Flamboyant-Pen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$219

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

1,756

Trades

2,775

lifetime

Volume

$9.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 10-27 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 40% -$168

Other

25% 37% -$63

Sports

2% 59% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 233 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	-$50	07-02 02:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 10:50 UTC	15	$48	80	0	+80	Down	-$18	08-04 10:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 21:55 UTC	7	$47	1,097	97	+1,000	Up	-$33	07-13 21:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	3	$46	26	26	+0	Yes	+$6	07-02 20:56
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 11:05 UTC	5	$42	83	83	+0	Up	+$2	07-14 11:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:30 UTC	4	$40	92	0	+92	Down	-$40	07-14 15:34
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$38	50	50	+0	Yes	-$2	07-05 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 12:05 UTC	9	$36	55	0	+55	Down	-$1	08-04 12:09
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 20:25 UTC	3	$35	32	32	+0	Down	+$23	07-28 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:40 UTC	9	$34	55	0	+55	Down	+$1	08-05 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:50 UTC	11	$33	75	0	+75	Down	-$8	08-05 07:54
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on May 6?	4	$32	18	18	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 10:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 13:40 UTC	16	$32	60	0	+60	Up	+$3	08-04 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 21:45 UTC	9	$31	38	0	+38	Down	+$7	08-04 21:49
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$30	74	0	+74	Yes	-$30	07-10 11:41
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	1	$30	81	0	+81	No	-$30	04-28 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	3	$30	101	0	+101	Down	-$30	07-16 08:49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	2	$30	45	0	+45	No	-$30	05-15 15:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:10 UTC	9	$29	55	0	+55	Up	-$4	08-04 19:14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	1	$29	76	0	+76	No	-$29	04-28 13:45
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 15:05 UTC	6	$28	20	15	+5	Up	+$1	08-05 15:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 19:00 UTC	12	$28	55	0	+55	Up	+$2	08-04 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:50 UTC	13	$27	65	0	+65	Up	+$3	08-04 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:45 UTC	5	$26	40	0	+40	Up	+$4	08-04 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 07:35 UTC	10	$26	45	0	+45	Down	-$1	08-05 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:25 UTC	3	$26	40	40	+0	Down	-$14	07-12 19:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 09:15 UTC	2	$25	18	18	+0	Down	+$5	07-14 09:19
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	06-26 21:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:50 UTC	12	$25	55	0	+55	Up	$0	08-04 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:25 UTC	7	$25	45	0	+45	Up	$0	08-04 11:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xd7b5df…
10-27 09:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x9de5f8…
10-27 09:22:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xeb8a0d…
10-27 09:22:35	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x714912…
10-27 09:22:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x27695e…
10-27 09:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x44bcf3…
10-27 09:02:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x07b0e2…
10-27 09:02:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5fa2e6…
10-27 09:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x9d1c24…
10-27 09:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x56bb17…
10-27 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x06aa22…
10-27 07:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x25c91f…
10-27 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6d252e…
10-27 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	21	26¢	$5	0x8202c1…
10-27 07:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x956980…
10-26 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xb46687…
10-26 22:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x8828b7…
10-26 22:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x41fc25…
10-26 21:47:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x5ed2ff…
10-26 21:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x6548cf…
10-26 12:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7cb3ef…
10-26 11:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x948059…
10-26 11:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x62c3bf…
10-23 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x70af95…
10-23 22:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8fc529…
10-23 22:14:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xede23f…
10-23 22:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x55e9df…
10-23 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x212a8c…
10-23 22:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4514a4…
10-23 22:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd4e0e4…
10-23 22:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x305496…
10-23 22:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd96e8e…
10-23 21:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9d0f22…
10-23 21:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6defcf…
10-23 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x30451e…
10-23 21:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x03c69c…
10-23 21:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc98aca…
10-23 21:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x2f1449…
10-23 12:05:54	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf7e4fb…
10-23 12:05:54	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf0a49e…
10-23 07:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x0e753f…
10-22 21:52:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x76e5d3…
10-22 21:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x78102a…
10-22 21:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x5fd4a9…
10-22 21:48:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5758ff…
10-22 21:47:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfe679d…
10-22 21:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x901144…
10-22 21:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4516a5…
10-22 20:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02f03c…
10-22 20:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdb6142…
10-22 20:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x35febe…
10-22 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfcd188…
10-22 19:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf8f44…
10-22 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xd902f9…
10-22 12:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x650093…
10-22 12:52:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfb0fc3…
10-22 12:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x418ff3…
10-22 12:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x848a65…
10-22 12:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6ffcb2…
10-22 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x54dff9…
10-22 12:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xef13d9…
10-22 12:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x102ce1…
10-22 12:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe5cb74…
10-22 12:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x13a23c…
10-22 12:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xa3bfad…
10-22 12:23:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x782c83…
10-22 12:23:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x954840…
10-22 12:22:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x012466…
10-22 12:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9e595e…
10-22 12:07:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x01b98f…
10-22 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x86f622…
10-22 12:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa68087…
10-22 11:59:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x84ae66…
10-22 11:53:15	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6772cb…
10-22 11:53:12	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcf1699…
10-22 11:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4acdf1…
10-22 11:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x80b803…
10-22 09:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x50fcba…
10-22 09:31:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9670a4…
10-22 09:30:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4a281…
10-22 09:22:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x1cd0c8…
10-22 09:17:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa2fd93…
10-22 09:07:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xeaf679…
10-22 09:06:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5c2f8b…
10-22 09:03:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x539963…
10-22 09:02:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb85907…
10-22 08:58:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb9b2b8…
10-22 08:57:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x76ac85…
10-22 08:54:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7e8e93…
10-22 08:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x18675d…
10-22 08:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x39ae9f…
10-22 08:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8bdf1d…
10-22 08:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x5372f5…
10-22 08:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc14075…
09-22 12:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7e7b80…
09-22 10:05:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1a755a…
09-22 10:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x82da86…
09-22 10:01:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8f2357…
09-22 10:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x04c26f…
09-22 09:58:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd02b2b…