Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 14?
open
Total volume
$319
$1,452 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$214
Latest YES mid
59¢
Latest NO mid
41¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 10:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $34 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $126 | $54 | +$72 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $7 | $45 | $37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $32 | $4 | +$28 |
| Median | 4 | $13 | $1 | +$12 |
| Below median | 11 | $18 | $18 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $35 | $6 | +$29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $9 | $14 | $5 |
| unranked | 4 | $12 | $1 | +$11 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +56 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-13 20:45 |
| Scholarly-Prayer 0xe679…636a | Yes | +40 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +32 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-13 05:54 |
| Bronze-Tension 0xda91…d760 | Yes | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-14 10:25 |
| Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | +20 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 08:23 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | +18 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-13 14:38 |
| Reliable-Nickname 0x9463…b519 | Yes | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 04:26 |
| Ready-Syndicate 0x3511…ee71 | Yes | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 01:21 |
| Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | +14 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 00:15 |
| Grubby-Phenotype 0xfb51…b1b2 | Yes | +14 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 21:46 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +11 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 23:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 20:33 |
| Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 14:38 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 04:39 |
| Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:28 |
| Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 14:38 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 21:48 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 05:44 |
| Rare-Stimulus-Shoelace 0xcf9a…e559 | Yes | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:27 |
| Idealistic-Adjustment 0x41fa…7cc4 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 14:53 |
| Unfolded-Estate 0x20af…952f | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 23:48 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fdb…6b04 | Yes | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 16:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 23:34 |
| Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $9 | 3 | 05-14 02:25 |
| Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 22:17 |
| Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:32 |
| Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 02:12 |
| Flamboyant-Pen 0xe116…96c2 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:03 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 09:34 |
| Raw-Scholarship-Fame 0x9d3f…8d06 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:42 |
| Austere-Grouse 0x154e…e1ab | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 18:11 |
| Early-Paperwork 0x983a…6d2d | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:54 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 16:17 |
| Limp-Temporary 0x8c31…59e8 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:25:23 | Bronze-Tension 0xda91…d760 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0xc3b2db… |
| 05-14 10:09:57 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | No | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x837216… |
| 05-14 08:23:56 | Each-Public 0xf8dc…f31f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x642d7f… |
| 05-14 02:42:20 | Raw-Scholarship-Fame 0x9d3f…8d06 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xb3dad4… |
| 05-14 02:25:21 | Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xb0d61d… |
| 05-14 00:27:05 | (anonymous) 0xb157…1808 | No | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0x772507… |
| 05-14 00:27:00 | Rare-Stimulus-Shoelace 0xcf9a…e559 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x44ae62… |
| 05-14 00:22:02 | Scholarly-Prayer 0xe679…636a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0xc11435… |
| 05-14 00:15:20 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 6 | 58¢ | $3 | 0xd1e3d2… |
| 05-14 00:08:51 | Quick-Bitter 0xe2be…ff33 | No | BUY | 8 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x7d142a… |
| 05-13 23:51:53 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xd919ff… |
| 05-13 23:34:21 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x905834… |
| 05-13 23:04:12 | Dimpled-Jodhpurs 0x5bbf…002f | Yes | SELL | 18 | 54¢ | $10 | 0xa4491f… |
| 05-13 21:48:44 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 9 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x24c614… |
| 05-13 21:46:03 | Grubby-Phenotype 0xfb51…b1b2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 58¢ | $8 | 0x31a83c… |
| 05-13 21:28:28 | Mad-Refuge 0xfa28…c37e | No | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0x6bd0d2… |
| 05-13 20:45:57 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0x0e63c9… |
| 05-13 20:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xcf16…3a05 | No | BUY | 11 | 54¢ | $6 | 0x9284c0… |
| 05-13 20:33:17 | Serpentine-Millisecond 0x5dd1…d33c | No | SELL | 33 | 49¢ | $16 | 0x0b8a09… |
| 05-13 20:33:07 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 26 | 50¢ | $13 | 0xe5b509… |
| 05-13 20:32:39 | Worrisome-Chinchilla 0x6854…67d0 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2c1f31… |
| 05-13 16:17:38 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x600fe2… |
| 05-13 14:53:21 | Idealistic-Adjustment 0x41fa…7cc4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x590a73… |
| 05-13 14:38:32 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x749f5e… |
| 05-13 14:38:32 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | No | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x6b329d… |
| 05-13 14:38:28 | Glaring-Instance 0x1fcc…701b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x19055d… |
| 05-13 14:38:28 | Little-Footstool 0x8827…5d62 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x2762d2… |
| 05-13 09:34:51 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x347a88… |
| 05-13 09:15:08 | Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x5cae45… |
| 05-13 06:36:19 | Limp-Temporary 0x8c31…59e8 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xde374b… |
| 05-13 05:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 46¢ | $6 | 0xbd0200… |
| 05-13 05:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 52¢ | $7 | 0x5313bf… |
| 05-13 05:51:29 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xc2d41e… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x5e4b26… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 44 | 57¢ | $25 | 0x230800… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0x6ad55b… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xe1a091… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xfb3337… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 19 | 55¢ | $11 | 0x830992… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x30c747… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 39 | 47¢ | $18 | 0x2b47f1… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | (anonymous) 0xaccd…befd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x8af0a7… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x3ea5b3… |
| 05-13 05:51:28 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0x45a3f5… |
| 05-13 05:44:19 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 9 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xb54abb… |
| 05-13 04:26:16 | Reliable-Nickname 0x9463…b519 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x5ad0e1… |
| 05-13 03:03:08 | Flamboyant-Pen 0xe116…96c2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xb1396a… |
| 05-13 02:12:06 | Mortified-Sigh 0xa7f4…ec06 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0xc26f89… |
| 05-13 01:21:47 | Ready-Syndicate 0x3511…ee71 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x0cac3a… |
| 05-13 00:57:19 | Unnatural-Daffodil 0x360f…e6e1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x2b2bc7… |
| 05-12 23:48:20 | Unfolded-Estate 0x20af…952f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x2b8e70… |
| 05-12 22:17:50 | Brief-Point 0xfc01…a3b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x45d8d7… |
| 05-12 22:16:54 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xc3108d… |
| 05-12 18:17:21 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 62¢ | $4 | 0x08e864… |
| 05-12 18:11:45 | Austere-Grouse 0x154e…e1ab | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xc4aee1… |
| 05-12 16:51:31 | (anonymous) 0x5fdb…6b04 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0x718d78… |
| 05-12 04:54:10 | Early-Paperwork 0x983a…6d2d | No | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x52a577… |
| 05-12 04:39:12 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 10 | 44¢ | $4 | 0x504249… |