f85 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xcb06a2… |
| 05-13 05:44:21 | Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | Yes | SELL | 5 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xed10f9… |
| 05-13 03:57:16 | (anonymous) 0x60e8…fae4 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xf252af… |
| 05-13 03:36:11 | Wavy-Parsley 0x101e…d4da | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xa38aa7… |
| 05-12 07:31:12 | (anonymous) 0xaae3…f897 | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x3f7dd2… |
| 05-12 07:16:16 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9a0aad… |